Buffalo Bills VS New York Jets Betting Pick & Preview – 09/11/2023

Bills -2.5 (-112) -135

Jets +2.5 (-108) +114

Jets +2.5 (-108) over Bills

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Bills -2.5 (-112) -135

Jets +2.5 (-108) +114

• Buffalo struggled with the Jets defense on the road last season, and that will be the case again in this game.
• The Bills were 2-5 against the spread in division games during the 2022 NFL season.

Over the last few seasons, the Buffalo Bills have been one of the best teams in the NFL. This year, the New York Jets will look to join them in that territory, as they have made an upgrade at the quarterback position this past offseason. Here, we make our NFL betting picks for the highly-anticipated Bills vs Jets matchup that headlines Week 1 on Monday Night Football.

Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills fell in the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs a season ago, losing at home to the Cincinnati Bengals. They look largely the same as they have the last few years, but will the weight of falling short in the AFC year after year lead to a regression in 2023? We will find out, starting with this Bills vs Jets Week 1 contest.

In this game, the Bills would be in much better shape if they can find some sort of success with their running game. Being able to keep the defense of the Jets off-balance would be massive, and finding rushing yardage without Josh Allen having to scramble would help accomplish that. While the bread and butter of the Bills offense is always going to be its passing attack, but running the ball will also be key.

New York Jets

There is plenty of excitement surrounding the New York Jets going into this season, as Aaron Rodgers is set to take over as their starting quarterback. After struggling with Zach Wilson and some less than stellar backups over the last couple of seasons, they are expected to make a huge leap forward in 2023. But NFL games are not decided on paper, and the Jets offense has to actually deliver on the field to meet their expectations this year.

Fortunately, the Jets defense will be there to help the offense, as the AFC occupants of MetLife Stadium ranked fourth in scoring defense a season ago. They will likely be elite again this year, which will reduce the pressure on Rodgers and company to put up big offensive numbers as they learn how to operate together as an offense.

NFL

Sep 11, 2023 08:15 PM

Buffalo Bills

VS

New York Jets

Spread Pick Consensus

-2.5/-110

+2.5/-110

52% BUF

NYJ 48%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-138

+114

49% BUF

NYJ 51%

Total Pick Consensus

44.5/-110

44.5/-110

59% UN

OV 41%

Team Stats

Offense/Defense

BUF	Team Stats	NYJ
14	G	14
445	PTs	325
31.8	PPG	23.2
5174	YDS	4410
369.6	YDS/G	315
53	TD	31
3.8	TD/G	2.2
51.7	SC%	44.4
4.9	TO%	6.9

Defense/Offense

BUF	Team Stats	NYJ
14	G	14
310	PTs	283
22.1	PPG	20.2
4837	YDS	4298
345.5	YDS/G	307
34	TD	32
2.4	TD/G	2.3
36.9	SC%	34.7
16.3	TO%	9.0

Passing

Offense/Defense

BUF	Passing	NYJ
278	CMP	271
431	ATT	433
64.5	CMP%	62.6
238.8	YDS/GM	193.9
7.9	Y/A	6.9
7.5	NY/A	5.8
5	INT	4
13	SK	39

Defense/Offense

BUF	Passing	NYJ
329	CMP	311
480	ATT	496
68.5	CMP%	62.7
227.8	YDS/GM	217.3
7.1	Y/A	6.6
6.2	NY/A	5.8
13	INT	8
32	SK	32

Rushing

Offense/Defense

BUF	Rushing	NYJ
14	G	14
396	ATT	416
1831	YDS	1695
130.8	Y/G	121.1
4.6	Y/A	4.1
28	TD	18
2	TD/G	1.3

Defense/Offense

BUF	Rushing	NYJ
14	G	14
354	ATT	300
1648	YDS	1256
117.7	Y/G	89.7
4.7	Y/A	4.2
11	TD	8
0.8	TD/G	0.6

Special Teams

Offense/Defense

BUF	Special Teams	NYJ
25	Punts/Ret	26
281	Punt/Yds	222
11.2	Punt/Y/R	8.5
16	Kick Off/Ret	22
415	Kick Off/Yds	553
25.9	Kick Off/Y/rt	25.1

