A Big 12 battle is set for Saturday afternoon when the Iowa State Cyclones (17-12, 8-9 in Big 12) visit the #7 Baylor Bears (22-8, 11-6). Jerry Palm has Iowa State as the eighth seed in the Midwest region and Baylor as the third seed in the West. Below is my college basketball betting pick for Iowa State vs Baylor.
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Iowa State vs Baylor Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Baylor -6.5 |
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This game will be played at Ferrell Center at 12:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023.
Why Bet Baylor -6.5
✅ Baylor is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games played.
✅ The Bears are 7-0 in their last seven home games.
✅ Iowa State is 1-6 in their last seven games overall.
NCAABB
Iowa State Cyclones
Baylor Bears
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| IOWAST | Advanced Game Stats | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1 | Pace | 68.8 |
| 119.8 | Off.Rate | 104.9 |
| .393 | FTr | .299 |
| .388 | 3PAr | .430 |
| .580 | TS% | .590 |
| 57.1 | TRB% | 46.8 |
| 62.9 | AST% | 64.4 |
| 13.8 | STL% | 9.3 |
| 14.0 | BLK% | 12.5 |
| .546 | eFG% | .575 |
| 11.4 | TOV% | 20.6 |
| 34.3 | ORB% | 29.5 |
| .284 | TF/FGA | .197 |
Defense/Offense
| IOWAST | Advanced Game Stats | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1 | Pace | 68.8 |
| 72.2 | Off.Rate | 117.2 |
| .210 | FTr | .293 |
| .452 | 3PAr | .408 |
| .440 | TS% | .564 |
| 42.9 | TRB% | 53.2 |
| 47.3 | AST% | 59.9 |
| 9.0 | STL% | 12.3 |
| 5.4 | BLK% | 11.0 |
| .408 | eFG% | .541 |
| 25.5 | TOV% | 14.2 |
| 20.4 | ORB% | 39.1 |
| .153 | TF/FGA | .204 |
Betting Trends
| IOWAST | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 57.67 | Avg Score | 73.33 |
| 68.33 | Avg Opp Score | 71.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 0-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 60 | Avg Score | 80.67 |
| 69.67 | Avg Opp Score | 70.33 |
| IOWAST | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 59.6 | Avg Score | 74 |
| 65 | Avg Opp Score | 73.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 0-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 63.6 | Avg Score | 79.6 |
| 73.4 | Avg Opp Score | 67.4 |
| IOWAST | Betting Trends | BAYL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 2-7-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 63.1 | Avg Score | 75.1 |
| 67.6 | Avg Opp Score | 71.1 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
| 62.5 | Avg Score | 81.4 |
| 69.2 | Avg Opp Score | 70.5 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
Iowa State Cyclones
Last time out, Iowa State hosted the West Virginia Mountaineers and were beaten 72-69. The Cyclones started both the first and second half incredibly strong, but the Mountaineers closed each half on big runs and got the big road win. West Virginia led by eight at the half and then grabbed the lead for good with just over two minutes left in the game. Iowa State trailed by 12 points, led by seven, and lost outright as -4.5-point favorites.
Gabe Kalscheur had 26 points, one rebound, one assist, and one steal on the night. Jaren Holmes added 16 points, two rebounds, three assists, and one steal in the defeat.
Through 29 games, Iowa State is scoring 68.3 points per game, shooting 4.8% from the field, and assisting on 14.1 made shots. The Cyclones are allowing 62.3 points, grabbing 33.1 rebounds, blocking 2.9 shots, and stealing the ball 8.9 times.
Baylor Bears
Baylor visited the Oklahoma State Cowboys and left with a good 74-68 victory. The Bears were in control throughout this game, but a late Oklahoma State run made the final score seem much closer than this game actually was. Baylor led by as many as 19 points, never trailed in the game, and covered the -1.0-point spread.
Adam Flagler had 13 points, five rebounds, six assists, and two steals in the game. LJ Cryer added 15 points, three rebounds, and two assists in the win.
After 30 games, Baylor is scoring 78.0 points per game, shooting 44.9% from the field, and assisting on 14.8 made shots. The Bears are allowing 69.9 points, grabbing 35.2 rebounds, blocking 2.4 shots, and stealing the ball 6.7 times.
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