The New York Jets and Buffalo Bills have played once this season, with the Jets winning a tight game at MetLife Stadium. This time, they face off in New York, as the Bills are set to play host to their division rivals. In our NFL picks for Week 14, we break down Jets vs Bills from Orchard Park as these AFC East rivals face off.
Jets vs Bills Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 44 |
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This game will be played at Highmark Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, December 11, 2022.
Why Bet The Under:
✅ These two teams played earlier this season in MetLife Stadium, and they combined for 37 total points. We should see a similarly low-scoring affair here, thanks in large part to the elite defense of the Bills.
✅ Buffalo’s defense is elite, ranking fourth in points allowed. But the Jets defense has been excellent as well. They have allowed the sixth fewest points per game in the NFL going into Week 14, and they will help keep the score down here.
✅ The Bills have gone under the total in nine of their 12 games on the season. That makes Buffalo the third most frequent under team in the league, and that trend will continue in this contest.
NFL
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
NYJ | Passing | BUF |
---|---|---|
356 | CMP | 363 |
601 | ATT | 552 |
59.2 | CMP% | 65.8 |
171.7 | YDS/GM | 196.6 |
5.6 | Y/A | 6.7 |
4.4 | NY/A | 5.5 |
15 | INT | 18 |
64 | SK | 54 |
Defense/Offense
NYJ | Passing | BUF |
---|---|---|
313 | CMP | 385 |
522 | ATT | 579 |
60.0 | CMP% | 66.5 |
168.3 | YDS/GM | 244.4 |
6.1 | Y/A | 7.4 |
5.0 | NY/A | 6.9 |
17 | INT | 18 |
48 | SK | 24 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
NYJ | Rushing | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
388 | ATT | 409 |
1647 | YDS | 1880 |
96.9 | Y/G | 110.6 |
4.2 | Y/A | 4.6 |
7 | TD | 14 |
0.4 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Defense/Offense
NYJ | Rushing | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
517 | ATT | 512 |
2108 | YDS | 2212 |
124.0 | Y/G | 130.1 |
4.1 | Y/A | 4.3 |
14 | TD | 22 |
0.8 | TD/G | 1.3 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
NYJ | Special Teams | BUF |
---|---|---|
33 | Punts/Ret | 19 |
319 | Punt/Yds | 237 |
9.7 | Punt/Y/R | 12.5 |
24 | Kick Off/Ret | 29 |
542 | Kick Off/Yds | 649 |
22.6 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 22.4 |
Defense/Offense
NYJ | Special Teams | BUF |
---|---|---|
48 | Punts/Ret | 31 |
535 | Punt/Yds | 360 |
11.1 | Punt/Y/R | 11.6 |
8 | Kick Off/Ret | 17 |
123 | Kick Off/Yds | 349 |
15.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.5 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
NYJ | Scoring | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
7 | RshTD | 14 |
11 | RecTD | 18 |
36 | FGM | 26 |
39 | FGA | 28 |
15.8 | Pts/G | 18.3 |
Defense/Offense
NYJ | Scoring | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 22 |
19 | RecTD | 29 |
34 | FGM | 24 |
39 | FGA | 29 |
20.9 | Pts/G | 26.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
NYJ | Defense | BUF |
---|---|---|
16.3% | Bltz% | 23.5% |
10.1% | Hrry% | 6.9% |
9.8% | QB Hit% | 10.7% |
26.5% | QB Prss% | 24.4% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alijah Vera-Tucker | G | Triceps | Out | 12/11/22 |
Ashtyn Davis | S | Hamstring | Out | 12/11/22 |
Breece Hall | RB | Acl | Out | 12/11/22 |
Bryce Hall | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Cedric Ogbuehi | OT | Groin | Out | 12/11/22 |
Greg Senat | OT | Undisclosed | Out | 12/11/22 |
James Robinson | RB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Jeff Smith | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Max Mitchell | OL | Undisclosed | Out | 12/11/22 |
Mekhi Becton | OT | Kneecap | Out | 12/11/22 |
Micheal Clemons | DL | Knee | Out | 12/11/22 |
Nick Bawden | FB | Undisclosed | Out | 12/11/22 |
Zach Wilson | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Corey Davis | WR | Illness | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
D.J. Reed | CB | Illness | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Duane Brown | OT | Shoulder | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
George Fant | OT | Illness | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Lamarcus Joyner | S | Hip | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Michael Carter | RB | Ankle | Questionable | 12/07/22 |
Michael Carter II | CB | Ankle | Questionable | 12/07/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Baylon Spector | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Christian Benford | CB | Oblique | Out | 12/11/22 |
Dean Marlowe | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Jake Kumerow | WR | Ankle | Out | 12/11/22 |
Jamison Crowder | WR | Ankle | Out | 12/11/22 |
Jordan Phillips | DT | Shoulder | Out | 12/11/22 |
Justin Murray | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
Micah Hyde | S | Neck | Out | 12/11/22 |
Reggie Gilliam | FB | Ankle | Out | 12/11/22 |
Tommy Doyle | OT | Knee (acl) | Out | 12/11/22 |
Von Miller | LB | Knee | Out | 12/11/22 |
Xavier Rhodes | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/11/22 |
David Quessenberry | OL | Ankle | Questionable | 12/09/22 |
Ike Boettger | G | Achilles | Questionable | 12/11/22 |
Cam Lewis | CB | Forearm | Probable | 12/08/22 |
Dion Dawkins | OT | Ankle | Probable | 12/11/22 |
Josh Allen | QB | Elbow | Probable | 12/08/22 |
Matt Milano | LB | Knee | Probable | 12/11/22 |
Mitch Morse | C | Elbow | Probable | 12/09/22 |
Rodger Saffold | G | Knee | Probable | 12/09/22 |
Betting Trends
NYJ | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
18.67 | Avg Score | 27.67 |
15.67 | Avg Opp Score | 19.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-2-1 |
13.67 | Avg Score | 29.33 |
15.33 | Avg Opp Score | 24.33 |
NYJ | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-3-1 |
18.6 | Avg Score | 26 |
17.2 | Avg Opp Score | 22.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
18.4 | Avg Score | 33.4 |
15.2 | Avg Opp Score | 16.6 |
NYJ | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-6-1 |
21.2 | Avg Score | 26.1 |
16.9 | Avg Opp Score | 19.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-3-2 |
20.8 | Avg Score | 31.1 |
22.3 | Avg Opp Score | 15.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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New York Jets
The New York Jets nearly beat the Minnesota Vikings last week, but fell just short in their late comeback attempt. Mike White was effective moving the ball in the second half, but threw an interception on the goal line in the final seconds to seal the game for the Vikings. Here, the Jets will look for another solid outing from White, against the stout Bills defense.
The Jets will also need to get off to a better start in this game than they did against Minnesota. They went down 20-3 in the first half against the Vikings before their offense started to click. Falling behind by that much this time will not bode well against the potent Bills offense.
Buffalo Bills
Last week, the Buffalo Bills played on Thursday Night Football, and beat the New England Patriots handily in a 24-10 road win. Buffalo’s defense was on point for the game, holding the Patriots to 242 yards of offense. Here, the Bills will aim for a similar defensive performance against a Jets team that is figuring things out on the offensive side of the ball.
Buffalo is starting to see improvement their running game, with James Cook rushing for 62 yards in their last game. They have averaged 136.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks eighth in the NFL. Keeping the ball moving on the ground here will help keep it out of White’s hands, and will help the Bills get another key win in the AFC East race.