Defense/Offense

BUF	Special Teams	NYJ
18	Punts/Ret	28
162	Punt/Yds	230
9.0	Punt/Y/R	8.2
20	Kick Off/Ret	23
639	Kick Off/Yds	705
32.0	Kick Off/Y/rt	30.7

Scoring

Offense/Defense

BUF	Scoring	NYJ
14	G	14
28	RshTD	18
25	RecTD	13
21	FGM	33
26	FGA	37
31.8	Pts/G	23.2

Defense/Offense

BUF	Scoring	NYJ
14	G	14
11	RshTD	8
23	RecTD	24
17	FGM	18
22	FGA	25
22.1	Pts/G	20.2

Team Advanced Defense

BUF	Defense	NYJ
17.7%	Bltz%	25.5%
7.7%	Hrry%	9.8%
9.8%	QB Hit%	7.2%
22.6%	QB Prss%	23.8%

• Spread
• MoneyLine
• Over/Under

Open

Current

Book

BUF

NYJ

BUF

NYJ

Consensus

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -105

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Second chance bet up to $500

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets​

-3.0 -110

+3.0 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

—-

-1.5 -115

+1.5 -110

-2.5 -115

+2.5 -105

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

-1.5 -110

+1.5 -110

-2.5 -110

+2.5 -110

Open

Current

Book

BUF

NYJ

BUF

NYJ

Consensus

-163

+134

-138

+114

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

-165

+140

-135

+114

Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

-154

+130

-142

+120

Second chance bet up to $500

-162

+133

-136

+115

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets​

-170

+143

-140

+118

—-

-125

+105

-140

+115

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

-120

+100

-135

+115

Open

Current

Book

Over

Under

Over

Under

Consensus

47.5 -112

47.5 -108

44.5 -111

44.5 -110

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly

48.5 -110

48.5 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

47.5 -112

47.5 -108

44.5 -115

44.5 -105

Second chance bet up to $500

47.5 -110

47.5 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets​

47.0 -110

47.0 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

—-

47.0 -110

47.0 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

47.5 -110

47.5 -110

44.5 -110

44.5 -110

Injuries

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alec Anderson	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Baylon Spector	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Connor McGovern	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Damar Hamlin	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Dorian Williams	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Germain Ifedi	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Jordan Phillips	DT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/03/23
Justin Shorter	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Kaiir Elam	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Khalil Shakir	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/03/23
Kingsley Jonathan	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Matt Barkley	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/01/23
Micah Hyde	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/09/23
Nyheim Hines	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Tommy Doyle	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Tyler Matakevich	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/14/23
Von Miller	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Zach Davidson	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23

Name	Position	Injury	Status	Updated
Alijah Vera-Tucker	G	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Allen Lazard	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Bradlee Anae	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Brandin Echols	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Breece Hall	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Carl Lawson	DL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Carter Warren	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Chazz Surratt	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Chris Streveler	QB	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/14/23
Chuck Clark	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Dalvin Cook	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/03/23
Duane Brown	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Hamsah Nasirildeen	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/08/23
Ifeadi Odenigbo	DE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Irvin Charles	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Israel Abanikanda	RB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Jarrick Bernard-Converse	S	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Jason Brownlee	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Jimmy Moreland	CB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/06/23
Kenny Yeboah	TE	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Maalik Hall	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/08/23
Max Mitchell	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Mecole Hardman Jr.	WR	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/07/23
Mekhi Becton	OT	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23
Yodny Cajuste	OL	Scrambled	Scrambled	08/14/23
Zaire Barnes	LB	Scrambled	Scrambled	09/11/23

Betting Trends

BUF	Betting Trends	NYJ
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-3-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
26.33	Avg Score	5
27	Avg Opp Score	17.67
AWAY		HOME
3-0-0	Win/Loss/Tie	1-2-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
29	Avg Score	17
16	Avg Opp Score	16.33

BUF	Betting Trends	NYJ
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	0-5-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
29.2	Avg Score	8.8
24.6	Avg Opp Score	18.6
AWAY		HOME
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-3-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
25.6	Avg Score	17.6
17.6	Avg Opp Score	17.6

BUF	Betting Trends	NYJ
OVERALL		OVERALL
8-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-8-0
3-6-1	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
27.9	Avg Score	13.7
22.6	Avg Opp Score	17.9
AWAY		HOME
7-3-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-6-0
5-5-0	ATS W/L/P	5-5-0
27	Avg Score	19.9
20.2	Avg Opp Score	20.5

