Michigan Wolverines VS Michigan State Spartans Betting Pick & Preview – 10/21/2023

Jay Sanin on October 20th, 2023

Michigan -24.5 (-110) -2800

Michigan State +24.5 (-110) +1300

Michigan vs Michigan State Under 46.5 (-110)

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Michigan -24.5 (-110) -2800

Michigan State +24.5 (-110) +1300

The defense of Michigan has been off the charts this season, allowing no more than 10 points in a game so far this season.
Michigan has gone under the total in four of their seven games so far this season.

The two Michigan schools in the Big Ten will meet on Saturday in a highly-anticipated Michigan vs Michigan State matchup. In that game, the Wolverines should move to a perfect 8-0 on the season. But rather than take a side, we will go with the under 46.5 points. Michigan has arguably the best defense in college football this season, and they should go under the total for their fifth time in eight games when the clock hits zeroes in this rivalry game.

NCAAFB

Oct 21, 2023 07:30 PM

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan State Spartans

Spread Pick Consensus

-24.0/-110

+24.0/-110

60% MICH

MST 40%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-7750

+1408

81% MICH

MST 19%

Total Pick Consensus

46.5/-110

46.5/-110

67% UN

OV 33%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

MICH	Team Stats	MST
10	GM	9
20.4	PPG	24.1
60.0	PLAYS-PG	60.4
290.1	YDS/G	323.6
4.8	YPP	5.4
15.9	1st DPG	18.1
6.7	1st DPass	9.7
8.3	1st DRush	6.3
0.9	1st Pen	2.1
4.3	Pen-Gm	4.6
41.4	Pen-Yds	37.6
0.7	FUM-G	0.1
0.9	INT-G	0.9

Defense/Offense

MICH	Team Stats	MST
10	GM	9
23.0	PPG	19.8
65.1	PLAYS-PG	62.4
335.2	YDS/G	345.8
5.1	YPP	5.5
18.7	1st DPG	19.2
10.4	1st DPass	9.6
6.7	1st DRush	8.2
1.6	1st Pen	1.4
4.7	Pen-Gm	6.7
34.1	Pen-Yds	60.2
0.4	FUM-G	0.8
0.7	INT-G	1.2

Passing

Offense/Defense

MICH	Passing	MST
14.4	CMP	16.4
24.2	ATT	26.4
59.5	CMP%	62.2
134.6	Y/G	194.8
5.6	Y/A	7.4
1	TD/G	1.8

Defense/Offense

MICH	Passing	MST
21.5	CMP	17.9
34.6	ATT	28.7
62.1	CMP%	62.4
232.8	Y/G	228
6.7	Y/A	7.9
1.7	TD/G	0.9

Rushing

Offense/Defense

MICH	Rushing	MST
35.8	ATT	34.0
155.5	Y/G	128.8
4.3	Y/A	3.8
1.2	TD/G	1.3

Defense/Offense

MICH	Rushing	MST
30.5	ATT	33.8
102.4	Y/G	117.8
3.4	Y/A	3.5
1.0	TD/G	1.0

Special Teams

MICH	Special Teams	MST
4.5	Punts-GM	3.4
42.2	Punt Avg	47.1
1.9	Kick Ret GM	0.9
20.1	Kick Ret Avg	16.9
1.3	Punt Ret GM	0.6
10.5	Punt Ret Avg	8.4

Open

Current

Book

MICH

MST

MICH

MST

Consensus

-19.5 -112

+19.5 -112

-25.0 -112

+25.0 -109

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-24.5 -115

+24.5 -110

-25.5 -115

+25.5 -115

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Open

Current

Book

MICH

MST

MICH

MST

Consensus

-1430

+700

-7750

+1408

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-4367

+1330

-17857

+1520

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Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

48.5 -107

48.5 -114

46.5 -110

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48.0 -110

46.5 -110

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50.5 -110

46.5 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

48.0 -110

46.5 -110

—-

48.0 -110

46.5 -120

46.5 -110

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48.5 -110

46.5 -110

Betting Trends

MICH	Betting Trends	MST
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	1-1-1
49.67	Avg Score	16.33
8	Avg Opp Score	28
AWAY		HOME
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
3-0-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
47.33	Avg Score	20.33
13.33	Avg Opp Score	28.67

MICH	Betting Trends	MST
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
3-1-1	ATS W/L/P	2-2-1
42.2	Avg Score	20.2
7.4	Avg Opp Score	27.8
AWAY		HOME
5-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
45	Avg Score	24.6
13.4	Avg Opp Score	26.4

MICH	Betting Trends	MST
OVERALL		OVERALL
9-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
5-4-1	ATS W/L/P	4-4-2
40.9	Avg Score	22.9
14.3	Avg Opp Score	25.6
AWAY		HOME
9-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-5-0
8-2-0	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
40.7	Avg Score	26.3
15.6	Avg Opp Score	26.4

Head to Head

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
10/29/22	MST MICH	55.0 -23.0	+1071 -2670	7 29
10/30/21	MICH MST	50.5 4.0	-200 +162	33 37
10/31/20	MST MICH	51.5 -21.5	+991 -2358	27 24
11/16/19	MST MICH	44.5 -13.5	+448 -606	10 44
10/20/18	MICH MST	39.0 7.0	-320 +260	21 7
10/07/17	MST MICH	40.0 -13.0	+300 -380	14 10
10/29/16	MICH MST	52.5 24.5	N/A N/A	32 23
10/17/15	MST MICH	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	27 23
10/25/14	MICH MST	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	11 35
11/02/13	MICH MST	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	6 29

Teams Last 10

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
11/09/24	MICH IND	74.4 -22.7	+738 -1073	24 31
11/02/24	ORE MICH	37.9 12.3	-624 +430	32 14
10/26/24	MST MICH	17.8 -1.6	+60 -73	4 11
10/19/24	MICH ILL	26.7 2.2	-132 +109	3 13
10/05/24	MICH WASH	65.1 -2.4	+171 -207	28 44
09/28/24	MINNST MICH	32.3 -9.8	+309 -406	22 25
09/21/24	USC MICH	18.7 0.7	-78 +65	10 11
09/14/24	ARKST MICH	30.3 -13.7	+627 -1289	11 18
09/07/24	TX MICH	22.0 1.8	-131 +106	16 3
08/31/24	FREST MICH	38.0 -17.6	+752 -1475	7 25

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
11/02/24	IND MST	45.5 5.4	-253 +206	40 7
10/26/24	MST MICH	17.8 -1.6	+60 -73	4 11
10/19/24	IOWA MST	24.0 2.4	-158 +127	12 19
10/04/24	MST ORE	83.8 -36.6	+1626 -3173	16 50
09/28/24	OHIOST MST	45.3 22.0	-3272 +1274	36 6
09/21/24	MST BOSCOL	19.3 -1.9	+72 -86	3 4
09/21/24	MST BOSCOL	19.3 -1.9	+72 -86	3 4
09/07/24	MST MARY	23.3 -4.4	+140 -180	14 13
08/30/24	FLATL MST	37.2 -10.9	+334 -465	7 13
11/24/23	PENNST MST	32.4 17.2	-3170 +908	32 0

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