The Boston University Terriers (15-10, 9-3 Pat) look to lengthen their five-game winning streak against the Colgate Raiders (19-6, 10-2 Pat) at Case Gym. The game can be seen on CBS Sports Network at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 142.5 points with Boston University opening as a 2-point favorite at NJ William Hill Sportsbook.
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston University Terriers ATS Prediction
Although the Raiders topped the Navy Midshipmen in their last outing, 67-60, they were not able to cover as 8.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (127) finished under the projected point total of 134. Colgate’s 0.226 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Navy, who had a mark of 0.094. The Raiders’ mark was above their season average of 0.174, while the Midshipmen’s was below their season average of 0.237. Colgate received a boost from Will Rayman, who recorded nine points and 12 rebounds.
In the Terriers’ previous game, they beat the Holy Cross Crusaders, 77-68, but failed to cover as 16-point favorites. The combined points for the game (145) hit the O/U total. The Terriers had a solid free throw rate of 0.315 (above their season average of 0.177) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 28.4). With 17 points and seven rebounds, Boston University’s Max Mahoney put together a good outing.
Boston University could put on a ball-control clinic in this meeting. Boston University ranks 37th in the nation at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.7 percent), while Colgate forces the 65th-fewest turnovers (17.7 percent). Additionally, the Raiders, who rank 327th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.176), could struggle to get to the line against the Terriers, who rank 59th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.186).
Colgate holds records of 19-6 straight up (SU) and 11-13 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Raiders’ games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Boston University is 15-10 SU and 11-12-1 ATS. Vegas is known to place the total low when the Terriers are involved, as 14 of their 24 games have finished over the O/U total.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Rayman (17 points,11.4 rebounds) has been fantastic for the Raiders while Mahoney (18 points,8.8 rebounds,3.2 assists,2.2 steals) has contributed greatly to the Terriers.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Rayman scored a game-high 21 points and the Raiders beat the Terriers 79-70, covering as 6.5-point favorites. He also put up 13 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 149 points, which was 8 points above the projected point total of 141 points. The Raiders had a much better free throw rate (0.183 vs. 0.071) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.567 vs. 0.464).
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston University Terriers Betting Pick
Basketball Prediction: ATS Winner – Boston University, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Colgate is 5-9 ATS with 7 overs and 7 unders.
Boston University is 5-4 ATS at home with 6 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
Colgate ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (28.6) while Boston University ranks 186th (20.7).
The Terriers average 35.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 149th in the country. The Raiders rank 188th in rebounds allowed per game (35.9).
Boston University ranks 151st in assists per game (13.0) while Colgate ranks 159th in assists allowed per game (12.8).
In its last five contests, Colgate is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Boston University is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push over its last five games.
The Raiders’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 6.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Terriers have scored an average of 81.0 points per game (8.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.4 points per game (1.7 below their season average).