North Carolina vs NC State College Basketball Pick 2/19/23

Vincent Senick on February 21st, 2023

An important ACC game is set for Saturday afternoon when the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-10, 8-7 in ACC) visit the #23 NC State Wolfpack (20-7, 10-6). North Carolina is firmly on the bubble and need this win for their NCAA Tournament resume. Below is my college basketball betting pick for North Carolina vs NC State.

North Carolina vs NC State Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	NC State -2
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This game will be played at PNC Arena at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 19, 2023.

Why Bet NC State -2

✅ NC State is 12-4 in their last 16 games played.

✅ The Wolfpack are 8-0 in their last eight home games.

✅ North Carolina is 1-5 ATS in their last six games played.

NCAABB

Feb 19, 2023 01:00 PM

North Carolina Tar Heels

NC State Wolfpack

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A NCAR

NCST N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+119

-144

N/A NCAR

NCST N/A

Total Pick Consensus

155.0/

155.0/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

NCAR	Team Stats Per Game	NCST
95.33	PTS GM	69.33
68	FGA	56.67
.466	FG%	.424
.351	3PT%	.236
12.67	ORB	13
10.11	DRB	6.78
43	TRB	33.33
27	FTA	21
.852	FT%	.810
17	AST	8.67
5.33	BLK	1.67
8.67	TO	17
16.33	PF	22

Defense/Offense

NCAR	Team Stats Per Game	NCST
74.33	PTS GM	86.67
66	FGA	60.33
.414	FG%	.530
.321	3PT%	.286
9.67	ORB	12
8.11	DRB	7.33
34	TRB	34
14	FTA	25
.786	FT%	.693
11.67	AST	17
3.33	BLK	4.67
11	TO	11
18.67	PF	20.33

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

NCAR	Advanced Game Stats	NCST
75.4	Pace	70.9
126.4	Off.Rate	97.8
.397	FTr	.371
.377	3PAr	.324
.590	TS%	.520
55.8	TRB%	49.5
53.7	AST%	36.1
9.3	STL%	8.5
13.7	BLK%	4.0
.532	eFG%	.462
9.7	TOV%	20.3
34.2	ORB%	37.1
.338	TF/FGA	.300

Defense/Offense

NCAR	Advanced Game Stats	NCST
75.4	Pace	70.9
98.6	Off.Rate	122.2
.212	FTr	.414
.409	3PAr	.309
.512	TS%	.600
44.2	TRB%	50.5
42.7	AST%	53.1
4.4	STL%	13.6
7.9	BLK%	12.2
.480	eFG%	.575
13.2	TOV%	13.2
24.2	ORB%	37.1
.167	TF/FGA	.287

Betting Trends

NCAR	Betting Trends	NCST
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
82.67	Avg Score	71.33
81	Avg Opp Score	66.67
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
0-3-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
71.33	Avg Score	83.67
74.33	Avg Opp Score	70.67

NCAR	Betting Trends	NCST
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
1-4-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
73.8	Avg Score	76
74.2	Avg Opp Score	66
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-0-0
1-4-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
70.4	Avg Score	83.6
69.4	Avg Opp Score	70.6

NCAR	Betting Trends	NCST
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	7-3-0
3-7-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
73.1	Avg Score	77.4
69.6	Avg Opp Score	71.6
AWAY		HOME
3-7-0	Win/Loss/Tie	9-1-0
2-8-0	ATS W/L/P	3-6-1
75.3	Avg Score	81
76.7	Avg Opp Score	69.6

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
01/21/2023	NCST NCAR	153.0 -6.5	+224 -281	69 80
02/26/2022	NCAR NCST	151.0 4.0	-182 +150	84 74
01/29/2022	NCST NCAR	152.0 -7.0	+255 -325	80 100
01/23/2021	NCST NCAR	149.5 -6.0	+213 -268	76 86
12/22/2020	NCAR NCST	145.0 2.0	-136 +113	76 79
02/25/2020	NCST NCAR	148.5 -2.0	+110 -130	79 85
01/27/2020	NCAR NCST	147.5 -5.5	+210 -263	75 65
02/05/2019	NCST NCAR	164.5 -10.0	+450 -600	96 113
01/08/2019	NCAR NCST	173.5 -1.5	+105 -125	90 82
02/10/2018	NCAR NCST	161.0 4.0	-175 +155	96 89

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/28/24	ALA NCAR	231.8 -6.0	+209 -257	119 116
03/23/24	MST NCAR	107.0 -3.4	+119 -147	52 64
03/21/24	WAG NCAR	109.2 -21.3	+1575 -7403	51 74
03/16/24	NCST NCAR	41.3 -2.8	+110 -152	24 22
03/15/24	PITT NCAR	156.8 -8.5	+280 -363	69 77
03/14/24	FLST NCAR	55.3 -3.7	+161 -230	24 32
03/09/24	NCAR DUKE	60.0 -1.8	+73 -90	34 32
03/05/24	ND NCAR	209.4 -23.9	+1589 -3332	76 126
03/02/24	NCST NCAR	141.7 -10.1	+433 -622	64 72
02/26/24	MIA NCAR	226.7 -21.3	+1160 -2082	104 110

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
04/06/24	NCST PUR	227.2 -14.7	+529 -704	78 98
03/31/24	NCST DUKE	77.5 -3.8	+132 -166	41 35
03/29/24	NCST MARQ	83.2 -4.1	+140 -178	37 32
03/21/24	NCST TXTECH	120.2 -3.7	+133 -164	65 55
03/16/24	NCST NCAR	41.3 -2.8	+110 -152	24 22
03/14/24	NCST DUKE	51.1 -3.9	+165 -235	26 24
03/13/24	NCST SYRA	131.0 -1.3	+89 -108	72 56
03/12/24	LOU NCST	246.5 -15.7	+633 -867	140 155
03/09/24	NCST PITT	58.7 -2.6	+90 -113	29 32
03/04/24	DUKE NCST	107.2 3.0	-191 +152	56 46

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North Carolina Tar Heels

Last time out, North Carolina hosted the #15 Miami Hurricanes and were comfortably beaten 80-72. This game was tight in the first half, with Miami up one, but the Tar Heels did not show up in the second half and took the loss. The Hurricanes went on a big run early in the second half and never looked back as they clinched the good road win. North Carolina trailed by as many as 14 points, led by three, and lost outright as six-point home favorites.

R.J. Davis had 23 points, five rebounds, two assists, and two steals on the night. Caleb Love added 20 points, three rebounds, and one assist in the loss.

Through 26 games, North Carolina is scoring 78.2 points per game, shooting 44.3% from the field, and assisting on 12.3 made shots. The Tar Heels are allowing 72.5 points, grabbing 39.3 rebounds, blocking 3.8 shots, and stealing the ball 5.8 times.

NC State Wolfpack

NC State visited the Syracuse Orange and suffered a 75-72 defeat. The Wolfpack were the best team for the first 12 minutes, but the Orange came roaring back and led by four points at the half. That momentum continued in the second half as Syracuse were able to hold off NC State and get an important win. NC State led by as many as nine points, trailed by seven, and could not cover the +1.5-point spread.

Jarkel Joiner had 15 points, 10 rebounds, 11 assists, and three steals in the game. D.J. Burns Jr. added 15 points, three rebounds, four assists, and one block in the loss.

After 27 games, NC State is scoring 78.7 points per game, shooting 45.0% from the field, and assisting on 13.7 made shots. The Wolfpack are allowing 69.2 points, grabbing 37.7 rebounds, blocking 4.9 shots, and stealing the ball 8.3 times.