North Texas Mean Green vs Tulane Green Wave Prediction - 12/5/2025
Updated December 2, 2025
Updated December 2, 2025
The North Texas Mean Green and Tulane Green Wave will collide in the 2025 American Athletic Conference Championship game on Friday night. North Texas has a record-setting offense and will try to use it to win the AAC against a Tulane team that still has its sights set on the College Football Playoff. Before kickoff from New Orleans, you will find my breakdown of this game below, including my North Texas vs Tulane prediction.
Pick: North Texas -2.5
Confidence: 3/5
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Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
North Texas –2.5 | North Texas –135 / Tulane +114 | 66.5 |
North Texas’ offense is orchestrated by Drew Mestemaker, who finished the regular season with 3,835 passing yards, 29 touchdowns, and just 4 interceptions. He has an elite weapon in Caleb Hawkins, who has 1,216 rushing yards and 23 touchdowns.
Tulane relies on Jake Retzlaff under center. Retzlaff is a dual-threat quarterback who has thrown for 2,717 yards and 14 touchdowns while adding 14 touchdowns on the ground. While Retzlaff doesn’t put up North Texas-level aerial stats, his ability to keep defenses off-balance could help Tulane win at home.
Tulane has home-field advantage and are playing for a playoff berth. But I think that North Texas has the upper hand going into this game. The offense of the Mean Green is just too much for the Green Wave to overcome. Expect the Green Wave to be green with envy after the Mean Green makes the Green Wave see red. I'll lay the points with North Texas in the AAC title game.
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