Buffalo Bills VS New York Jets Betting Pick & Preview – 09/11/2023

Bills -2.5 (-112) -135

Jets +2.5 (-108) +114

Jets +2.5 (-108) over Bills

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Bills -2.5 (-112) -135

Jets +2.5 (-108) +114

• Buffalo struggled with the Jets defense on the road last season, and that will be the case again in this game.
• The Bills were 2-5 against the spread in division games during the 2022 NFL season.

Over the last few seasons, the Buffalo Bills have been one of the best teams in the NFL. This year, the New York Jets will look to join them in that territory, as they have made an upgrade at the quarterback position this past offseason. Here, we make our NFL betting picks for the highly-anticipated Bills vs Jets matchup that headlines Week 1 on Monday Night Football.

Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills fell in the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs a season ago, losing at home to the Cincinnati Bengals. They look largely the same as they have the last few years, but will the weight of falling short in the AFC year after year lead to a regression in 2023? We will find out, starting with this Bills vs Jets Week 1 contest.

In this game, the Bills would be in much better shape if they can find some sort of success with their running game. Being able to keep the defense of the Jets off-balance would be massive, and finding rushing yardage without Josh Allen having to scramble would help accomplish that. While the bread and butter of the Bills offense is always going to be its passing attack, but running the ball will also be key.

New York Jets

There is plenty of excitement surrounding the New York Jets going into this season, as Aaron Rodgers is set to take over as their starting quarterback. After struggling with Zach Wilson and some less than stellar backups over the last couple of seasons, they are expected to make a huge leap forward in 2023. But NFL games are not decided on paper, and the Jets offense has to actually deliver on the field to meet their expectations this year.

Fortunately, the Jets defense will be there to help the offense, as the AFC occupants of MetLife Stadium ranked fourth in scoring defense a season ago. They will likely be elite again this year, which will reduce the pressure on Rodgers and company to put up big offensive numbers as they learn how to operate together as an offense.

NFL

Sep 11, 2023 08:15 PM

Buffalo Bills

VS

New York Jets

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-110

+2.5/-110

52% BUF

NYJ 48%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-138

+114

49% BUF

NYJ 51%

Total Pick Consensus

44.5/-110

44.5/-110

59% UN

OV 41%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

BUF	Team Stats	NYJ
17	G	17
525	PTs	404
30.9	PPG	23.8
6105	YDS	5334
359.1	YDS/G	313.8
62	TD	40
3.6	TD/G	2.4
49.7	SC%	44.6
4.6	TO%	8.6

Defense/Offense

BUF	Team Stats	NYJ
17	G	17
368	PTs	338
21.6	PPG	19.9
5806	YDS	5275
341.5	YDS/G	310.3
41	TD	39
2.4	TD/G	2.3
36.3	SC%	34.1
17.5	TO%	10.4

Passing

Offense/Defense

BUF	Passing	NYJ
329	CMP	327
520	ATT	521
63.3	CMP%	62.8
227.9	YDS/GM	192.6
7.6	Y/A	6.9
7.3	NY/A	5.8
6	INT	7
14	SK	43

Defense/Offense

BUF	Passing	NYJ
396	CMP	385
578	ATT	607
68.5	CMP%	63.4
226.1	YDS/GM	218.5
7.1	Y/A	6.6
6.2	NY/A	5.7
16	INT	11
39	SK	40

Rushing

Offense/Defense

BUF	Rushing	NYJ
17	G	17
491	ATT	504
2230	YDS	2059
131.2	Y/G	121.1
4.5	Y/A	4.1
32	TD	22
1.9	TD/G	1.3

Defense/Offense

BUF	Rushing	NYJ
17	G	17
435	ATT	363
1963	YDS	1561
115.5	Y/G	91.8
4.5	Y/A	4.3
13	TD	8
0.8	TD/G	0.5

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

BUF	Special Teams	NYJ
27	Punts/Ret	29
313	Punt/Yds	256
11.6	Punt/Y/R	8.8
24	Kick Off/Ret	31
621	Kick Off/Yds	809
25.9	Kick Off/Y/rt	26.1

