In their final home game of the season, the Texas Southern Tigers (14-14, 11-4 SWAC) host the Alabama State Hornets (8-20, 7-8 SWAC) at Health & PE Center. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 2, 2020, and will air on ESPNU.
Alabama State Hornets vs. Texas Southern Tigers Free Prediction
The opening line at Pointsbet Iowa has the home team Texas Southern as 8 point favorites over Alabama State and a total set at 142.
The Hornets are hoping for a better outcome after their 65-58 loss to the Prairie View A&M Panthers in their last outing. Prairie View A&M won the rebounding battle. The Panthers had 11 offensive rebounds and 38 total rebounds, while the Hornets had five and 29, respectively. Tyrese Robinson played well for Alabama State, contributing three points and 15 rebounds.
In the Tigers’ last matchup, they dismantled the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, 85-58. The Tigers, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.7, had a phenomenal mark of 42.9, while the Bulldogs had a free throw rate of 0.190 (below the 0.240 mark opponents have averaged against Texas Southern this season). With 12 points and 11 rebounds, Justin Hopkins played well for Texas Southern.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. Eden Ewing had 11 points and eight rebounds in the first matchup, in which the Tigers lost 79-55. Alabama State’s 0.500 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Texas Southern, who had a rate of 0.325.
The offensive glass could be a huge advantage for Texas Southern in this meeting. The Tigers are among the nation’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 59th in offensive rebounding percentage at 32.1 percent. Meanwhile, Alabama State ranks 255th in the NCAA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 70.7 percent.
Alabama State vs. Texas Southern Betting Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Alabama State, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
Texas Southern ranks 46th in rebounds per game (38.5) while Alabama State ranks 283rd (32.0).
The Hornets rank 175th in three pointers attempted per game (21.1) while the Tigers rank 277th (17.6).
Texas Southern ranks 149th in blocks per game (2.9) while Alabama State ranks 230th (2.0).
The Tigers rank 140th in steals per game (6.3) while the Hornets rank 188th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
Texas Southern ranks 228th in assists per game (11.4) while Alabama State ranks 265th (10.1).
The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 9.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 84.2 points per game (11.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 75.4 points per game (0.2 below their season average).