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Free College Football Picks & Betting News

TCU vs Georgia CFP Championship Game Pick & Prediction 1/9/23

January 9th, 2023 By: Vincent Senick

The College Football Playoff National Championship is set for Monday night when the #3 TCU Horned Frogs (13-1) battle the #1 Georgia Bulldogs (14-0). Both teams played in classic semifinal games, but skeptics still don’t believe that TCU is for real. Will they prove everyone wrong against the defending champions? Below is my college football pick for TCU vs Georgia.

TCU vs Georgia Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: TCU +13.5
🎁 Recommended Sportsbook Promo: Bet $5 and Win $150 at DraftKings
🏈 Promo Code: Click the link to activate

This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 8:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 31, 2022.

This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 7:30 p.m. on Monday, January 9, 2023.

Why Bet TCU +13.5

✅ TCU is 10-3-1 against the spread in 14 games played this season.

✅ Georgia is 7-7 ATS in their 14 games played.

✅ There is some pixy dust with this TCU team, and I think they keep this game close.

Sportbook logo
Pick: TCU +13.5
Bet $5, Win $150 At DraftKings

Jan 09, 2023 07:30 PM

TCU Horned Frogs

VS

Georgia Bulldogs

Matchup Odds Trends

Spread Consensus

+13.5/-110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
-13.5/-110

69% TCU

GA 31%

MoneyLine Consensus

+397
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
-552

41% TCU

GA 59%

Total Consensus

61.5/-110
RiversCasinoPA
$500 Second Chance Bet
61.5/-110

26% UN

OV 74%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

TCU Team Stats GA
15GM15
38.8PPG14.3
68.0PLAYS-PG60.8
455.0YDS/G296.8
6.7YPP4.9
21.11st DPG15.5
10.31st DPass9.4
9.41st DRush4.5
1.51st Pen1.6
4.8Pen-Gm5.5
49.6Pen-Yds40.8
0.5FUM-G0.5
0.5INT-G0.8

Defense/Offense

TCU Team Stats GA
15GM15
29.0PPG41.1
71.5PLAYS-PG70.0
408.2YDS/G501.1
5.7YPP7.2
21.21st DPG25.0
10.81st DPass13.7
8.81st DRush9.9
1.61st Pen1.3
5.2Pen-Gm4.4
42.7Pen-Yds44.9
0.4FUM-G0.7
1.1INT-G0.5

Passing

Offense/Defense

TCU Passing GA
19.5CMP19.6
30.3ATT34.1
64.3CMP%57.5
261.7Y/G219.7
8.6Y/A6.4
2.2TD/G1

Defense/Offense

TCU Passing GA
18.9CMP22.4
34.3ATT32.9
55.3CMP%68.2
249.7Y/G295.8
7.3Y/A9
1.7TD/G2.1

Rushing

Offense/Defense

TCU Rushing GA
37.7ATT26.7
193.3Y/G77.1
5.1Y/A2.9
2.5TD/G0.5

Defense/Offense

TCU Rushing GA
37.2ATT37.1
158.5Y/G205.3
4.3Y/A5.5
1.9TD/G2.9

Special Teams

TCU Special Teams GA
4.2Punts-GM2.4
39.9Punt Avg45.0
3.0Kick Ret GM1.5
20.2Kick Ret Avg19.9
1.7Punt Ret GM1.4
12.0Punt Ret Avg12.6

Betting Odds


  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
TCU
GA
TCU
GA
Consensus
+13.5 -106
-13.5 -114
+13.5 -106
-13.5 -115
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
+13.5 -110
-13.5 -110
+13.5 -110
-13.5 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+13.5 -104
-13.5 -115
+13.5 -104
-13.5 -118
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
+13.5 -105
-13.5 -114
+13.5 -105
-13.5 -115
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+13.0 -110
-13.0 -110
+13.5 -110
-13.5 -110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
0.0 -115
0.0 -115
+14.0 -115
-14.0 -105
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
+13.5 -105
-13.5 -110
+13.5 -105
-13.5 -115
Open
Current
Book
TCU
GA
TCU
GA
Consensus
+398
-536
+397
-552
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
+420
-540
+360
-450
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
+480
-690
+400
-550
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
+390
-530
+420
-590
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
+430
-600
+360
-480
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
+500
-700
+400
-555
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
+400
-550
+375
-500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
61.5 -108
61.5 -113
61.5 -112
61.5 -110
Draftkings
Bet $5 Win $150
62.5 -110
62.5 -110
62.0 -110
62.0 -110
FanDuel
$1000 No Sweat Bet
60.5 -115
60.5 -105
60.5 -115
60.5 -105
BetRivers
$500 Second Chance Bet
61.5 -108
61.5 -113
61.5 -112
61.5 -109
Caesars
Up To $1250 On Caesar
62.0 -110
62.0 -110
61.5 -110
61.5 -110
PointsBet
5x - $50 Second Chance Bets
61.5 -110
61.5 -110
61.5 -110
61.5 -110
BetMGM
First Bet Offer Up To $1000
61.5 -110
61.5 -110
61.5 -110
61.5 -110

