An ACC showdown is set for Saturday night when the Duke Blue Devils (17-7, 8-5 in ACC) visit the #8 Virginia Cavaliers (18-4, 10-3). Virginia now sits at the top of the ACC standings, but they are tied with Clemson and Pitt. Below is my college basketball betting pick for Duke vs Virginia.
Duke vs Virginia Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | UVA -5 |
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This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena at 4:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 11, 2023.
Why Bet UVA -5
✅ Virginia is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games played.
✅ The Cavaliers are 6-0 in their last six home games.
✅ Duke is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
NCAABB
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| DUKE | Advanced Game Stats | VIR |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3 | Pace | 61.6 |
| 120.3 | Off.Rate | 99.0 |
| .241 | FTr | .199 |
| .470 | 3PAr | .449 |
| .579 | TS% | .486 |
| 57.7 | TRB% | 51.2 |
| 56.5 | AST% | 53.2 |
| 11.9 | STL% | 14.3 |
| 12.9 | BLK% | 9.7 |
| .556 | eFG% | .462 |
| 12.5 | TOV% | 12.8 |
| 36.3 | ORB% | 28.9 |
| .177 | TF/FGA | .139 |
Defense/Offense
| DUKE | Advanced Game Stats | VIR |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3 | Pace | 61.6 |
| 81.6 | Off.Rate | 95.4 |
| .221 | FTr | .287 |
| .422 | 3PAr | .477 |
| .442 | TS% | .546 |
| 42.3 | TRB% | 48.8 |
| 55.9 | AST% | 64.7 |
| 10.2 | STL% | 6.5 |
| 8.0 | BLK% | 15.2 |
| .401 | eFG% | .523 |
| 18.1 | TOV% | 20.4 |
| 22.6 | ORB% | 20.8 |
| .173 | TF/FGA | .194 |
Betting Trends
| DUKE | Betting Trends | VIR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
| 65.67 | Avg Score | 66 |
| 70.33 | Avg Opp Score | 62 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 73.33 | Avg Score | 72.33 |
| 67.33 | Avg Opp Score | 58.33 |
| DUKE | Betting Trends | VIR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-1-1 |
| 71.6 | Avg Score | 70 |
| 66.4 | Avg Opp Score | 62 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
| 69.8 | Avg Score | 71 |
| 67.6 | Avg Opp Score | 59.8 |
| DUKE | Betting Trends | VIR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 2-8-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-4-1 |
| 69.2 | Avg Score | 69.8 |
| 68.7 | Avg Opp Score | 62.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 3-7-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
| 68 | Avg Score | 67.1 |
| 70.4 | Avg Opp Score | 56.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Duke Blue Devils
Last time out, Duke visited the #19 Miami Hurricanes and were embarrassed in an 81-59 defeat. This game was decided in the first two minutes of the game as the Hurricanes jumped out to a 13-1 lead and never looked back. The Blue Devils trailed by 14 points at the half and continued their no-show performance in the second half. Duke trailed by as many as 26 points, never trailed in the game, and could not cover the +3.0-point spread.
Dereck Lively II had 11 points, six rebounds, one assist, and five blocks in the loss. Ryan Young added 11 points, four rebounds, and one assist on the night.
Through 24 games, Duke is scoring 71.9 points per game, shooting 43.7% from the field, and assisting on 14.6 made shots. The Blue Devils are allowing 64.1 points, grabbing 39.6 rebounds, blocking 4.5 shots, and stealing the ball 6.7 times.
Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia hosted the #22 NC State Wolfpack and comfortably won 63-50. This game was close for five minutes, but the Cavaliers took control from there and never looked back. Trailing by 14 points at the half, the Wolfpack could never quite get back into striking range. Virginia led by as many as 20 points, never trailed by more than one, and covered the -7.5-point spread.
Jayden Gardner had 18 points, five rebounds, one assist, and one steal in the game. Reece Beekman added 15 points, three rebounds, four assists, and three steals in the victory.
After 22 games, Virginia is scoring 70.0 points per game, shooting 45.7% from the field, and assisting on 16.3 made shots. The Cavaliers are allowing 60.4 points, grabbing 32.5 rebounds, blocking 4.4 shots, and stealing the ball 6.7 times.
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