SMU vs UCF Betting Preview
An AAC showdown is set for Saturday afternoon when the SMU Mustangs (2-2, 0-0 in AAC) visit the UCF Knights (3-1, 0-0). PointsBet set the line as SMU -3.5 with a total of 64.5. SMU will be disappointed with their performance as we enter conference play, while UCF will be content with how their non-conference schedule went. This game will air live on ESPNU.
Through four games, SMU is scoring 38.5 points per game and are gaining 506.3 yards per game, 353.0 through the air and 153.3 on the ground. Defensively, the Mustangs are averaging 25.5 points against, and 400.0 yards allowed, 219.5 passing and 180.5 rushing.
After four games, UCF is scoring 34.3 points per game and are gaining 482.5 yards per game, 206.8 through the air and 275.8 on the ground. Defensively, the Knights are averaging just 13.5 points against, and 313.0 yards allowed, 169.8 passing and 143.3 rushing.
SMU vs UCF Prediction
Last time out, SMU hosted TCU and suffered a disappointing 42-34 defeat. TCU jumped out to a 14-0 lead after the first quarter and led 28-14 at the half. SMU cut the deficit to seven as we entered the fourth quarter, SMU could never get the stop they needed and ultimately fell by a touchdown. Tanner Mordecai went 27-49 for 372 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Tre Siggers ran the ball 19 times for 60 yards, a 3.2 average, and three touchdowns in the loss. Defensively, the Mustangs allowed 487 total yards and did not force any TCU turnovers.
UCF hosted Georgia Tech and lethargically marched to a 27-10 win. The Knights led 3-0 after the first quarter and 13-7 at the half. It was a 16-10 game after the third quarter before UCF scored the only 11 points of the fourth quarter to get a 27-10 win. UCF scored one touchdown on offense and one touchdown on a blocked punt return. Defensively, UCF allowed 438 total yards and recovered two Georgia Tech fumbles.
Series History: SMU won the meeting last season, 55-28, but UCF leads the all-time series 8-2.
Pick: I like UCF to get the win, but just by a field goal. SMU covers.
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SMU vs UCF Betting Stats
Mustangs
- SMU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of SMU’s last 6 games.
- SMU is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
- SMU is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Central Florida.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of SMU’s last 5 games on the road.
- SMU is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Central Florida.
- SMU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Athletic Conference conference.
- SMU is 9-2 SU in their last 11 games played in October.
- SMU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 5.
Knights
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida’s last 6 games.
- Central Florida is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
- Central Florida is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.
- Central Florida is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Methodist.
- Central Florida is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the American Athletic Conference conference.
- Central Florida is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the West Division division.