The Second Round of the NCAA Tournament battle between the No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-6) and the No. 6 Buffalo Bulls (32-3) will be played at Bank of Oklahoma Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 146.5 points with Texas Tech opening as a 3-point favorite. Action gets underway at 6:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 24, 2019.
Buffalo Bulls vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Preview
In the First Round, the Bulls were victorious over the No. 11 Arizona State Sun Devils, 91-74. With 21 points and 10 rebounds, Buffalo’s Jeremy Harris put together a solid outing. The Bulls had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 39.4 (above their season average of 32.1) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.600 (above their season average of 0.535).
The Red Raiders hope to keep it rolling after defeating the No. 14 Northern Kentucky Norse in the First Round, 72-57. Texas Tech rallied around Jarrett Culver, who was the top scorer from either team with 29 points on 10-for-17 shooting. Texas Tech dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.189 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.585 (above their season average of 0.537). For those same stats, Northern Kentucky put up marks of 0.097 and 0.411, respectively.
Baskets could be hard to come by in this battle between a pair of the country’s premier defenses. Texas Tech ranks first in defensive efficiency (87.7) and Buffalo is 20th (95.2). It will also be a matchup of opposite paces as the quick-paced Bulls rank 17th in possessions per game, while the more methodical Red Raiders rank 268th.
Of Buffalo’s 33 games that accepted bets, 17 have finished over the O/U total, while 18 of Texas Tech’s 33 games have finished under the projected point total. The Bulls hold a substantial advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 32-3 SU and 19-13-1 ATS, while the Red Raiders are 27-6 SU and 16-16-1 ATS.
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Bulls, it’s been Jeremy Harris, who has averaged 20 points,5.8 rebounds,1.4 steals,1.2 blocks, while the Red Raiders have gotten solid contributions from Jarrett Culver (21 points,7.4 rebounds,3.6 assists,2.8 steals).
Buffalo Bulls vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Texas Tech, ATS Winner – Buffalo, O/U – Over
The Red Raiders rank 12th in blocks per game (5.0) while the Bulls rank 97th in blocks allowed per game (3.1).
Buffalo ranks 13th in assists per game (16.8) while Texas Tech ranks 98th (14.2).
Buffalo ranks 12th in three pointers attempted per game (28.5) while Texas Tech ranks 263rd (19.6).
The Bulls rank fourth in rebounds per game (41.1) while the Red Raiders rank 211th (34.2).
Buffalo ranks 40th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while Texas Tech ranks 154th (6.4).
The Red Raiders’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.2, down from 13.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 85.8 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.4 points per game (1.2 below their season average).