The Florida State Seminoles head to Watsco Center in Coral Gables for a high-stake showdown against their ACC rivals, the Miami Hurricanes. The Seminoles opened as double-digit favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook, so here’s my best betting pick along with the latest team news, stats, and betting trends.
These two Atlantic Coast Conference foes already met each other on January 27, 2021, and the Seminoles had no mercy, thrashing off the Hurricanes 81-59 as 11-point home favorites.
The Seminoles are keen to stay atop of the ACC
The Florida State Seminoles (13-3; 9-2 Conf.) are rolling on a three-game winning streak following a 79-72 road victory over the Pittsburgh Panthers this past Saturday. They put on a solid performance on both sides of the ball, making 44.8% of their field goals while holding the Panthers to just 38.2% shooting from the field and 23.5% from beyond the arc.
Junior forward Raiquan Gray accounted for 16 points and eight rebounds, while three more players scored in double figures. Interestingly, M.J. Walker went scoreless in 28 minutes on the floor, and he’s the Seminoles’ leading scorer this season, averaging 13.1 points a night.
Florida State is topping the ACC standings at the moment, but the Seminoles cannot allow dropping any of their four remaining contests. They are No. 12 in both NCAA NET Rankings and KenPom rankings. The Seminoles score 118.4 points per 100 possessions (9th in the nation) and surrender 94.3 in a return (40th).
The Hurricanes continue to struggle, dropped three straight contests
The Miami Hurricanes (7-13; 3-12 Conf.) are coming off a heavy 87-60 home loss to the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets last Saturday, extending their losing streak to three games. It was a one-way road, as the Canes shot only 39.2% from the field and 29.4% from downtown while allowing their opponents to make 57.1% of their field goals and 42.3% of their treys.
Miami is without six players due to injuries including Chris Lykes (15.5 PPG, 5.5 APG), Harlond Beverley (6.7 PPG, 4.5 RPG), and Earl Timberlake (9.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG). Isaiah Wong leads the way for the Canes with 16.7 points and 5.3 boards per contest, while Anthony Walker adds 8.8 points and 3.6 rebounds a night.
The Hurricanes are No. 162 in the NCAA NET Rankings and No. 139 in the KenPom rankings. They tally just 101.3 points per 100 possessions (203rd) on 42.3% shooting from the field (264th) and surrender 98.4 points in a return (97th) on 44.2% shooting (215th).
- 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine games overall
- 6-3 ATS in the last nine games against Miami
- 2-6 ATS in the last eight contests overall
- 6-13 ATS in the last 19 games played on Wednesday
The Seminoles will dominate the injury-depleted Hurricanes on both sides of the ball, so I’m backing them to cruise past Miami and cover an 11-point spread. Florida State has too many dangerous weapons in its arsenal, and the shorthanded Canes won’t be able to keep the pace.
Miami has lost seven of its last eight games overall, covering the spread just twice in the process. The Canes will try their best, for sure, but the Seminoles will be focused with the ACC regular-season title on their mind.
Pick: Take Florida State -11.0 at -110
As I’ve mentioned, the Canes are struggling mightily on the offensive end, and I’m expecting more of the same against the aggressive Florida State team. Miami failed to surpass a 60-point mark in six of its last eight outings, and the under is 5-3 during that stretch.
On the other side, the over is 8-1-1 in the Seminoles’ last ten games. Still, I’m expecting the visitors to control the clock Wednesday and hold Miami below 60 points once more.
Pick: Go under 143.0 points at -110