The Miami Dolphins head into Sunday’s clash against the New York Jets hoping to extend a three-game winning streak. Both teams have struggled this season, but they both got wins last week and will look for another in this AFC East contest. Here, I break down this matchup on Sunday afternoon and give you my Dolphins vs Jets prediction in Week 14.
Our Dolphins vs Jets Pick
Pick: New York Jets moneyline
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Pairing: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
- Date & Time: Sunday, December 7, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- Broadcast: CBS
Dolphins vs Jets Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total O/U |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins –2.5 | Dolphins –155 / Jets +130 | 41.5 |
Key Storylines
- Momentum on both sides: Miami arrives after winning three games in a row following a tough start. That improvement gives them belief, as they enter this contest just two games under .500 for the season. New York has shown occasional sparks as well, including last week where they beat the Atlanta Falcons on a walk-off field goal. Both teams have enjoyed some recent positives and will try to keep building on them.
- Division implications: This is an AFC East contest and every win carries extra weight in division action. Neither team is within striking distance in the race to win this division, but they will try to pick up a morale-boosting win over a rival.
- Defense shaping outcomes: Miami’s recent performances have featured stronger defensive play and a more balanced offense than in the past. The Jets still struggle to generate takeaways and sustain drives. It will be interesting to see if the Jets can step up for the second week in a row.
- Weather factor: The weather in this game is definitely going to play into the hands of the Jets. It is going to be cold this weekend in New Jersey and that could hinder the fast-paced offense of the Dolphins to some degree.
Quarterback Play
Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa enters this game with 2,280 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions. The offense averages about 198 passing yards and 117 rushing yards per game. Running back De’Von Achane has provided big plays and has topped 1,000 rushing yards with 6 rushing scores this season to help Tagovailoa out.
The Jets’ quarterback situation is currently centered around Tyrod Taylor. The Jets’ passing attack ranks near the bottom of the league, but Taylor had some very good moments at MetLife Stadium last week in the win over Atlanta. Their running game is led by Breece Hall and has been more reliable, but overall the offense lacks consistency across the board.
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Dolphins beat the Jets 27-21 in Miami earlier this season.
- Miami is 6-6 against the spread for the season.
- New York is 7-4-1 against the spread going into this game.
Dolphins vs Jets Model Projection
Score Projection: Miami 23 – Jets 27
Win Probability: Miami 48%, Jets 52%
Final Thoughts
Miami is playing better football than the Jets of late. But I’m expecting the weather to help the Jets in this game and for the Dolphins to struggle on defense. I’ll take the Jets as a home underdog to win outright here.
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