NOTE: Aaron Rodgers is OUT for this game due to a positive COVID-19 test. Our original recommendation was to take the Packers to win prior to the announcement of his positive test as a pick ’em. Our pick has been updated to reflect the Packers’ current quarterback situation.
A matchup that was thought to be a possible Super Bowl matchup this season will take place in Week 9, as the Green Bay Packers face the Kansas City Chiefs. The Packers are playing at an extremely high level, while the Chiefs are currently treading water. This game should be fascinating thanks to the recent form of both sides, and some COVID-19 issues in Green Bay, and our NFL picks for this week will include a best bet on this can’t-miss Packers vs Chiefs matchup.
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Packers vs Chiefs Betting Pick
This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, November 7, 2021.
Why Bet The Packers:
✅ The Kansas City Chiefs continued to look mediocre against the New York Giants on Monday Night Football. They barely held on to beat a Giants team missing its top two skill position players, and will enter this game against Green Bay on a short week. Here, the Packers should be able to move the ball even with their backup quarterback taking the field due to Aaron Rodgers’ COVID-related absence.
✅ Aaron Rodgers and the Packers showed that they can move the ball even when facing adversity last week. The Packers were without their top-three receivers last week, but still managed to get up and down the field against a previously undefeated Cardinals squad. They should be able to score this week with their top receivers back, even if Rodgers doesn’t go.
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✅ Kansas City has turned the ball over 11 more times than the Packers this season. And while turnovers can involve luck some of the time, that isn’t the case for the Chiefs as much as other teams. They tend to put the ball in harm’s way thanks to their hyper-aggressive offensive approach, and that will hurt them against the Packers.
Green Bay Packers
Last week, the Green Bay Packers made a statement by beating the then-unbeaten Arizona Cardinals on the road on Thursday Night Football. It wasn’t easy, but the Packers got the stop that they needed in the form of an end zone interception in the final moments of the game to seal the victory. This week, they face a Chiefs team that is struggling, with a chance to move to 8-1 on the year.
For the Packers, it will be interesting to see how much of a downgrade Jordan Love is compared to Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers is one of the best at his position in the history of the NFL, without a doubt. But Love will have a chance to prove himself against a defense that has simply not played well this season in Kansas City.
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City moved to 3-4 on the season after they beat the New York Giants on Monday Night Football to close out Week 8. The Chiefs were the better team in that game by far, but turned the ball over way too much and kept the door open for the Giants until the very end. This week, such mistakes could put the Chiefs in an insurmountable hole right from the start if they aren’t careful.
Concerning for the Chiefs heading into this week is the current performance of their offense, as their defense isn’t doing enough to slow down opposing offenses. If the Chiefs are going to win this game, it would likely be in a shootout. As a result, interceptions from Patrick Mahomes and fumbles by players like Travis Kelce are not an option like they were against the Giants.