A Big Ten battle is set for Wednesday night when the Penn State Nittany Lions (17-12, 8-10 in Big Ten) visit the Northwestern Wildcats (20-9, 11-7). Jerry Palm has Penn State as the second team out of the bracket and Northwestern as the fifth seed in the Midwest region. Below is my college basketball prediction for Penn State vs Northwestern.
Penn State vs Northwestern Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Northwestern -3 |
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This game will be played at Welsh-Ryan Arena at 9:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 1, 2023.
Why Bet Northwestern -3
✅ Northwestern is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played.
✅ The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
✅ Penn State is 3-15 in their last 18 road games.
NCAABB
Penn State Nittany Lions
Northwestern Wildcats
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| PENNST | Advanced Game Stats | NW |
|---|---|---|
| 76.0 | Pace | 65.9 |
| 129.2 | Off.Rate | 91.2 |
| .439 | FTr | .316 |
| .399 | 3PAr | .374 |
| .633 | TS% | .491 |
| 54.1 | TRB% | 45.9 |
| 58.3 | AST% | 70.5 |
| 18.2 | STL% | 8.9 |
| 16.6 | BLK% | 6.9 |
| .603 | eFG% | .459 |
| 12.6 | TOV% | 17.9 |
| 36.0 | ORB% | 25.4 |
| .324 | TF/FGA | .212 |
Defense/Offense
| PENNST | Advanced Game Stats | NW |
|---|---|---|
| 76.0 | Pace | 65.9 |
| 88.1 | Off.Rate | 110.6 |
| .308 | FTr | .355 |
| .407 | 3PAr | .289 |
| .495 | TS% | .547 |
| 45.9 | TRB% | 54.1 |
| 56.9 | AST% | 55.6 |
| 8.9 | STL% | 12.1 |
| 6.2 | BLK% | 10.3 |
| .463 | eFG% | .510 |
| 22.1 | TOV% | 13.4 |
| 29.5 | ORB% | 33.2 |
| .210 | TF/FGA | .258 |
Betting Trends
| PENNST | Betting Trends | NW |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 69 | Avg Score | 67 |
| 66.33 | Avg Opp Score | 67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 73 | Avg Score | 69.33 |
| 71.33 | Avg Opp Score | 60 |
| PENNST | Betting Trends | NW |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 73.6 | Avg Score | 65.8 |
| 70.8 | Avg Opp Score | 64.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 68.4 | Avg Score | 68 |
| 73.2 | Avg Opp Score | 61.8 |
| PENNST | Betting Trends | NW |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 69.3 | Avg Score | 65.4 |
| 71.1 | Avg Opp Score | 65.1 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 68.4 | Avg Score | 66.1 |
| 73.3 | Avg Opp Score | 62.8 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Penn State Nittany Lions
Last time out, Penn State hosted the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and suffered a brutal 59-56 defeat. The Nittany Lions were the better team of the night, but seemed to get comfortably with a 19-point second half lead and scored just three points in the final nine minutes. Penn State led by as many as 19 points, never trailed by more than three, and lost outright as four-point favorites.
Camren Wynter had 16 points, four rebounds, and three assists on the night. Jalen Pickett added 11 points, nine rebounds, five assists, and one steal in the loss.
Through 29 games, Penn State is scoring 72.8 points per game, shooting 46.7% from the field, and assisting on 14.2 made shots. The Nittany Lions are allowing 68.4 points, grabbing 32.1 rebounds, blocking 2.3 shots, and stealing the ball 4.6 times.
Northwestern Wildcats
Northwestern visited the Maryland Terrapins and were beaten 75-59. The first half was back and forth for all 20 minutes and saw the Terps leading by two at the half. Maryland exploded out of the halftime gates, built a double-digit lead, and never looked back. Northwestern trailed by 18 points, never led by more than five, and could not cover the +7.0-point spread.
Chase Audige had 16 points, two rebounds, and one assist in the game. Matthew Nicholson added 10 points, five rebounds, and one block in the defeat.
After 29 games, Northwestern is scoring 67.9 points per game, shooting 41.0% from the field, and assisting on 12.9 made shots. The Wildcats are allowing 62.4 points, grabbing 34.2 rebounds, blocking 4.1 shots, and stealing the ball 7.9 times.
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