The Big 12 championship game will be played by the BYU Cougars and Texas Tech Red Raiders on Saturday afternoon. Both teams enter with 11‑1 records and College Football Playoff aspirations. Texas Tech won the first meeting between these teams this season and BYU is out for both revenge and a conference title here. Before kickoff from AT&T Stadium, you can find my BYU vs Texas Tech prediction right here.
Our BYU vs Texas Tech Pick
- Pick: Texas Tech -12.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: BYU Cougars vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Date & Time: Saturday, December 6, 2025, 12:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
- Broadcast: ABC
BYU vs Texas Tech Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech –12.5 | Texas Tech –550, BYU +410 | 50.5 total points |
Key Storylines
- Texas Tech enters as the stronger overall team this season, dominating on both offense and defense. They handled BYU convincingly earlier this season, winning 29–7 at home. A neutral‑site championship may not shift the balance that much, especially given how complete TTU has looked in recent weeks and that the game is still being held in the state of Texas.
- For BYU, this is a chance at redemption. Their offense stalled badly in the first meeting, and they’ll need a sharper showing to stay competitive in this contest.
- There are huge College Football Playoff implications involved in this game. A win for BYU would seal up a playoff spot for them, while a BYU loss would likely knock them out of contention. Texas Tech should be in the playoff no matter what happens in this game, but they will try to improve their seeding as much as possible with a win here.
Quarterback Play
Senior quarterback Behren Morton brings a potent passing game to the title game for Texas Tech. He’s thrown over 2,400 yards this season with 20 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions. Finishing drives will be important for Morton and the Red Raiders in this game, after they had to settle for five field goals against BYU last time they met.
BYU’s offense is led by true freshman quarterback Bear Bachmeier. He’s thrown for 2,593 yards, with 14 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He will need to rise to the occasion in this game and avoid succumbing to the pressure of playing for a conference title in his freshman season.
Betting Trends
- Texas Tech is 11-1 against the spread this season, ranking at the top of the FBS in ATS record.
- BYU is 9-3 against the spread for the year.
- Texas Tech has gone under the total in 7 of their 12 regular-season games.
- BYU is 6-6 in the over/under market going into this contest.
BYU vs Texas Tech Model Projection
Score Projection: BYU 14 – Texas Tech 28
Win Probability: BYU 27%, Texas Tech 73%
Final Thoughts
I think we are going to see another dominant performance from Texas Tech in the Big 12 championship game. The Red Raiders are operating at a high level on both sides of the ball and I don’t think the Cougars can stand up to the Red Raiders at the point of attack. I’ll lay the points with Texas Tech as they should beat BYU for the second time this year in convincing fashion.
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