Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders Prediction 10/20/2024

Panthers vs Commanders Betting Odds

Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders Betting Preview

Sunday the Carolina Panthers (1-5) will battle the Washington Commanders (4-2). Oddsmakers peg the Commanders as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 76%, leaving the Panthers with a 24% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Commanders -7.5 with a Game Total of 51.5.

Washington's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #10 in football at 343 yards per game. The quality of their rushing attack has led to much of their success. The Commanders 5.49 yards per carry ranks #3-best in the NFL. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Washington's 8.31 yards per target puts them #5 in football. This presents a decided advantage for Washington given that the Panthers haven't had much success in stopping the run this year, giving up 5.27 yards per carry (#5-worst in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Commanders check in at #17 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 224 yards per game against Washington this year (#15 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #9 against them with 5.04 yards per ground attempt. This Commanders defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 32 yards per game (#4-best in the league). Washington's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have scorched them for 164 yards per game (#7-worst in the league).

Carolina's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #30 in the league while allowing 410 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to shut down the run game, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #5-most yards per carry: 5.27. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their pass defense, though, which checks in at #5-worst in yards per target (8.58). The Panthers defensive tackles have played a big part in their inability to stop the run, ranking #2-worst in the NFL by this measure. This represents a particular disadvantage for Carolina given that the Commanders have excelled in the run game this year, accumulating 5.49 yards per carry (#3-best in the league). In terms of their offense, the Panthers have ranked #21 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 207 yards per game (#22 in football). On the ground they've ranked #9 with 4.71 yards per carry.

Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders Prediction

Final Score: Carolina Panthers 19.57 vs Washington Commanders 25.15

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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