The No. 5 Baylor Bears (26-4, 15-3 Big 12) face off against the Kansas State Wildcats (11-21, 4-15 Big 12) in the Big 12 Conference Tourney at Sprint Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020, and will air on ESPN2.
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears ATS Prediction
In the Wildcats’ last game, they beat the TCU Horned Frogs, 53-49. The Wildcats held the Horned Frogs to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.3 (below their season average of 32.7). The Horned Frogs had a free throw rate of 0.060 (below their season average of 0.172). With 13 points on 5-for-14 shooting, Cartier Diarra was Kansas State’s leading scorer.
The Bears lost to the West Virginia Mountaineers in their last matchup, 76-64. Getting to the free throw line was one of West Virginia’s biggest strengths. They had 34 free throw attempts, while Baylor had just 17. Jared Butler had a good game for Baylor, leading both teams in scoring with 21 points on 6-for-14 shooting.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Baylor currently ranks 306th in possessions per game (66.3) and Kansas State is 292nd (66.7). Furthermore, the Wildcats’ 314th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 96.2) will square off against the Bears’ seventh-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 90.8).
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears Pick
Basketball Prediction: ATS Winner – Baylor, O/U – Under
Baylor averages 8.1 steals per game, which ranks 27th in the country. Kansas State ranks 212th in steals allowed per game (7.5).
The Bears rank 92nd in rebounds per game (36.9) while the Wildcats rank 248th (32.8).
Baylor ranks 37th in blocks per game (4.4) while Kansas State ranks 184th (2.4).
The Bears rank 44th in three pointers allowed per game (18.9) while the Wildcats rank 109th (20.6).
The Wildcats’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 0.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bears have scored an average of 70.6 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.8 points per game (9.7 above their season average).