Defense/Offense

BUF	Special Teams	NYJ
23	Punts/Ret	33
213	Punt/Yds	266
9.3	Punt/Y/R	8.1
25	Kick Off/Ret	29
770	Kick Off/Yds	878
30.8	Kick Off/Y/rt	30.3

Scoring

Offense/Defense

BUF	Scoring	NYJ
17	G	17
32	RshTD	22
30	RecTD	18
24	FGM	38
29	FGA	42
30.9	Pts/G	23.8

Defense/Offense

BUF	Scoring	NYJ
17	G	17
13	RshTD	8
28	RecTD	31
20	FGM	20
25	FGA	28
21.6	Pts/G	19.9

Team Advanced Defense

BUF	Defense	NYJ
19.1%	Bltz%	25.6%
8.9%	Hrry%	9.2%
9.5%	QB Hit%	8.1%
23.6%	QB Prss%	23.5%

• Spread
• MoneyLine
• Over/Under

Open

Current

Book

BUF

NYJ

BUF

NYJ

Consensus

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

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-3.0 -110

+3.0 -105

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets​

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

—-

-1.5 -115

+1.5 -110

-2.5 -115

+2.5 -105

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

-1.5 -110

+1.5 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Open

Current

Book

BUF

NYJ

BUF

NYJ

Consensus

-163

+134

-138

+114

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly

-165

+140

-135

+114

Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

-154

+130

-142

+120

Second chance bet up to $500

-162

+133

-136

+115

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets​

-170

+143

-140

+118

—-

-125

+105

-140

+115

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

-120

+100

-135

+115

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

47.5 -112

47.5 -108

44.5 -111

44.5 -110

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly

48.5 -110

48.5 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

47.5 -112

47.5 -108

44.5 -115

44.5 -105

Second chance bet up to $500

47.5 -110

47.5 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets​

47.0 -110

47.0 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

—-

47.0 -110

47.0 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

47.5 -110

47.5 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alec Anderson	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Baylon Spector	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Connor McGovern	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Damar Hamlin	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Dorian Williams	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Germain Ifedi	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Jordan Phillips	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/03/23
Justin Shorter	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Kaiir Elam	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Khalil Shakir	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/03/23
Kingsley Jonathan	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Matt Barkley	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/01/23
Micah Hyde	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/09/23
Nyheim Hines	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Tommy Doyle	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Tyler Matakevich	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/14/23
Von Miller	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Zach Davidson	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alijah Vera-Tucker	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Allen Lazard	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Bradlee Anae	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Brandin Echols	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Breece Hall	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Carl Lawson	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Carter Warren	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Chazz Surratt	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Chris Streveler	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/14/23
Chuck Clark	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Dalvin Cook	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/03/23
Duane Brown	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Hamsah Nasirildeen	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/08/23
Ifeadi Odenigbo	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Irvin Charles	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Israel Abanikanda	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Jarrick Bernard-Converse	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Jason Brownlee	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Jimmy Moreland	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/06/23
Kenny Yeboah	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Maalik Hall	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/08/23
Max Mitchell	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Mecole Hardman Jr.	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Mekhi Becton	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Yodny Cajuste	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/14/23
Zaire Barnes	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23

Betting Trends

BUF	Betting Trends	NYJ
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
26.33	Avg Score	5
27	Avg Opp Score	17.67
AWAY		HOME
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
29	Avg Score	17
16	Avg Opp Score	16.33

BUF	Betting Trends	NYJ
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-5-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
29.2	Avg Score	8.8
24.6	Avg Opp Score	18.6
AWAY		HOME
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
25.6	Avg Score	17.6
17.6	Avg Opp Score	17.6

BUF	Betting Trends	NYJ
OVERALL		OVERALL
8-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-8-0
3-6-1	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
27.9	Avg Score	13.7
22.6	Avg Opp Score	17.9
AWAY		HOME
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	5-5-0
27	Avg Score	19.9
20.2	Avg Opp Score	20.5

