Both the Houston Texans and Chicago Bears are in their second years with their current starting quarterbacks. And both teams have had very mixed results with those signal callers. This week, Davis Mills and Justin Fields will face off at Soldier Field as the Texans and Bears play for a win that could be helpful in what could be surprisingly competitive division races. In our NFL picks for Week 3, we break down Texans vs Bears from a betting perspective.
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Texans vs Bears Betting Pick
NFL
Houston Texans
Chicago Bears
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
HOU | Passing | CHI |
---|---|---|
372 | CMP | 410 |
592 | ATT | 617 |
62.8 | CMP% | 66.5 |
245.5 | YDS/GM | 237.8 |
7.7 | Y/A | 6.9 |
6.5 | NY/A | 6.2 |
8 | INT | 22 |
47 | SK | 30 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Passing | CHI |
---|---|---|
382 | CMP | 321 |
565 | ATT | 513 |
67.6 | CMP% | 62.6 |
234.1 | YDS/GM | 182.1 |
7.7 | Y/A | 6.7 |
6.5 | NY/A | 5.5 |
14 | INT | 15 |
46 | SK | 50 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
HOU | Rushing | CHI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
444 | ATT | 388 |
1647 | YDS | 1468 |
96.9 | Y/G | 86.4 |
3.7 | Y/A | 3.8 |
10 | TD | 8 |
0.6 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Rushing | CHI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
468 | ATT | 534 |
1643 | YDS | 2399 |
96.6 | Y/G | 141.1 |
3.5 | Y/A | 4.5 |
19 | TD | 16 |
1.1 | TD/G | 0.9 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
HOU | Special Teams | CHI |
---|---|---|
30 | Punts/Ret | 30 |
292 | Punt/Yds | 381 |
9.7 | Punt/Y/R | 12.7 |
23 | Kick Off/Ret | 15 |
613 | Kick Off/Yds | 371 |
26.7 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 24.7 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Special Teams | CHI |
---|---|---|
29 | Punts/Ret | 23 |
192 | Punt/Yds | 188 |
6.6 | Punt/Y/R | 8.2 |
26 | Kick Off/Ret | 23 |
570 | Kick Off/Yds | 543 |
21.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.6 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
HOU | Scoring | CHI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
10 | RshTD | 8 |
27 | RecTD | 31 |
34 | FGM | 24 |
38 | FGA | 33 |
22.2 | Pts/G | 22.3 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Scoring | CHI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
19 | RshTD | 16 |
17 | RecTD | 19 |
30 | FGM | 35 |
36 | FGA | 38 |
20.8 | Pts/G | 21.2 |
Team Advanced Defense
HOU | Defense | CHI |
---|---|---|
21.0% | Bltz% | 22.2% |
8.5% | Hrry% | 6.4% |
11.5% | QB Hit% | 8.8% |
25.7% | QB Prss% | 18.8% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Austin Deculus | OL | Knee | Out | 09/25/22 |
Brevin Jordan | TE | Ankle | Out | 09/25/22 |
Cedric Ogbuehi | OT | Undisclosed | Out | 09/25/22 |
Christian Harris | LB | Hamstring | Out | 09/25/22 |
Darius Anderson | RB | Knee | Out | 09/25/22 |
Derek Rivers | DE | Bicep | Out | 09/25/22 |
Isaac Yiadom | DB | Thigh | Out | 09/25/22 |
Jake Hansen | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
John Metchie III | WR | Illness | Out | 09/25/22 |
Justin Britt | OL | Personal | Out | 09/25/22 |
Kevin Pierre-Louis | ILB | Groin | Out | 09/25/22 |
Kurt Hinish | DL | Foot | Out | 09/25/22 |
Mario Addison | DE | Thigh | Out | 09/25/22 |
Tavierre Thomas | DB | Quadriceps | Out | 09/25/22 |
Teagan Quitoriano | TE | Knee | Out | 09/25/22 |
Tyler Johnson | WR | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
Blake Cashman | LB | Hip | Probable | 09/23/22 |
Davis Mills | QB | Right Thumb | Probable | 09/22/22 |
Kamu Grugier-Hill | LB | Neck | Probable | 09/23/22 |
Maliek Collins | DL | Knee | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Pharaoh Brown | TE | Shoulder | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Leatherwood | OL | Undisclosed | Out | 09/25/22 |
Dakota Dozier | OL | Leg/knee | Out | 09/25/22 |
Dane Cruikshank | DB | Hamstring | Out | 09/25/22 |
Doug Kramer | OL | Foot | Out | 09/25/22 |
Ja'Tyre Carter | OL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 09/25/22 |
Jaylon Johnson | DB | Quad | Out | 09/25/22 |
