Going into Week 13 of the NFL season, every team in the AFC East has a winning record. But that could change after this week, as the Buffalo Bills have the chance to drop the New England Patriots to 6-6 on the season. In our NFL betting picks for Thursday Night Football, we look at this significant Bills vs Patriots clash in the AFC East.
Bills vs Patriots Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Under 44 |
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This game will be played at Gillette Stadium at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, December 1, 2022.
Why Bet The Under:
✅ These teams have two of the top-six scoring defenses in the NFL so far this season. Both of them have been elite at getting stops this year, and will continue to do that in this Thursday night contest.
✅ Buffalo has not been terrible, but they have been struggling to score in opponent territory. Josh Allen has been turning the ball over in the red zone, and their lack of red zone efficiency will help the under come in.
✅ The Patriots and Bills have both seen the majority of their games go under the total this season. The Patriots have seen six of their 11 games go under, while the Bills have seen eight of their 11 games go under the total.
NFL
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
BUF | Passing | NE |
---|---|---|
385 | CMP | 370 |
579 | ATT | 575 |
66.5 | CMP% | 64.3 |
244.4 | YDS/GM | 208.4 |
7.4 | Y/A | 6.6 |
6.9 | NY/A | 5.8 |
18 | INT | 10 |
24 | SK | 36 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Passing | NE |
---|---|---|
363 | CMP | 351 |
552 | ATT | 557 |
65.8 | CMP% | 63.0 |
196.6 | YDS/GM | 180.5 |
6.7 | Y/A | 6.1 |
5.5 | NY/A | 5.1 |
18 | INT | 21 |
54 | SK | 48 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
BUF | Rushing | NE |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
512 | ATT | 480 |
2212 | YDS | 1584 |
130.1 | Y/G | 93.2 |
4.3 | Y/A | 3.3 |
22 | TD | 14 |
1.3 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Rushing | NE |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
409 | ATT | 415 |
1880 | YDS | 1627 |
110.6 | Y/G | 95.7 |
4.6 | Y/A | 3.9 |
14 | TD | 9 |
0.8 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
BUF | Special Teams | NE |
---|---|---|
31 | Punts/Ret | 44 |
360 | Punt/Yds | 439 |
11.6 | Punt/Y/R | 10.0 |
17 | Kick Off/Ret | 21 |
349 | Kick Off/Yds | 433 |
20.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.6 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Special Teams | NE |
---|---|---|
19 | Punts/Ret | 33 |
237 | Punt/Yds | 208 |
12.5 | Punt/Y/R | 6.3 |
29 | Kick Off/Ret | 18 |
649 | Kick Off/Yds | 471 |
22.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 26.2 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
BUF | Scoring | NE |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
22 | RshTD | 14 |
29 | RecTD | 19 |
24 | FGM | 31 |
29 | FGA | 38 |
26.5 | Pts/G | 21.5 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Scoring | NE |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 9 |
18 | RecTD | 16 |
26 | FGM | 16 |
28 | FGA | 25 |
18.3 | Pts/G | 13.9 |
Team Advanced Defense
BUF | Defense | NE |
---|---|---|
23.5% | Bltz% | 35.2% |
6.9% | Hrry% | 9.7% |
10.7% | QB Hit% | 5.9% |
24.4% | QB Prss% | 20.7% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Baylon Spector | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/01/22 |
Christian Benford | CB | Oblique | Out | 12/01/22 |
Dean Marlowe | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/01/22 |
Dion Dawkins | OT | Ankle | Out | 12/01/22 |
Jake Kumerow | WR | Ankle | Out | 12/01/22 |
Jamison Crowder | WR | Ankle | Out | 12/01/22 |
Kaiir Elam | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/01/22 |
Micah Hyde | S | Neck | Out | 12/01/22 |
Quintin Morris | TE | Illness | Out | 12/01/22 |
Tommy Doyle | OT | Knee (acl) | Out | 12/01/22 |
Von Miller | LB | Knee | Out | 12/01/22 |
Ike Boettger | G | Achilles | Questionable | 12/01/22 |
