The Denver Broncos head to Allegiant Stadium on Sunday to face the Las Vegas Raiders. This is a game that has major implications for the AFC playoff picture. Denver is on a nine‑game win streak and Las Vegas is limping home with just two wins all season, as Denver looks to get closer to locking up a division title. Before kickoff from Vegas, you will find my breakdown of this contest below, including my Broncos vs Raiders prediction.
Our Broncos vs Raiders Pick
- Pick: Denver Broncos -7.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders
- Date & Time: Sunday, December 7, 2025, 4:05 PM ET
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: CBS
Broncos vs Raiders Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| DEN –7.5 | DEN –410 / LV +320 | 40.5 |
Key Storylines
- Denver’s win streak vs. Vegas’ collapse: The Broncos are winners of their last nine games and sit at 10-2, firmly in contention for a top seed in the AFC playoffs. The Raiders are 2-10 and out of playoff contention, having lost six straight games. The momentum advantage going into this game clearly favors Denver.
- Playoff and divisional significance: A win helps Denver stay close to the conference leading New England Patriots and will move the Broncos a step closer to locking up the AFC West championship. For Las Vegas, this is more about pride. The Raiders will want to avoid a season sweep at the hands of the Broncos and prove that they can still play competitive football.
- Offensive vs defensive mismatch: Denver ranks among the upper tier in the league in total defense and defense efficiency. Las Vegas remains near the bottom of the league offensively and struggles to sustain drives. The Broncos’ defense could control this game and limit big plays.
Quarterback Play
For Denver, Bo Nix has steered the offense with efficiency rather than flash. He has 19 touchdowns and 9 interceptions so far this year. His conservative style should mesh well against a Raiders defense that has had trouble generating pressure while also giving up big chunk plays.
For Las Vegas, Geno Smith is likely under center. With the Raiders’ offensive line struggling and the pass rush of the Broncos ranked among the best in the league, Smith could be forced into hurried throws and turnovers. Unless Las Vegas somehow establishes the run early, their passing game may be suffocated.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Denver is 5-6-1 against the spread this season, and 1-3 ATS when favored by 7.5 points or more.
- Las Vegas is 4-8 against the spread going into Week 14.
- The Broncos beat the Raiders 10-7 in the first meeting between these teams in the regular season.
Broncos vs Raiders Model Projection
Score Projection: Denver Broncos 24 – Las Vegas Raiders 13
Win Probability: Denver Broncos 79%, Las Vegas Raiders 21%
Final Thoughts
I am laying the points with the Denver Broncos on the road in Las Vegas this week. Denver’s defense should be able to get pressure on Geno Smith and force him into throws that will result in turnovers. Denver should be able to win by double-digits in this matchup from Allegiant Stadium.
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