Mississippi State Bulldogs VS Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick & Preview – 10/21/2023

Jay Sanin on October 20th, 2023

Miss State +6.5 (-110) +205

Arkansas -6.5 (-110) -250

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Over 49 (-110)

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Miss State +6.5 (-110) +205

Arkansas -6.5 (-110) -250

The Mississippi State defense has really struggled of late, giving up 37 or more points in three straight SEC games.
Both of these teams have gone 4-2 to the over in their games so far this season, with Arkansas also pushing on a total this year.

While the Mississippi State Bulldogs and Arkansas Razorbacks are both winless in SEC play so far this season, both teams have been plenty of fun to watch. We like this weekend’s Mississippi State vs Arkansas matchup to go over the total of 49 points, thanks in large part to some poor defense from the Bulldogs. Mississippi State has allowed a ton of points in their recent SEC games, and they gave up 28 to Western Michigan of the MAC in their last outing as well. We should see a high-scoring affair, which one of these two teams has to win.

NCAAFB

Oct 21, 2023 12:00 PM

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Arkansas Razorbacks

Spread Pick Consensus

+6.5/-110

-6.5/-110

34% MSPST

ARK 66%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+210

-258

15% MSPST

ARK 85%

Total Pick Consensus

48.0/-110

48.0/-110

24% UN

OV 76%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

MSPST	Team Stats	ARK
12	GM	12
25.8	PPG	24.9
65.6	PLAYS-PG	67.5
377.2	YDS/G	366.0
5.8	YPP	5.4
20.3	1st DPG	19.7
10.2	1st DPass	10.8
7.8	1st DRush	6.3
2.3	1st Pen	2.5
6.8	Pen-Gm	6.8
60.3	Pen-Yds	56.8
0.8	FUM-G	0.4
0.7	INT-G	0.7

Defense/Offense

MSPST	Team Stats	ARK
12	GM	12
34.1	PPG	30.3
72.0	PLAYS-PG	70.2
456.4	YDS/G	451.2
6.3	YPP	6.4
23.8	1st DPG	24.5
11.3	1st DPass	11.8
10.8	1st DRush	11.4
1.8	1st Pen	1.3
6.3	Pen-Gm	6.9
58.8	Pen-Yds	61.0
0.4	FUM-G	1.1
0.6	INT-G	0.8

Passing

Offense/Defense

MSPST	Passing	ARK
17.9	CMP	19.9
30.7	ATT	32
58.4	CMP%	62.2
239.3	Y/G	244.2
7.8	Y/A	7.6
1.6	TD/G	1.8

Defense/Offense

MSPST	Passing	ARK
20	CMP	20.3
28.4	ATT	32.8
70.4	CMP%	62.1
239.5	Y/G	269.2
8.4	Y/A	8.2
1.9	TD/G	1.2

Rushing

Offense/Defense

MSPST	Rushing	ARK
34.9	ATT	35.5
137.9	Y/G	121.8
3.9	Y/A	3.4
1.6	TD/G	1.1

Defense/Offense

MSPST	Rushing	ARK
43.6	ATT	37.4
216.9	Y/G	182.0
5.0	Y/A	4.9
2.0	TD/G	2.7

Special Teams

MSPST	Special Teams	ARK
3.7	Punts-GM	3.1
44.8	Punt Avg	44.9
1.0	Kick Ret GM	1.1
25.7	Kick Ret Avg	16.9
1.5	Punt Ret GM	0.8
9.1	Punt Ret Avg	6.8

Open

Current

Book

MSPST

ARK

MSPST

ARK

Consensus

+7.0 -129

-7.0 -112

+7.5 -129

-7.5 +104

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+7.0 -115

-7.0 -110

+7.0 -115

-7.0 -115

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Open

Current

Book

MSPST

ARK

MSPST

ARK

Consensus

+225

-295

+230

-294

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+215

-270

+215

-300

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

49.5 -109

49.5 -112

47.0 -107

47.0 -115

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50.5 -110

46.0 -110

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55.5 -110

46.5 -105

46.5 -115

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50.0 -110

46.0 -115

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

50.5 -110

46.5 -110

Betting Trends

MSPST	Betting Trends	ARK
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
0-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
29.33	Avg Score	21
35	Avg Opp Score	28.33
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
24.33	Avg Score	27
23	Avg Opp Score	26

MSPST	Betting Trends	ARK
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-5-0
0-5-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
26.6	Avg Score	25
34	Avg Opp Score	31.4
AWAY		HOME
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
19.2	Avg Score	38.4
25.2	Avg Opp Score	28.8

MSPST	Betting Trends	ARK
OVERALL		OVERALL
6-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
4-6-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
29.9	Avg Score	33.3
26.1	Avg Opp Score	28.5
AWAY		HOME
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
22.9	Avg Score	32.7
27.3	Avg Opp Score	28.1

Head to Head

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
10/08/22	ARK MSPST	55.5 -9.0	+254 -328	17 40
11/06/21	MSPST ARK	53.5 -4.5	+155 -192	28 31
10/03/20	ARK MSPST	69.0 -16.5	+510 -767	21 14
11/02/19	MSPST ARK	59.0 7.5	-272 +215	54 24
11/17/18	ARK MSPST	48.0 -19.5	+800 -2000	6 52
11/18/17	MSPST ARK	59.0 12.0	N/A N/A	28 21
11/19/16	ARK MSPST	57.5 -1.0	N/A N/A	58 42
11/21/15	MSPST ARK	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	51 50
11/01/14	ARK MSPST	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	10 17
11/23/13	MSPST ARK	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	24 17

Teams Last 10

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
11/29/24	MSPST MISS	62.1 -25.6	+1363 -3522	14 26
11/29/24	MSPST MISS	62.1 -25.6	+1363 -3522	14 26
11/23/24	MISSR MSPST	86.2 14.2	-525 +408	58 30
11/09/24	MSPST TENN	96.4 -40.0	+2255 -6600	22 52
11/02/24	UMASS MSPST	50.2 -16.6	+591 -963	17 38
10/26/24	ARK MSPST	25.1 1.6	-134 +108	26 11
10/19/24	TXAM MSPST	33.7 12.7	-859 +481	21 15
10/12/24	MSPST GA	80.9 -50.7	+4842 -25721	47 62
09/28/24	MSPST TX	54.7 -35.1	+3272 -15895	12 33
09/21/24	FL MSPST	24.4 1.3	-104 +85	19 12

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
11/30/24	ARK MISSR	50.2 -3.0	+120 -144	21 28
11/23/24	LOUTCH ARK	72.8 -35.2	+1742 -4431	21 52
11/16/24	TX ARK	44.2 10.6	-497 +355	16 6
11/02/24	MISS ARK	46.0 5.4	-253 +206	54 26
10/26/24	ARK MSPST	25.1 1.6	-134 +108	26 11
10/19/24	LSU ARK	34.6 1.1	-90 +76	21 4
10/05/24	TENN ARK	93.6 22.8	-926 +685	23 31
09/28/24	ARK TXAM	47.2 -6.1	+176 -215	16 20
09/21/24	ARK AUBRN	22.7 -1.1	+49 -58	10 3
09/14/24	UAB ARK	38.9 -14.4	+610 -1285	17 24

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Tags: Arkansas Razorbacks, Mississippi State Bulldogs

December 19th, 2024

Mississippi State Bulldogs VS Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick & Preview – 10/21/2023