The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Atlanta Falcons convincingly in their first matchup earlier this season. Now they face off again in Atlanta, with the Falcons hoping to make things more competitive this time around and the Bucs hoping for a similar outcome. In this week’s NFL betting picks, we look at the Buccaneers vs Falcons matchup and determine what the best bet is for this NFC South clash.
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Buccaneers vs Falcons Betting Pick
This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, December 5, 2021.
Why Bet The Buccaneers:
✅ The Tampa Bay Buccaneers put up 48 points against the Atlanta Falcons in their first meeting this season. And while some of those points came on pick sixes late in the second half, the Bucs were clearly the better team there. They will be the better team again here, and should cover this number as they have against bad teams for much of the season.
✅ Atlanta’s offense has been sputtering in recent weeks, which will cause them problems against a Bucs team that regularly puts big numbers on the scoreboard. The Falcons have scored 24 points combined in their last three games, with 21 of those 24 points coming against the Jaguars last week. The Bucs will put up more resistance than the Jags and will hold down Atlanta in this contest.
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✅ Tampa Bay is averaging a full yard per play more than the Falcons this season, and they have performed better on defense this year as well. Atlanta has a bottom-five point differential in the NFL this season, meaning that when they lose they lose convincingly. That will be the case here, as the Bucs should roll as a double-digit favorite.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won their second straight game this week, beating the Indianapolis Colts by a touchdown to move to 8-3 on the season. It was the offense of the Buccaneers that took center stage in their Week 12 win, putting up 38 points to make up for a defensive performance that left a lot to be desired. Here, the Bucs are heavy favorites, but they will have to avoid overlooking one of three sub-.500 teams in their division.
After the Falcons, the Buccaneers have games against the Buffalo Bills and New Orleans Saints to look forward to. While the Bucs shouldn’t overlook a game against a division opponent here, it is never impossible that a team overlooks a game against a team with a losing record when a marquee game awaits just a week after.
Atlanta Falcons
The Atlanta Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak last week, beating the Jacksonville Jaguars by a touchdown. The offense for the Falcons still wasn’t all that impressive, but the Falcons got just enough out of Cordarrelle Patterson in the running game to propel them to a win and avoid an embarrassing loss. This week, the Falcons face a much tougher brand of competition.
Atlanta will need to get something out of Matt Ryan and their passing game if they want to have any shot at beating the Buccaneers. The problem for the Falcons is that their receivers aren’t good enough to create separation down the field on a regular basis to put up big numbers. If that doesn’t change, the Falcons could be looking at a third loss in four division games on the year.