Illinois Fighting Illini VS Purdue Boilermakers Betting Pick & Preview – 09/30/2023

Jay Sanin on September 28th, 2023

Illinois +1 (-110) -105

Purdue -1 (-110) -115

Purdue -1 (-110) over Illinois

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Illinois +1 (-110) -105

Purdue -1 (-110) -115

Purdue has lost two straight home games, but Illinois’ offense is much worse than that of Syracuse and Wisconsin.
Illinois is 0-4 against the spread so far this season and they will continue to struggle against the point spread here.

Illinois vs Purdue is a matchup of incredibly poor performers in the Big Ten, and Purdue should come out on top of that matchup. The Boilermakers have lost two games in a row at home, but those losses came against Syracuse and Wisconsin, who each do something well offensively. Illinois doesn’t do much well on offense, and the Boilermakers should be able to slow them down to win this contest.

NCAAFB

Sep 30, 2023 03:30 PM

Illinois Fighting Illini

Purdue Boilermakers

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-110

-1.0/-110

49% ILL

PUR 51%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105

-115

27% ILL

PUR 73%

Total Pick Consensus

53.0/-110

53.0/-110

73% UN

OV 27%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

ILL	Team Stats	PUR
10	GM	10
27.1	PPG	38.9
63.3	PLAYS-PG	65.9
357.3	YDS/G	455.7
5.6	YPP	6.9
20.5	1st DPG	23.6
10.5	1st DPass	11.2
8.0	1st DRush	10.7
2.0	1st Pen	1.7
4.8	Pen-Gm	5.1
36.4	Pen-Yds	45.2
0.7	FUM-G	0.1
0.3	INT-G	0.4

Defense/Offense

ILL	Team Stats	PUR
10	GM	10
20.6	PPG	17.2
64.6	PLAYS-PG	56.5
363.2	YDS/G	318.6
5.6	YPP	5.6
19.7	1st DPG	15.1
9.7	1st DPass	7.9
8.8	1st DRush	6.4
1.2	1st Pen	0.8
5.9	Pen-Gm	5.7
52.3	Pen-Yds	55.5
0.5	FUM-G	0.6
0.9	INT-G	0.6

Passing

Offense/Defense

ILL	Passing	PUR
17.8	CMP	18
28.8	ATT	26.9
61.8	CMP%	66.9
215.3	Y/G	252.4
7.5	Y/A	9.4
1.8	TD/G	1.9

Defense/Offense

ILL	Passing	PUR
19.1	CMP	15.4
31.2	ATT	26.1
61.2	CMP%	59
215.9	Y/G	181.1
6.9	Y/A	6.9
1.4	TD/G	1.2

Rushing

Offense/Defense

ILL	Rushing	PUR
34.5	ATT	39.0
142.0	Y/G	203.3
4.1	Y/A	5.2
1.3	TD/G	2.9

Defense/Offense

ILL	Rushing	PUR
33.4	ATT	30.4
147.3	Y/G	137.5
4.4	Y/A	4.5
0.9	TD/G	0.8

Special Teams

ILL	Special Teams	PUR
3.4	Punts-GM	5.3
42.3	Punt Avg	44.1
0.8	Kick Ret GM	1.0
20.1	Kick Ret Avg	18.7
2.1	Punt Ret GM	1.2
12.8	Punt Ret Avg	6.9

Open

Current

Book

ILL

PUR

ILL

PUR

Consensus

+1.0 -110

-1.0 -110

0.0 -110

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+1.0 -110

-1.0 -107

0.0 -110

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

0.0 -110

—-

+1.0 -110

-1.0 -115

-1.0 -110

+1.0 -120

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Open

Current

Book

ILL

PUR

ILL

PUR

Consensus

-109

-112

-110

-111

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-109

-112

-110

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

+100

-120

-115

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+100

-120

-110

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

54.5 -108

54.5 -113

54.0 -109

54.0 -112

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53.5 -110

53.0 -110

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46.5 -110

53.5 -110

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$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

54.5 -110

53.5 -110

—-

54.5 -110

53.5 -115

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53.5 -110

Betting Trends

ILL	Betting Trends	PUR
OVERALL		OVERALL
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
0-3-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
19.67	Avg Score	20.33
27	Avg Opp Score	30
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
27	Avg Score	24
18.67	Avg Opp Score	37.33

ILL	Betting Trends	PUR
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
0-5-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
19.8	Avg Score	20.6
25.6	Avg Opp Score	38.4
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-4-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-5-0
28.2	Avg Score	19.2
15	Avg Opp Score	36.8

ILL	Betting Trends	PUR
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-6-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
3-7-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
22.2	Avg Score	20.6
21.3	Avg Opp Score	30.8
AWAY		HOME
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
8-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-8-0
22.7	Avg Score	25.7
16.8	Avg Opp Score	30.6

Head to Head

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
11/12/22	PUR ILL	44.0 -6.5	+190 -238	31 24
09/25/21	ILL PUR	53.5 -10.5	+318 -450	9 13
10/31/20	PUR ILL	55.5 10.0	-353 +270	31 24
10/26/19	ILL PUR	59.5 -9.5	+259 -337	24 6
10/13/18	PUR ILL	64.0 10.0	-380 +300	46 7
11/04/17	ILL PUR	50.0 -14.0	+440 -600	10 29
10/08/16	PUR ILL	50.5 -8.5	N/A N/A	34 31
11/07/15	ILL PUR	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	48 14
10/04/14	PUR ILL	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	38 27
11/23/13	ILL PUR	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	20 16

Teams Last 10

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
11/16/24	MST ILL	37.2 -1.2	+82 -98	13 30
11/02/24	MINNST ILL	40.0 1.8	-120 +101	21 14
10/26/24	ILL ORE	24.9 -9.8	+452 -896	2 17
10/19/24	MICH ILL	26.7 2.2	-132 +109	3 13
09/28/24	ILL PENNST	45.3 -18.2	+646 -1036	6 20
09/14/24	CMICH ILL	31.9 -13.7	+585 -1156	4 19
09/07/24	KAN ILL	30.6 1.5	-109 +89	5 12
11/25/23	NW ILL	36.6 -4.6	+139 -172	34 33
11/18/23	ILL IOWA	48.1 -4.4	+189 -232	19 22
11/04/23	ILL MINNST	61.4 -4.2	+164 -208	38 37

Date	TM	LN	ML	SC
11/16/24	PENNST PUR	40.3 23.5	-6726 +1706	38 6
11/09/24	PUR OHIOST	85.4 -58.8	+274 -329	0 71
10/18/24	ORE PUR	37.0 18.5	-3820 +1130	21 0
10/05/24	PUR WISC	72.4 -19.5	+597 -822	16 85
09/28/24	NEBR PUR	43.9 8.7	-356 +280	26 9
09/21/24	PUR OREGST	21.7 -0.8	-43 -51	4 16
09/14/24	ND PUR	30.0 2.8	-174 +140	42 3
11/25/23	IND PUR	42.3 -5.0	+136 -170	24 27
11/18/23	PUR NW	70.3 -3.7	+166 -201	22 34
11/11/23	MINNST PUR	33.1 1.2	-93 +77	21 34

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Tags: Illinois Fighting Illini, Purdue Boilermakers

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