The Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-5, 0-2 Big 12) head to TCU to play the Horned Frogs (11-3, 2-0 Big 12) in a game that has the potential to be low-scoring. The game starts at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 11, 2020, and will air on ESPN2.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs ATS Prediction
The last time the Cowboys played, they were defeated by the No. 17 West Virginia Mountaineers, 55-41. West Virginia’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Oklahoma State. The Mountaineers had a rate of 0.449 (below their season average of 0.474), while the Cowboys posted a mark of 0.302 (below their season average of 0.478). Lindy Waters III was the game’s leading scorer with 12 points on 4-for-16 shooting.
The Horned Frogs barely escaped the Kansas State Wildcats in their last matchup, 59-57. TCU’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Horned Frogs had more offensive rebounds (15 vs. six) and total rebounds (41 vs. 32). With 10 points and 15 rebounds, Kevin Samuel played well for TCU.
Baskets could be hard to come by in this battle between two of the NCAA’s top defenses. TCU ranks 29th in defensive efficiency (89.4) and Oklahoma State is 32nd (89.8).
After the Horned Frogs won two out of three matchups against the Cowboys last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, TCU won 73-70. The Horned Frogs had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.3 vs. 24.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.161 vs. 0.129).
Oklahoma State Cowboys at TCU Horned Frogs Odds Pick
Basketball Prediction: ATS Winner – Oklahoma State, O/U – Over
TCU ranks eighth in assists per game (17.3) while Oklahoma State ranks 216th (11.3).
The Horned Frogs rank 36th in three pointers attempted per game (26.8) while the Cowboys rank 232nd in three pointers allowed per game (25.5).
TCU ranks 91st in rebounds per game (37.6) while Oklahoma State ranks 186th in rebounds allowed per game (37.0).
The Horned Frogs average 8.6 steals per game, which ranks 33rd in the NCAA. The Cowboys rank 107th in steals allowed per game (6.6).
TCU ranks 24th in blocks per game (5.2) while Oklahoma State ranks 64th (4.1).
The Cowboys have been outscored by an average of 2.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Oklahoma State has defeated opponents by an average of 5.2 points.
During their last five games, the Horned Frogs have scored an average of 73.0 points per game (0.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 61.2 points per game (0.4 below their season average).