Week 9 will see the final game played on Monday Night Football with the New Orleans Saints hosting the Baltimore Ravens in an inter-conference matchup. This week was the official midway point in the season, and we are now onto the season’s second half.
The Ravens are a very slight 1.5 point favorite in New Orleans. This line makes perfect sense, as the Ravens have had quite the propensity for playing games decided by one score. Six of eight games have been of this variety, including their last five consecutively. The Ravens are dealing with significant injuries at this juncture. Top pass catcher Mark Andrews will miss this game, and Rashod Bateman has been placed on IR. The same holds true for JK Dobbins. Their secondary is also in danger of missing a key piece, as Marcus Peters is in danger of being held out as well.
The Saints started this season with some struggles on the offensive side of the ball. We did not know at the time, but there was little faith in incumbent starter Jameis Winston. Andy Dalton took over in Week 4, and the offense benefitted in a huge way. There was also more usage of Taysom Hill, and the team has not scored fewer than 24 points in any game since. They average 29.6 per game in that span.
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Andy Dalton Player Prop
Dalton’s insertion into the starting lineup has been a beneficial one for the team. That said, they have not asked worlds of Dalton in terms of passing volume when it was not required. In four of five games Dalton has had 32 or fewer passing attempts. In the one game he was asked more of, he responded with a huge game of 361 passing yards on 47 attempts.
The Saints clearly do not want to be an overly pass happy team, but will be such if the matchup dictates. Of course there is some projection involved, but Baltimore is a team that is wildly difficult to run the ball against. They are one of four teams in the league allowing under 100 yards per game on the ground. They are also fresh off allowing just 44 yards last week. The Ravens are far more exploitable via the pass. They are bottom five in the league in passing yards per game allowed. If the Saints approach this game properly, there will be a pass heavy game plan.
The Andy Dalton passing yardage prop is set at 233.5 yards. While this on the side higher than the median for his results thus far, we can expect an uptick in attempts. That uptick in attempts comes in a very good matchup for quarterbacks and passing games, and perhaps against a team missing its top corner. Take over 233.5 yards for Dalton on Monday Night.
Betting Pick: Andy Dalton Over 233.5 Passing Yards