A Big 12 blockbuster is set for Saturday afternoon when the #14 Baylor Bears (18-6, 7-4 in Big 12) visit the #17 TCU Horned Frogs (17-7, 6-5). Both teams are within two games of first place and the winner will be firmly in the regular season title race. Below is my college basketball pick for Baylor vs TCU.
Baylor vs TCU Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Baylor +1 |
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This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena at 4:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 11, 2023.
Why Bet Baylor +1
✅ Baylor is 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games.
✅ The Bears are 8-1 in their last nine games.
✅ TCU is 1-3 in their last four games overall.
NCAABB
Baylor Bears
TCU Horned Frogs
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| BAYL | Advanced Game Stats | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4 | Pace | 68.6 |
| 122.9 | Off.Rate | 94.2 |
| .274 | FTr | .278 |
| .401 | 3PAr | .424 |
| .584 | TS% | .506 |
| 53.4 | TRB% | 49.4 |
| 56.2 | AST% | 57.9 |
| 12.6 | STL% | 7.8 |
| 9.9 | BLK% | 6.7 |
| .566 | eFG% | .469 |
| 12.8 | TOV% | 18.6 |
| 39.0 | ORB% | 29.3 |
| .188 | TF/FGA | .207 |
Defense/Offense
| BAYL | Advanced Game Stats | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4 | Pace | 68.6 |
| 103.2 | Off.Rate | 103.0 |
| .364 | FTr | .355 |
| .417 | 3PAr | .372 |
| .568 | TS% | .517 |
| 46.6 | TRB% | 50.6 |
| 61.8 | AST% | 57.0 |
| 8.1 | STL% | 12.4 |
| 11.4 | BLK% | 12.5 |
| .542 | eFG% | .497 |
| 19.5 | TOV% | 14.4 |
| 30.1 | ORB% | 31.4 |
| .249 | TF/FGA | .215 |
Betting Trends
| BAYL | Betting Trends | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 80.67 | Avg Score | 70 |
| 70 | Avg Opp Score | 77.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
| 71.33 | Avg Score | 79 |
| 70 | Avg Opp Score | 64 |
| BAYL | Betting Trends | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
| 76.8 | Avg Score | 72.6 |
| 68.6 | Avg Opp Score | 73.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-1-1 |
| 71.8 | Avg Score | 74.2 |
| 73 | Avg Opp Score | 64.4 |
| BAYL | Betting Trends | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
| 6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 77.9 | Avg Score | 73.5 |
| 71 | Avg Opp Score | 71.6 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 4-5-1 | ATS W/L/P | 7-2-1 |
| 70.5 | Avg Score | 79.8 |
| 73 | Avg Opp Score | 61 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Baylor Bears
Last time out, Baylor hosted the Oklahoma Sooners and earned an 82-72 victory. The Bears were in control throughout this game and were able to hold off all Sooner runs. Trailing by six at the half, the Sooners made it close for a bit, but still lost by double-digits. Baylor led by 11 points, trailed by no more than two, and just covered the -9.5-point spread.
Keyonte George had 23 points, two rebounds, and one steal on the night. Adam Flagler added 20 points, two rebounds, four assists, and one steal in the win.
Through 24 games, Baylor is scoring 79.0 points per game, shooting 44.8% from the field, and assisting on 15.2 made shots. The Bears are allowing 69.2 points, grabbing 36.2 rebounds, blocking 2.6 shots, and stealing the ball 7.1 times.
TCU Horned Frogs
TCU visited the #12 Kansas State Wildcats and were comfortably beaten 82-61. The Horned Frogs were in the game for most of the first half and found themselves trailing by six points at halftime. After the break, however, the Wildcats came out on fire and were able to secure an impressive top 20 win. TCU trailed by as many as 20 points, never led by more than one, and could not cover the +4.5-point spread.
Damion Baugh had 16 points, five rebounds, five assists, and one steal in the game. Emanuel Miller added 10 points, nine rebounds, three assists, one steal, and two blocks in the defeat.
After 24 games, TCU is scoring 76.6 points per game, shooting 46.0% from the field, and assisting on 16.2 made shots. The Horned Frogs are allowing 66.6 points, grabbing 26.2 rebounds, blocking 4.9 shots, and stealing the ball 8.8 times.
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