The Boston University Terriers (20-13, 14-6 Pat) square off against the Colgate Raiders (25-8, 16-4 Pat) in the Patriot League Conference Tourney at Cotterell Court. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 11, 2020, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
BetRivers set the Over/Under (O/U) at 140 points with Colgate set as a 6.5-point favorite.
Boston University Terriers vs. Colgate Raiders Free Prediction
Although the Terriers topped the Bucknell Bison in their last contest, 64-61, they were not able to cover as 6-point favorites. The combined points for the game (125) finished under the O/U total of 134. Boston University had an offensive rebounding percentage of 35.5 (above their season average of 29.3). Bucknell, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.122 vs. 0.111). With 17 points on 6-for-11 shooting, Max Mahoney was Boston University’s leading scorer.
In the Raiders’ previous matchup, they had no trouble getting past the Lafayette Leopards, 89-64, easily covering as 11.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (153) were over the O/U total of 147.5. Colgate won the rebounding battle. The Raiders had 19 offensive rebounds and 48 total rebounds, while the Leopards had 10 and 30, respectively. With 16 points and 11 rebounds, Colgate’s Will Rayman had a solid outing.
Boston University has a respectable 20-13 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 12-19-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Terriers’ 32 games that accepted bets, 17 have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Colgate is 25-8 SU and 16-16 ATS. Games including the Raiders have a tendency to finish over the total (56.3 percent).
Colgate should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Colgate ranks 24th in the nation at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.0 percent), while Boston University forces the 78th-fewest turnovers (17.6 percent). Additionally, the Terriers, who rank 329th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.177), could struggle to get to the line against the Raiders, who rank 19th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.162).
Boston University at Colgate Odds Pick
College Basketball Prediction: ATS Winner – Boston University, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Boston University is 7-10-1 ATS with 9 overs and 9 unders.
Colgate is 10-5 ATS at home with 10 overs and 5 unders.
Colgate ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (28.3) while Boston University ranks 211th (20.3).
The Raiders rank 50th in assists per game (14.5) while the Terriers rank 165th (12.6).
Colgate ranks 44th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while Boston University ranks 133rd (6.5).
The Terriers average 36.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 122nd in the nation. The Raiders rank 153rd in rebounds allowed per game (35.2).
In its last five outings, Boston University is 0-5 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Colgate is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Terriers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 4.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raiders have scored an average of 84.6 points per game (8.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.0 points per game (2.2 below their season average).