The Second Round of the NCAA Tournament matchup between the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (29-6) and the No. 10 Florida Gators (20-15) will be played at Wells Fargo Arena. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 121 points with Michigan opening as a 7.5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 5:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019.
Florida Gators vs. Michigan Wolverines Odds Preview
In the First Round, the Gators beat the No. 7 Nevada Wolf Pack, 70-61. With 10 points and 10 rebounds, Florida’s Keyontae Johnson had a good game. The Gators held the Wolf Pack to an effective field goal percentage of 0.391 (below their season average of 0.541). The Wolf Pack also had a turnover percentage of 17.5 (above their season average of 12.9).
The Wolverines will look to maintain momentum after thoroughly outplaying the No. 15 Montana Grizzlies in the First Round, 74-55. Michigan received a boost from Charles Matthews, who was the top scorer from either team with 22 points on 8-for-12 shooting. Michigan played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.373 (above their season average of 0.189) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.539 (above their season average of 0.521). Montana was 0.150 and 0.383, respectively, for those same stats.
Points could be at a premium in this showdown between two of the country’s best defenses. Michigan ranks second in defensive efficiency (89.9) and Florida is 54th (97.8).
Both of these teams tend to finish under the projected point total. Florida games have gone under 68.6 percent of the time, while 60.0 percent of games including Michigan have finished under. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Wolverines have a sizable advantage. They are 29-6 SU and 20-15 ATS, while the Gators are 20-15 SU and 16-18-1 ATS.
Florida Gators vs. Michigan Wolverines Free Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Michigan, ATS Winner – Michigan, O/U – Over
The Gators rank 95th in blocks per game (3.7) while the Wolverines rank 128th in blocks allowed per game (3.3).
Michigan ranks 11th in assists allowed per game (10.1) while Florida ranks 29th (10.7).
Michigan ranks second in steals allowed per game (3.8) while Florida ranks 126th (6.2).
The Wolverines rank 181st in rebounds per game (35.0) while the Gators rank 248th (33.4).
Michigan ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (16.5) while Florida ranks 62nd (20.3).
The Wolverines’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.0, down from 12.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Gators have scored an average of 66.2 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 63.0 points per game (0.6 below their season average).