The UC Davis Aggies (4-8) challenge the Loyola Marymount Lions (5-5) at The Pavilion. The game begins at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, December 16, 2019.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. UC Davis Aggies Betting Prediction
The Lions will be looking for a similar result after barely hanging on to beat the Prairie View A&M Panthers in their last matchup, 79-76. The Lions knocked down 22 of their 29 free throws (75.9 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (19.3 vs. 21.4). With 17 points on 6-for-9 shooting, Eli Scott led Loyola Marymount in scoring.
In the Aggies’ previous matchup, they fell to the San Diego Toreros, 58-54. San Diego’s 20.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over UC Davis, who had a mark of 14.3. The Toreros’ mark was below their season average of 24.3, while the Aggies’ was below their season average of 23.3. UC Davis’ Elijah Pepper recorded nine points and 10 rebounds in the contest.
After the Lions won the sole game against the Aggies last season, 77-59, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Lions had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.635 vs. 0.469) and had a better free throw rate (0.333 vs. 0.265).
It could be an error-filled game for the UC Davis offense. UC Davis ranks 202nd in the nation in ball protection (turnover percentage of 19.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Loyola Marymount forces the 91st-most turnovers in the nation (21.8 percent).
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. UC Davis Aggies Free Pick
College Basketball Pick: ATS Winner – Loyola Marymount, O/U – Over
Loyola Marymount averages 13.7 assists per game, which ranks 106th in the NCAA. UC Davis ranks 211th in assists allowed per game (14.8).
The Lions rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (30.5) while the Aggies rank 69th (33.2).
UC Davis ranks 233rd in three pointers attempted per game (18.8) while Loyola Marymount ranks 255th (17.3).
The Lions have been outscored by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Loyola Marymount has defeated opponents by an average of 2.6 points.
During their last five games, the Aggies have scored an average of 68.8 points per game (0.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.0 points per game (4.1 below their season average).