The New Mexico Lobos (17-8, 6-6 MWC) travel to San Diego State to take on the No. 4 Aztecs (24-0, 13-0 MWC) in a matchup that pits outstanding offense against superb defense. The game starts at 11 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 11, 2020, and will air on ESPN2. San Diego State Opens as 16 point favorites at Pointsbet Catfish Bend Iowa Sportsbook.
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs ATS Prediction
The last time the Lobos played, they blew out the Wyoming Cowboys, 97-68. The Lobos had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 36.1 (above their season average of 28.2) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.597 (above their season average of 0.540). With 28 points on 8-for-14 shooting, Corey Manigault was the top scorer from either team.
The Aztecs defeated the Air Force Falcons in their last contest, 89-74. The Aztecs had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.327 (above their season average of 0.218) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.692 (above their season average of 0.546). With 17 points, eight rebounds and seven assists, Malachi Flynn had a solid game for San Diego State.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Jordan Schakel put up 11 points and nine rebounds in the first game, in which the Aztecs topped the Lobos 85-57. San Diego State made 15 of its 33 three pointers (45.5 percent). New Mexico, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (12.4 vs. 21.2).
The productive offense of San Diego State (third in the NCAA with an offensive efficiency of 115.0) will face off against the porous defense of New Mexico (283rd in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 104.2). The Aztecs should have the advantage on that side of the ball. This contest should be a matchup of contrasting styles. The up-tempo Lobos rank 36th in possessions per game, while the more methodical Aztecs rank 323rd.
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Pick
College Basketball Pick: ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over
San Diego State ranks 29th in assists per game (15.4) while New Mexico ranks 266th in assists allowed per game (16.8).
The Aztecs rank 117th in three pointers attempted per game (22.8) while the Lobos rank 268th in three pointers allowed per game (27.0).
San Diego State ranks 34th in steals allowed per game (5.2) while New Mexico ranks 158th (7.0).
The Aztecs rank 34th in rebounds allowed per game (31.5) while the Lobos rank 142nd (34.9).
San Diego State is fourth in the NCAA with 2.0 blocks allowed per game while New Mexico is 38th with 2.6 blocks allowed per game.
The Lobos’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 3.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Aztecs have scored an average of 79.4 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 64.2 points per game (5.9 above their season average).