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
12/11/22	NYJ BUF	43.5 -10	+368 -476	0 0	0 7	7 10	5 3	0 0	12 20
11/06/22	BUF NYJ	46 10.5	-544 +408	7 3	7 7	0 7	3 3	0 0	17 20
01/09/22	NYJ BUF	42 -16	+710 -1153	0 10	7 3	3 0	0 14	0 0	10 27
11/14/21	BUF NYJ	48 12.5	-731 +513	10 0	7 3	21 0	7 14	0 0	45 17
10/25/20	BUF NYJ	46.5 9.5	-415 +330	0 3	6 7	6 0	6 0	0 0	18 10
09/13/20	NYJ BUF	39.5 -6.5	+235 -294	0 14	3 7	7 0	7 6	0 0	17 27
12/29/19	NYJ BUF	37 1	-115 -105	0 0	3 0	0 3	10 3	0 0	13 6
09/08/19	BUF NYJ	41 -2.5	+125 -155	0 6	0 0	3 10	14 0	0 0	17 16
12/09/18	NYJ BUF	37 -4.5	+188 -205	3 14	10 3	0 3	14 3	0 0	27 23
11/11/18	BUF NYJ	37.5 -7	+260 -290	14 0	17 3	7 7	3 0	0 0	41 10

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/12/25	DEN BUF	11 47	11.5 74.3	18:17 41:43	26-121 67-322	21-35-222 31-40-400
01/05/25	BUF NE	11 15	24.5 1.4	28:46 31:14	22-87 20-52	12-22-87 15-20-156
12/29/24	NYJ BUF	16 45	11.9 50.3	28:43 31:17	24-127 38-110	26-36-191 19-32-284
12/22/24	NE BUF	21 24	14.2 48.8	30:57 29:03	30-128 28-175	22-37-257 16-29-154
12/15/24	BUF DET	17 14	19.1 -0.9	32:42 27:18	12-68 2-17	3-12-125 13-20-163
12/08/24	BUF LAR	30 32	36.0 1.8	21:30 38:30	12-74 30-99	16-27-246 17-22-230
12/01/24	SF BUF	4 22	2.7 29.2	26:33 33:27	17-98 24-141	5-12-55 6-12-97
11/17/24	KC BUF	2 3	0.3 14.4	25:57 34:03	2-24 3-32	2-10-56 3-12-80
11/10/24	BUF IND	32 21	49.4 5.0	32:08 27:52	33-142 23-127	23-39-295 27-37-252
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
01/05/25	MIA NYJ	13 22	26.5 -1.3	32:04 27:56	15-91 15-79	17-28-134 15-25-173
12/29/24	NYJ BUF	16 45	11.9 50.3	28:43 31:17	24-127 38-110	26-36-191 19-32-284
12/22/24	LAR NYJ	19 9	47.8 3.1	27:55 32:05	31-134 20-76	14-19-112 28-43-250
12/15/24	NYJ JAX	11 3	-1.2 14.3	25:36 34:24	3-43 3-47	2-10-95 11-16-98
12/08/24	NYJ MIA	19 23	3.4 32.7	31:02 32:53	15-60 14-32	19-28-229 24-34-238
12/01/24	SEA NYJ	17 13	0.6 26.9	31:21 28:39	15-54 13-57	13-20-112 13-25-108
11/17/24	IND NYJ	3 3	13.2 -1.2	34:17 25:43	11-28 2-28	2-3-74 2-3-50
11/10/24	NYJ ARI	7 33	-2.1 48.4	27:18 32:42	18-83 34-155	23-37-135 23-25-272
10/31/24	HOU NYJ	6 14	29.7 -1.7	33:42 26:18	25-129 14-69	5-21-93 15-22-133
10/27/24	NYJ NE	32 37	-10.3 60.4	29:34 30:26	41-165 46-165	25-41-330 27-44-200

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