The Florida Gators (19-11, 11-6 SEC) and No. 6 Kentucky Wildcats (24-6, 14-3 SEC) bring the regular season to an end when they battle at Stephen C. O’Connell Center. The game is scheduled to start at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2020.
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators ATS Prediction
In the Wildcats’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Tennessee Volunteers, 81-73. Tennessee’s 40.7 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Kentucky, who had a mark of 33.3. The Volunteers’ mark was above their season average of 30.5. Immanuel Quickley put together a solid performance for Kentucky, recording 15 points.
The Gators beat the Georgia Bulldogs in their last matchup, 68-54. The Gators forced 16 turnovers and held the Bulldogs to an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.9 (below their season average of 32.7). Keyontae Johnson was the top scorer from either team with 18 points on 8-for-14 shooting from the field.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. Quickley scored a game-high 26 points in the first matchup, in which the Wildcats defeated the Gators 65-59. The Wildcats had a better turnover percentage (18.5 vs. 21.9) and had a better free throw rate (0.189 vs. 0.176).
Florida figures to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this showdown. The Gators are among the nation’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 78th in offensive rebounding percentage at 31.3 percent. Meanwhile, Kentucky ranks 217th in the country at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 71.4 percent. Moreover, the Wildcats rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.331), while the Gators rank 254th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.249).
Kentucky vs. Florida Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Kentucky, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
Florida ranks 189th in three pointers attempted per game (20.7) while Kentucky ranks 305th (14.8).
The Gators rank 34th in blocks allowed per game (2.5) while the Wildcats rank 103rd (3.1).
Kentucky allows the 22nd-fewest steals per game (5.1) while Florida ranks 48th (5.5).
The Gators rank 38th in rebounds allowed per game (31.8) while the Wildcats rank 63rd (32.8).
Kentucky ranks 38th in assists allowed per game (10.7) while Florida ranks 55th (11.2).
The Wildcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.4, down from 8.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Gators have scored an average of 67.8 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 61.4 points per game (4.5 below their season average).