Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers Pick & Prediction – 10/13/2024

Cardinals vs Packers Betting Odds

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

The last time these teams battled was Week 8 of 2021 when the visiting Packers pulled off an upset on the road, beating the Cardinals 24-21. Green Bay entered that game as a 6.5 point road underdog. They had an implied win probability of only 30% before pulling off that big upset. The Game Total for that game was 51.0 and the Under hit.

Green Bay's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 369 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #9 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. Opposing QBs have thrown for the #8-most yards per game (251) against the Packers. Opposing running backs have given the Packers pass defense the most trouble, posting 39 yards per game against them (#7-worst in football). Green Bay's coverage problems have been exacerbated by their cornerbacks, who rank just #30 in the league in locking down opposing pass-catchers. Green Bay's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #8-worst unit in the NFL. This presents a decided disadvantage for Green Bay given that the Cardinals air attack has been so good this year, passing their way to 7.04 yards per target (#18-best in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Packers check in at #10 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 233 yards per game (#15 in football). Their run game has ranked #21 with 4.15 yards per attempt on the ground.

Arizona's biggest weakness has been their passing offense, ranking #25 in the league with a mere 194 yards per game. In terms of their defense, the Cardinals have ranked #26 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 224 yards per game through the air against them (#14 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #15 with 4.85 yards per carry. Positionally, perhaps their best defensive asset has been their safeties, which rank #2 in the league in terms of stopping the run. Arizona has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 88.6% completion rate (#1-highest).

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers Prediction

Final Score: Arizona Cardinals 23 vs Green Bay Packers 28.68

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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