Marquez Stevenson | WR | Foot | Questionable | 12/01/22 |
Damar Hamlin | S | Illness | Probable | 11/30/22 |
Dane Jackson | CB | Illness | Probable | 11/30/22 |
Jaquan Johnson | S | Illness | Probable | 11/30/22 |
Khalil Shakir | WR | Illness | Probable | 11/30/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Stueber | OL | Hamstring | Out | 12/01/22 |
Brian Hoyer | QB | Head | Out | 12/01/22 |
Carl Davis Jr. | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/01/22 |
Chasen Hines | OL | Undisclosed | Out | 12/01/22 |
Christian Barmore | DL | Knee | Out | 12/01/22 |
Cody Davis | SS | Knee | Out | 12/01/22 |
Damien Harris | RB | Thigh | Out | 12/01/22 |
Isaiah Wynn | OL | Foot | Out | 12/01/22 |
Jake Bailey | P | Back | Out | 12/01/22 |
Jalen Mills | CB | Groin | Out | 12/01/22 |
Joejuan Williams | CB | Shoulder | Out | 12/01/22 |
Joshuah Bledsoe | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/01/22 |
Kristian Wilkerson | WR | Concussion | Out | 12/01/22 |
LaBryan Ray | DL | Undisclosed | Out | 12/01/22 |
Marcus Cannon | OL | Concussion | Out | 12/01/22 |
Quinn Nordin | K | Undisclosed | Out | 12/01/22 |
Ronnie Perkins | LB | Undisclosed | Out | 12/01/22 |
Shaun Wade | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/01/22 |
Ty Montgomery | WR | Ankle | Out | 12/01/22 |
Yodny Cajuste | OL | Calf | Out | 12/01/22 |
David Andrews | C | Thigh | Questionable | 12/01/22 |
Jabrill Peppers | DB | Illness | Questionable | 12/01/22 |
Marcus Jones | DB | Ankle | Questionable | 12/01/22 |
Trent Brown | OL | Illness | Questionable | 12/01/22 |
DeVante Parker | WR | Knee | Probable | 11/30/22 |
Jakobi Meyers | WR | Shoulder | Probable | 12/01/22 |
Betting Trends
BUF | Betting Trends | NE |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
0-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
29.67 | Avg Score | 20.67 |
27 | Avg Opp Score | 13 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
23 | Avg Score | 16.67 |
21.67 | Avg Opp Score | 13 |
BUF | Betting Trends | NE |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
0-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
26.6 | Avg Score | 19.6 |
23.6 | Avg Opp Score | 17.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
22.2 | Avg Score | 21 |
21.2 | Avg Opp Score | 15.2 |
BUF | Betting Trends | NE |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-3-1 |
27.8 | Avg Score | 23.2 |
18.9 | Avg Opp Score | 18.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
26.9 | Avg Score | 31.1 |
21.8 | Avg Opp Score | 15.2 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills completed their two-week trip to Detroit, and won there for the second straight time on Thanksgiving day. They won by a field goal over the Detroit Lions, coming back in the second half to take down a Lions team that played with a ton of heart in that contest. Now, the Bills face another tough opponent on the road, as they play for the second Thursday in a row.
For the Bills, it is time to focus on paying attention to detail in the red zone. They are clearly one of the best teams in the NFL, but making mistakes on the goal line will not be acceptable in the postseason. If that process does not start soon for the Bills, they could not only take a loss here, but they could slip down the AFC East standings.
New England Patriots
The New England Patriots also played on Thanksgiving, losing the night game on Thursday to the Minnesota Vikings. They could not stop Kirk Cousins and the Vikings passing attack, wasting a decent offensive performance from Mac Jones and company. Here, the Patriots defense will need to step up in order to slow down the Bills.
The Patriots’ defensive assignment this week is similar to the one they faced last week. They face another quarterback capable of throwing down field and a similarly gifted group of wide receivers. Expect Bill Belichick and his defensive staff to make some adjustments to avoid getting torched through the air for a second straight week.