The Cleveland Browns and Los Angeles Chargers both picked up wins last week, moving their records to 3-1 on the season. This week, they will play each other with a 4-1 record on the line and a chance to move toward a point where a playoff berth becomes more of a certainty than a question mark. In this round of NFL expert picks, we look at Browns vs Chargers and decide what the best bet is for this contest.
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Browns vs Chargers Betting Pick
This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, October 10, 2021.
Why Bet The Browns:
✅ So far this year, the Cleveland Browns have been much better on defense than their opponents. The Browns are allowing around a yard less per play than the Chargers, which will make a big difference in this matchup between two potent offenses.
✅ The running game for the Cleveland Browns could feast in this game against the Chargers. Los Angeles is allowing 5.3 yards per carry on defense this year, which is the third worst mark in the league through the first four weeks of the year. Only the Arizona Cardinals and Kansas City Chiefs are worse at defending the run to this point.
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✅ Cleveland has been great at keeping possession of the ball this season, averaging just over 34 minutes of possession per game on the year. That level of offensive possession will make it easier for them to keep the ball away from Justin Herbert and the Chargers offense.
Cleveland Browns
The Cleveland Browns put on a defensive clinic last week against the Minnesota Vikings last week. In their 14-7 victory over the Vikings, Cleveland stifled the Vikings in the second half, holding them without any points for the final 30 minutes of the game. While the Browns were disappointing offensively in their own right, they did not need to do anything more than they did to move to 3-1 on the season.
This week, the Browns will look to continue to play well defensively, which will start with the way that their offense performs. Cleveland’s running game is going to be its biggest weapon to keep the ball away from the Los Angeles Chargers. Doing so will limit the number of possessions that Justin Herbert and company will have, which could help the Browns play yet another defensive gem of a game.
Los Angeles Chargers
Last week, the Los Angeles Chargers moved into first place in the AFC West when they beat the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football. The Chargers went up 21-0 in that game in the first half, and managed to hold off the Raiders in the second half to secure a two-touchdown victory. This week, the Chargers take on a better defensive team in the Browns, and the Chargers will have to bring their best on offense to take them down.
The secondary of the Chargers could be a question mark for this game, as Chris Harris and Derwin James are both on the injury report as questionable for this match. With the Browns relying mostly on their running game to pace their offense, this might not be the end of the world for the Chargers. But Baker Mayfield and the Browns’ passing attack could benefit from the banged up Browns secondary.