The Marquette Golden Eagles (18-12, 8-10 Big East) clash against the No. 16 Seton Hall Pirates (21-9, 13-5 Big East) in the Big East Conference Tourney at Madison Square Garden. The game is scheduled to get underway at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020.
Seton Hall is a 2.5-point favorite on the opening line at Indiana sportsbooks, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 150.5 points.
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Seton Hall Pirates ATS Prediction
In the Golden Eagles’ last contest, they were 3-point favorites and fell to the St. John’s Red Storm, 88-86. The combined points for the game (174) came in well over the projected point total of 152.5. St. John’s’ 12.5 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Marquette, who had a rate of 21.6. The Red Storm’s mark was better than their season average of 13.1, while the Golden Eagles’ was above their season average of 16.3. Markus Howard was the game’s high scorer with 30 points on 8-for-16 shooting.
The Pirates lost to the No. 11 Creighton Bluejays in their last matchup, 77-60. They were not able to cover as 3-point underdogs. The game’s total points (137) finished well under the O/U total of 153. Creighton’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Seton Hall. The Bluejays had a rate of 0.094 (below their season average of 0.218), while the Pirates posted a mark of 0.036 (below their season average of 0.256). With seven points and 12 rebounds, Seton Hall’s Sandro Mamukelashvili put together a solid performance.
Marquette heads into the contest with records of 18-12 straight up (SU) and 16-14 against the spread (ATS). Oddsmakers are known to place the total low when the Golden Eagles are playing, as 56.7 percent of their games have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Seton Hall is 21-9 SU and 17-12-1 ATS. Vegas is highly accurate when setting the O/U total of Pirates games, with an even split between overs and unders.
The aggressive Marquette offense looks poised to dominate from the foul line. The Golden Eagles rank 15th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.291, while Seton Hall ranks 191st in FTA rate allowed (0.227).
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Seton Hall Pirates Betting Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Seton Hall, O/U – Over
Marquette averages 39.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 20th in the nation. Seton Hall ranks 227th in rebounds allowed per game (36.6).
The Pirates average 14.6 assists per game, which ranks 50th in the nation. The Golden Eagles rank 177th in assists allowed per game (13.1).
Seton Hall averages 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the country. Marquette ranks 93rd in blocks allowed per game (3.1).
The Pirates rank 87th in steals per game (7.0) while the Golden Eagles rank 165th in steals allowed per game (6.8).
Marquette averages 26.2 three pointers per game, which ranks 35th in the nation. Seton Hall ranks 105th in three pointers allowed per game (20.5).
Over its last five outings, Marquette is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Seton Hall is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Golden Eagles have been outscored by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Marquette has defeated opponents by an average of 6.1 points.
During their last five games, the Pirates have scored an average of 76.0 points per game (1.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 74.4 points per game (6.5 above their season average).