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	OT	SC
12/11/22	NYJ BUF	43.5 -10	+368 -476	0 0	0 7	7 10	5 3	0 0	12 20
11/06/22	BUF NYJ	46 10.5	-544 +408	7 3	7 7	0 7	3 3	0 0	17 20
01/09/22	NYJ BUF	42 -16	+710 -1153	0 10	7 3	3 0	0 14	0 0	10 27
11/14/21	BUF NYJ	48 12.5	-731 +513	10 0	7 3	21 0	7 14	0 0	45 17
10/25/20	BUF NYJ	46.5 9.5	-415 +330	0 3	6 7	6 0	6 0	0 0	18 10
09/13/20	NYJ BUF	39.5 -6.5	+235 -294	0 14	3 7	7 0	7 6	0 0	17 27
12/29/19	NYJ BUF	37 1	-115 -105	0 0	3 0	0 3	10 3	0 0	13 6
09/08/19	BUF NYJ	41 -2.5	+125 -155	0 6	0 0	3 10	14 0	0 0	17 16
12/09/18	NYJ BUF	37 -4.5	+188 -205	3 14	10 3	0 3	14 3	0 0	27 23
11/11/18	BUF NYJ	37.5 -7	+260 -290	14 0	17 3	7 7	3 0	0 0	41 10

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
12/15/24	BUF DET	17 14	19.1 -0.9	32:42 27:18	12-68 2-17	3-12-125 13-20-163
12/08/24	BUF LAR	30 32	36.0 1.8	21:30 38:30	12-74 30-99	16-27-246 17-22-230
12/01/24	SF BUF	4 22	2.7 29.2	26:33 33:27	17-98 24-141	5-12-55 6-12-97
11/17/24	KC BUF	2 3	0.3 14.4	25:57 34:03	2-24 3-32	2-10-56 3-12-80
11/10/24	BUF IND	32 21	49.4 5.0	32:08 27:52	33-142 23-127	23-39-295 27-37-252
11/03/24	MIA BUF	19 21	2.9 33.8	31:53 28:07	21-103 13-65	17-19-155 17-27-159
10/27/24	BUF SEA	46 15	66.3 6.5	38:03 21:57	50-242 25-47	35-50-414 31-43-296
10/20/24	TEN BUF	4 21	3.7 25.5	32:46 27:14	15-55 12-46	16-25-124 13-21-196
10/14/24	BUF NYJ	32 28	58.3 2.0	29:34 30:26	46-209 30-170	27-35-295 32-49-382
10/06/24	BUF HOU	11 13	26.4 -0.8	26:50 33:10	16-83 16-52	3-17-70 16-21-184

DATE	TM	SC	LN	TOP	RA-YDS	C-ATT-YDS
12/15/24	NYJ JAX	11 3	-1.2 14.3	25:36 34:24	3-43 3-47	2-10-95 11-16-98
12/08/24	NYJ MIA	19 23	3.4 32.7	31:02 32:53	15-60 14-32	19-28-229 24-34-238
12/01/24	SEA NYJ	17 13	0.6 26.9	31:21 28:39	15-54 13-57	13-20-112 13-25-108
11/17/24	IND NYJ	3 3	13.2 -1.2	34:17 25:43	11-28 2-28	2-3-74 2-3-50
11/10/24	NYJ ARI	7 33	-2.1 48.4	27:18 32:42	18-83 34-155	23-37-135 23-25-272
10/31/24	HOU NYJ	6 14	29.7 -1.7	33:42 26:18	25-129 14-69	5-21-93 15-22-133
10/27/24	NYJ NE	32 37	-10.3 60.4	29:34 30:26	41-165 46-165	25-41-330 27-44-200
10/20/24	NYJ PIT	6 23	24.9 1.0	27:51 32:09	6-34 22-93	15-24-167 6-18-162
10/14/24	BUF NYJ	32 28	58.3 2.0	29:34 30:26	46-209 30-170	27-35-295 32-49-382
10/06/24	NYJ MIN	5 13	0.8 23.3	29:23 30:37	4-20 17-46	16-30-121 5-18-95

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