New Mexico State pulled off one of the bigger upsets of the first round of the NCAA Tournament, defeating the UConn Huskies. Now, they face another tough test in round two, as they face an Arkansas team that has stamped out a number of Cinderella bids over the last couple of tournaments. In our March Madness betting picks for Saturday night, we look at New Mexico State vs Arkansas.
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New Mexico State vs Arkansas Betting Pick
This game will be played at 8:40 PM ET at KeyBank Center on Saturday, March 19, 2022.
Why Bet On Arkansas:
✅ Arkansas has already proven in this tournament that they are able to take care of business against a Cinderella candidate in Vermont. The Razorbacks are athletic enough and defensively solid enough to resist another challenge from a double-digit seed in New Mexico State in this game.
✅ New Mexico State lacks the depth that Vermont brought into their matchup with the Razorbacks, which will also be a factor in this contest. They will rely too heavily on Teddy Allen who, while a gifted scorer, will struggle with the athleticism of Arkansas in this second round game from Buffalo.
✅ JD Notae got into foul trouble in the first round of the tournament against Vermont, and the Razorbacks still nearly managed to cover the spread. Assuming he does not find himself on the bench due to foul trouble as often this game, Arkansas will look much better with their leader on the floor more regularly.
New Mexico State Aggies
The New Mexico State Aggies won a tight game against the UConn Huskies on Thursday night, holding on for the win despite blowing a double-digit lead. They got a massive 37 points from Teddy Allen in the game, who was their closer down the stretch both from the field and at the free throw line. Here, the Aggies will need another big performance out of Allen to move into the Sweet 16.
New Mexico State is going to need to deal with regression from the three-point line in this game against Arkansas in all likelihood. The Aggies shot 64.7% on three-point shots against UConn, something that would be very difficult to replicate for a second game in a row. Assuming they cannot shoot that well again, the Aggies will need to find another way to put up a number on the scoreboard similar to what they did on Thursday.
The Arkansas Razorbacks held on to beat the Vermont Catamounts in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Vermont challenged them from the opening tip to the final buzzer, but the Razorbacks’ SEC athleticism helped them get the stops they needed in a 75-71 game. Now, the Razorbacks will look to slow down one of the players of the tournament in round one in Teddy Allen.
Arkansas has held off a few potential Cinderella teams over the last two editions of this tournament, beating trendy upset picks like Colgate, Oral Roberts, and Vermont. Here, they will need to do the same against the Aggies and a player in Allen who is incredibly dangerous. The defense of the Razorbacks will likely decide this game, as the amount they give up to Allen will determine whether or not New Mexico State can hang in this game.