The 6th Boca Raton Bowl will feature the home team for the second time ever as the Florida Atlantic Owls host the SMU Mustangs. SMU has never competed in this bowl and Florida Atlantic won this bowl game, 50-3 vs Akron, back in 2017. Florida Atlantic will be without head coach Lane Kiffin who accepted the head coaching gig at Ole Miss.
SMU finished the regular season with a 10-2 overall record and a 6-2 record in the American conference. The Mustangs missed out on a conference championship game appearance by just one game. SMU is bowling for the first time since 2017 and is looking for their first bowl win since 2012. The Mustangs have a 7-8-1 overall record in bowls.
Florida Atlantic ended the 2019 regular season with a 10-3 overall record, a 7-1 conference record, a C-USA – East championship and a C-USA Championship Game win. The Owls are bowling for the first time since 2017 and will look to win their fourth consecutive bowl game. FAU is 3-0 all-time in bowl games.
Below is my pick for the Boca Raton Bowl between the SMU Mustangs and the Florida Atlantic Owls. All lines are from the Draftkings Sportsbook.
SMU Mustangs (-3.5) vs Florida Atlantic Owls: O/U 72 points (-110/-110)
SMU finished their regular season with a nice 37-20 win over the Tulane Green Wave. The Mustangs got out to a 14-0 first quarter lead and never looked back as the controlled a double digit lead the final ten minutes of the game. SMU finished the regular season with two wins in their last four, but those two losses cost them a NY6 Bowl. Away from Dallas, the Mustangs went 4-2 with a ranked win over TCU. SMU is 7-4-1 against the spread and the over has hit in nine of their 12 games this season.
Florida Atlantic hosted the Conference USA Championship game and had the trophy in their hands by halftime. The Owls got out to a 356 halftime lead and cruised in the second half to send Lane Kiffin out with a trophy. FAU ended the 2019 season on a six game winning streak and put up 34+ points in all six games. The Owls went 5-2 in Boca Raton this season with that conference title win the only notable home win and two losses to a ranked UCF team and to Marshall. FAU is 9-4 against the spread and the under hit in six of their 12 games this season.
Series History: These two teams have never met before.
Football ATS Prediction: There are going to be a lot of points in this one, so I am backing over 72 points.
YTD College Football Results: 68-57-2