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
TCU Betting Trends GA
OVERALLOVERALL
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
47Avg Score43
30Avg Opp Score28.33
AWAYHOME
3-0-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P1-2-0
32.33Avg Score43
27.67Avg Opp Score28.33
TCU Betting Trends GA
OVERALLOVERALL
4-1-0Win/Loss/Tie5-0-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P2-3-0
37.4Avg Score38
25.6Avg Opp Score22
AWAYHOME
5-0-0Win/Loss/Tie5-0-0
3-1-1ATS W/L/P2-3-0
35.2Avg Score39.6
29Avg Opp Score23.6
TCU Betting Trends GA
OVERALLOVERALL
9-1-0Win/Loss/Tie10-0-0
6-3-1ATS W/L/P5-5-0
38.1Avg Score38.2
28.2Avg Opp Score17.5
AWAYHOME
7-3-0Win/Loss/Tie10-0-0
5-4-1ATS W/L/P4-6-0
29.9Avg Score42.3
33.4Avg Opp Score15.7

Head to Head

Date TM LN ML SC
12/30/16
GA
TCU
49.0
-3.0
N/A
N/A
31
23

Teams Last 10

TCU Horned Frogs Georgia Bulldogs
Date TM LN ML SC
01/09/23
TCU
GA
80.0
-17.6
+516
-718
12
84
12/31/22
TCU
MICH
73.4
-10.4
+335
-439
66
58
11/26/22
IOWAST
TCU
66.9
-14.0
+397
-513
21
91
11/19/22
TCU
BAYL
43.4
1.1
-100
+82
22
21
11/12/22
TCU
TX
92.0
-10.5
+326
-409
24
14
11/05/22
TXTECH
TCU
47.4
-5.8
+179
-231
16
23
10/29/22
TCU
WVIR
92.1
13.2
-350
+276
54
41
10/22/22
KANST
TCU
67.5
-4.3
+173
-214
35
47
10/08/22
TCU
KAN
69.7
6.9
-280
+223
38
31
10/01/22
OKL
TCU
108.8
11.0
-313
+254
38
86
Date TM LN ML SC
01/09/23
TCU
GA
80.0
-17.6
+516
-718
12
84
12/31/22
OHIOST
GA
80.6
-6.5
+233
-289
53
55
12/03/22
LSU
GA
28.8
-9.7
+336
-545
17
28
11/26/22
GTECH
GA
72.1
-52.2
N/A
N/A
21
54
11/19/22
GA
UK
35.9
17.0
-1663
+759
12
3
11/12/22
GA
MSPST
73.7
22.5
-1214
+783
63
27
11/05/22
TENN
GA
44.7
-6.5
+175
-228
6
19
10/29/22
FL
GA
74.9
-30.5
+1469
-3775
26
56
10/15/22
VAND
GA
49.8
-33.1
+3528
-26460
0
49
10/08/22
AUBRN
GA
49.3
-27.9
+1892
-9213
10
42
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TCU Horned Frogs

Last time out, TCU played #2 Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl and won a 51-45 classic. This was a wild game that felt like Michigan dominated, but the Wolverines never even led. TCU led 14-0 after the first quarter and 21-6 at the half. It all popped off in the third quarter when 44 combined points were scored, and Michigan cut the lead to 11. The Wolverines cut the lead to one score multiple times in the final quarter, but the Horned Frogs continued their magical season and got the win. TCU won outright as 7.5-point underdogs.

Max Duggan went 14/29 for 225 yards, two touchdowns, two interceptions, and added 57 yards and two touchdowns in the ground. Emari Demercado had 150 rushing yards and one touchdown, and Quentin Johnston hauled in six catches for 163 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, TCU allowed 528 total yards, but forced three turnovers, two interceptions and one recovered fumble. The TCU defense returned both of those interceptions for touchdowns and recovered that fumble in the endzone.

Through 14 games, TCU is scoring 41.1 points per game and gaining 474.1 yards, 269.6 through the air and 204.5 on the ground. Defensively, the Horned Frogs allow 25.0 points and 385.1 yards, 235.6 passing and 149.5 rushing.

Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia played #4 Ohio State in the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl and escaped with a 42-41 win. This was another thrilling game that saw the Bulldogs clinch the win right as the East Coast hit the New Year. The game was tied after the first quarter, but Ohio State held a slight 28-24 lead at the half. Ohio State won the third quarter 10-0 and led by 14 going into the fourth quarter. Georgia showed their championship mentality and fought back to take their 42-41 lead with 54 seconds left. However, Ohio State had a chance to win, but Noah Ruggles badly missed a 50-yard field goal to clinch the win for the defending champs. Georgia did not cover the five-point spread.

Stetson Bennett went 23/34 for 398 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Arian Smith had three catches for 129 yards and one touchdown in the win. Defensively, Georgia allowed 467 total yards and did not force any Ohio State turnovers.

After 14 games, Georgia is scoring 39.4 points per game and gaining 494.4 yards, 293.0 through the air and 201.9 on the ground. Defensively, the Bulldogs allow 12.8 points and 292.1 yards, 215.1 passing and 77.0 rushing.

[optin-monster-inline slug=”zv14tnlnqbvigyfuxt8k”]

Tags: Georgia Bulldogs, TCU Horned Frogs

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