Bills -3 (EVEN) over Chiefs
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- Buffalo is 7-2 at home this season and comes into this game on a six-game winning streak.
- Patrick Mahomes has never played a road playoff game in the NFL and the Chiefs have zero wins against playoff teams on the road this year.
The marquee game of the weekend in the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs is Chiefs vs Bills from Orchard Park. These teams have become familiar foes both in the regular season and playoffs over the last few years. This time around, the winner between them will go to the AFC Championship Game, while the loser will see their season come to an end.
Our pick to advance to the AFC Championship Game out of this matchup is the Buffalo Bills, who we like to cover the spread as three-point favorites. Buffalo is on fire coming into this game, having won six games in a row, including games against the Chiefs, Cowboys, and Dolphins. They are 7-2 at home on the year and should continue to operate an elite level in front of the Bills Mafia in this game.
On the other side, there are some serious questions to be answered by the Kansas City Chiefs on the road coming into this contest. The Chiefs have played just one team on the road this season that ended up in the NFL playoffs. That team was the Green Bay Packers, who beat the Chiefs at Lambeau Field. This is the first career playoff road game for Patrick Mahomes and that is cause for concern for Kansas City going into Sunday.
In their previous meeting this season, the Buffalo Bills did not trail against the Kansas City Chiefs. While there is no guarantee that will be the case again in this postseason matchup, the advantage in this Chiefs vs Bills game is squarely with the hosts. Look for Buffalo to move one step closer to their first Super Bowl appearance since their four straight losses in the big game back in the 1990s.
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NFL
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
KC | Passing | BUF |
---|---|---|
421 | CMP | 363 |
635 | ATT | 552 |
66.3 | CMP% | 65.8 |
246.4 | YDS/GM | 196.6 |
6.9 | Y/A | 6.7 |
6.3 | NY/A | 5.5 |
17 | INT | 18 |
28 | SK | 54 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Passing | BUF |
---|---|---|
340 | CMP | 385 |
556 | ATT | 579 |
61.2 | CMP% | 66.5 |
176.5 | YDS/GM | 244.4 |
6.0 | Y/A | 7.4 |
4.9 | NY/A | 6.9 |
8 | INT | 18 |
57 | SK | 24 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
KC | Rushing | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
417 | ATT | 409 |
1784 | YDS | 1880 |
104.9 | Y/G | 110.6 |
4.3 | Y/A | 4.6 |
9 | TD | 14 |
0.5 | TD/G | 0.8 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Rushing | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
432 | ATT | 512 |
1925 | YDS | 2212 |
113.2 | Y/G | 130.1 |
4.5 | Y/A | 4.3 |
10 | TD | 22 |
0.6 | TD/G | 1.3 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
KC | Special Teams | BUF |
---|---|---|
41 | Punts/Ret | 19 |
380 | Punt/Yds | 237 |
9.3 | Punt/Y/R | 12.5 |
12 | Kick Off/Ret | 29 |
241 | Kick Off/Yds | 649 |
20.1 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 22.4 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Special Teams | BUF |
---|---|---|
20 | Punts/Ret | 31 |
207 | Punt/Yds | 360 |
10.4 | Punt/Y/R | 11.6 |
11 | Kick Off/Ret | 17 |
311 | Kick Off/Yds | 349 |
28.3 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 20.5 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
KC | Scoring | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
9 | RshTD | 14 |
28 | RecTD | 18 |
33 | FGM | 26 |
35 | FGA | 28 |
21.8 | Pts/G | 18.3 |
Defense/Offense
KC | Scoring | BUF |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 22 |
19 | RecTD | 29 |
22 | FGM | 24 |
26 | FGA | 29 |
17.3 | Pts/G | 26.5 |
Team Advanced Defense
KC | Defense | BUF |
---|---|---|
32.9% | Bltz% | 23.5% |
9.8% | Hrry% | 6.9% |
10.8% | QB Hit% | 10.7% |
27.8% | QB Prss% | 24.4% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
BJ Thompson | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Bryan Cook | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Cam Jones | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Charles Omenihu | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Deon Bush | DB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/24 |
Derrick Nnadi | DT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Donovan Smith | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/24 |
Ekow Boye-Doe | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Felix Anudike-Uzomah | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Gerrit Prince | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Jerick McKinnon | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Jody Fortson | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Justyn Ross | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Kadarius Toney | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
L'Jarius Sneed | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/19/24 |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/24 |
Nazeeh Johnson | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Neil Farrell | DE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Nick Bolton | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/24 |
Noah Gray | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/24 |
Prince Tega Wanogho | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Rashee Rice | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/24 |
Skyy Moore | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Wanya Morris | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Willie Gay | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alec Anderson | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Baylon Spector | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Christian Benford | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Damien Harris | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Gabe Davis | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Jordan Phillips | DT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Josh Allen | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/24 |
Justin Shorter | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Matt Milano | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Micah Hyde | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/18/24 |
Nyheim Hines | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Poona Ford | DT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Rasul Douglas | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Sam Martin | P | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Stefon Diggs | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/19/24 |
Taron Johnson | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Taylor Rapp | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Terrel Bernard | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Tommy Doyle | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Tre'Davious White | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Tyrel Dodson | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/19/24 |
Zach Davidson | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 01/21/24 |
Betting Trends
KC | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
21.33 | Avg Score | 26.33 |
12 | Avg Opp Score | 17.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
19.67 | Avg Score | 29.67 |
18.67 | Avg Opp Score | 16 |
KC | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
3-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
21 | Avg Score | 26.8 |
14.6 | Avg Opp Score | 16.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-2-1 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
19.8 | Avg Score | 28.6 |
19.4 | Avg Opp Score | 15.6 |
KC | Betting Trends | BUF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
5-4-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
21 | Avg Score | 26 |
17.2 | Avg Opp Score | 19.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
23.5 | Avg Score | 28.7 |
19.4 | Avg Opp Score | 16 |