AFC South rivals will meet in Week 16 of the NFL season as the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans do battle. Tennessee leads this division heading into the home stretch of the season, but a loss here could help the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts inch closer. In our NFL betting picks for Christmas Eve, we look at Texans vs Titans from Nashville.
Texans vs Titans Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Titans -5 |
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This game will be played at Nissan Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 24, 2022.
Why Bet the Titans:
✅ Derrick Henry has absolutely owned the Houston Texans of late. He has four straight games of 200+ rushing yards against the Texans. No other player in NFL history has ever accomplished that feat against one opponent, and Henry will pace the Titans offense here.
✅ There could be a fatigue factor in play for this contest, as the Texans have played two very tight games against elite level opponents coming into this game. That includes an overtime game against the Chiefs last week, and it may be hard for Houston to sustain that level.
✅ The Texans have a vested interest in continuing to lose games this season. They are very close to clinching the top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Their efforts should be rewarded by locking that spot up in the next week or so.
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Houston Texans
Things have gone very well for the Houston Texans over the last couple of weeks. They took the Dallas Cowboys and Kansas City Chiefs to the wire, narrowly losing against both teams. Looking respectable against those elite teams, while maintaining the worst record in the NFL, is the ideal scenario for the Texans at the moment.
This week, the Texans need to figure out a way to stop the run if they want to keep things competitive against the Texans. They have been completely unable to figure that out against Derrick Henry, and the Texans could get blown out for the first time in a while if they can’t limit Henry here.
Tennessee Titans
The Tennessee Titans have been struggling of late, letting their competition back into the AFC South race. After four straight losses, the Titans are now 7-7, and just one game ahead of the Jacksonville Jaguars for first place in the division. Here, the Titans will look to get back to the basics to get a much-needed win.
Getting back to the basics consists of giving the ball to Derrick Henry early and often here. Henry has been historically good against the Texans, who have the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing 167.5 yards per game. If Henry can rush for a fifth straight 200+ yard game against Houston, Tennessee could get back above .500 and remain alone at the top of the NFC South.
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