Matthew Adams | LB | Hamstring | Out | 09/25/22 |
N'Keal Harry | WR | Ankle | Out | 09/25/22 |
Ryan Griffin | TE | Achilles | Out | 09/25/22 |
Velus Jones Jr. | WR | Hamstring | Out | 09/25/22 |
Roquan Smith | LB | Hip | Probable | 09/25/22 |
Betting Trends
HOU | Betting Trends | CHI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
0-2-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
18 | Avg Score | 15.33 |
21.33 | Avg Opp Score | 22.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
15.33 | Avg Score | 19 |
18.33 | Avg Opp Score | 10 |
HOU | Betting Trends | CHI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-3-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
20.4 | Avg Score | 20 |
23.2 | Avg Opp Score | 19 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
15.4 | Avg Score | 18.4 |
17 | Avg Opp Score | 15.8 |
HOU | Betting Trends | CHI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-6-1 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
18.1 | Avg Score | 19 |
23 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-8-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
12.6 | Avg Score | 18.8 |
24.5 | Avg Opp Score | 20.2 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
This game will be played at Soldier Field at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 25, 2022.
Why Bet The Under:
✅ This Texans vs Bears game features two of the bottom-four offenses in the league in terms of yards per play through Week 2. Neither of these offenses has found a way to get chunk plays on a consistent basis, as Davis Mills and Justin Fields have severely limited the capabilities of both offenses. That will continue here, and we will see another ugly game at Soldier Field.
✅ Both of these teams have gone under the total in each of their first two games this season. They are both averaging 14.5 points per game, and both teams are averaging under 200 passing yards per contest. Expect a conservative game script from each team, as falling behind by any kind of significant margin would be almost impossible for both of these teams to come back from given their offensive limitations.
✅ Last season, six of Chicago’s eight home games went under the total, while six of Houston’s eight road games went under. Both teams started this season with an under in those same scenarios over the first two weeks of the year. Expect another under to come into play in this game as both of these teams continue to go under the total in their respective roles in this contest.
Houston Texans
The Houston Texans put forth a commendable effort against the Denver Broncos last week, falling just short as a double-digit underdog on the road. Despite being outgained by 116 yards in that contest, the Texans had a chance to tie the game down the stretch, but just could not get it done. This week, Houston looks for their first win of the season against a Bears team that has had similar offensive woes to them.
Houston’s running game has been abysmal so far this year, averaging just 78.5 yards per game on the ground. If Houston wants to control this game against the Bears, they will need to get their running game going, so as not to need Davis Mills to complete third and long passes on a regular basis.
Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears started their season with a win over the San Francisco 49ers at home, but failed to follow that up with a decent performance in Green Bay. Chicago was demolished by the Packers in Week 2, as Aaron Rodgers threw on the Bears at will for the entirety of that contest. This week, the Bears look to get back into the win column at home, as they look to move to 2-1 in a competitive NFC North early on.
For the Bears to get a win here, they will simply need more from Justin Fields than they have been getting. Fields has led a Chicago passing attack that ranks dead last at 76.5 yards per game. Some of that had to do with the wet conditions in Week 1 against the 49ers, but Fields’ struggles against the Packers were not at all weather related, as he needs to play better to give his team a chance to succeed in Week 3.