The Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers are both in the mix in the NFC South despite being below .500. But in order to have a chance at winning the division at the end of the year, they are going to need to get some wins in games like this one. In our NFL betting picks for Thursday Night Football, we look at Falcons vs Panthers in a significant NFC South contest.
Falcons vs Panthers Betting Pick
This game will be played at Bank of America Stadium at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 10, 2022.
Why Bet The Over:
✅ Both of these teams have some of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. They are both in the bottom-seven in the NFL, allowing at least 25 points per game or more. Their porous defenses will come into play again here for an over.
✅ These teams combined for a 37-34 game just a couple of weeks ago. That was with P.J. Walker at quarterback for the Panthers, and with no Cordarrelle Patterson for the Falcons. Now, Patterson is back and we should have either Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold at quarterback for Carolina.
✅ The Falcons have seen the majority of their games go over the total this season. They are 5-4 to the over so far this season, and should get another over here.
NFL
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
ATL | Passing | CAR |
---|---|---|
327 | CMP | 309 |
530 | ATT | 481 |
61.7 | CMP% | 64.2 |
207.3 | YDS/GM | 171.5 |
7.1 | Y/A | 6.5 |
6.2 | NY/A | 5.7 |
17 | INT | 8 |
40 | SK | 27 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Passing | CAR |
---|---|---|
340 | CMP | 350 |
549 | ATT | 586 |
61.9 | CMP% | 59.7 |
202.9 | YDS/GM | 161.2 |
6.8 | Y/A | 5.5 |
5.8 | NY/A | 4.2 |
8 | INT | 10 |
42 | SK | 65 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
ATL | Rushing | CAR |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
522 | ATT | 508 |
2159 | YDS | 2081 |
127.0 | Y/G | 122.4 |
4.1 | Y/A | 4.1 |
14 | TD | 25 |
0.8 | TD/G | 1.5 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Rushing | CAR |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
499 | ATT | 445 |
2009 | YDS | 1769 |
118.2 | Y/G | 104.1 |
4.0 | Y/A | 4.0 |
11 | TD | 7 |
0.6 | TD/G | 0.4 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
ATL | Special Teams | CAR |
---|---|---|
33 | Punts/Ret | 31 |
239 | Punt/Yds | 210 |
7.2 | Punt/Y/R | 6.8 |
14 | Kick Off/Ret | 20 |
236 | Kick Off/Yds | 478 |
16.9 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.9 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Special Teams | CAR |
---|---|---|
31 | Punts/Ret | 37 |
353 | Punt/Yds | 322 |
11.4 | Punt/Y/R | 8.7 |
11 | Kick Off/Ret | 24 |
261 | Kick Off/Yds | 637 |
23.7 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 26.5 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
ATL | Scoring | CAR |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 25 |
17 | RecTD | 19 |
32 | FGM | 25 |
37 | FGA | 26 |
18.9 | Pts/G | 24.5 |
Defense/Offense
ATL | Scoring | CAR |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
11 | RshTD | 7 |
24 | RecTD | 13 |
39 | FGM | 25 |
41 | FGA | 30 |
21.9 | Pts/G | 13.9 |
Team Advanced Defense
ATL | Defense | CAR |
---|---|---|
23.9% | Bltz% | 28.5% |
7.9% | Hrry% | 3.4% |
9.5% | QB Hit% | 9.4% |
23.0% | QB Prss% | 17.2% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
A.J. Terrell | CB | Hamstring | Out | 11/10/22 |
Anthony Firkser | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/10/22 |
Beau Brinkley | LS | Achilles | Out | 11/10/22 |
Casey Hayward | CB | Shoulder | Out | 11/10/22 |
Damien Williams | RB | Ribs | Out | 11/10/22 |
Elijah Wilkinson | OT | Knee | Out | 11/10/22 |
Erik Harris | S | Ankle | Out | 11/10/22 |
Feleipe Franks | TE | Calf | Out | 11/10/22 |
Jalen Mayfield | OL | Back | Out | 11/10/22 |
Jared Bernhardt | WR | Groin | Out | 11/10/22 |
John FitzPatrick | TE | Undisclosed | Out | 11/10/22 |
Jonotthan Harrison | C | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/10/22 |
Matt Dickerson | DE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/10/22 |
Matt Hennessy | OL | Knee | Out | 11/10/22 |
Nate Landman | ILB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/10/22 |
Vincent Taylor | DT | Achilles | Out | 11/10/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Andre Roberts | WR | Knee | Out | 11/10/22 |
Arron Mosby | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/10/22 |
Henry Anderson | DE | Illness | Out | 11/10/22 |
Juston Burris | S | Concussion | Out | 11/10/22 |
Larnel Coleman | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/10/22 |
Matt Corral | QB | Ankle/foot | Out | 11/10/22 |
Pat Elflein | OL | Hip | Out | 11/10/22 |
Rashard Higgins | WR | Illness | Out | 11/10/22 |
Sam Darnold | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 11/10/22 |
Stantley Thomas-Oliver III | CB | Achilles | Out | 11/10/22 |
Zane Gonzalez | K | Groin | Out | 11/10/22 |
Chuba Hubbard | RB | Ankle | Questionable | 11/10/22 |
Donte Jackson | CB | Ankle | Questionable | 11/10/22 |
Jeremy Chinn | S | Hamstring | Questionable | 11/10/22 |
Matt Ioannidis | DT | Back | Questionable | 11/10/22 |
Taylor Moton | OT | Elbow | Questionable | 11/10/22 |
Brian Burns | DE | Shoulder | Probable | 11/09/22 |
Derrick Brown | DT | Illness | Probable | 11/09/22 |
Frankie Luvu | LB | Neck | Probable | 11/09/22 |
Laviska Shenault Jr. | WR | Illness | Probable | 11/09/22 |
Betting Trends
ATL | Betting Trends | CAR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
23.67 | Avg Score | 25.33 |
29.67 | Avg Opp Score | 27.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
19.67 | Avg Score | 17.33 |
26.33 | Avg Opp Score | 22 |
ATL | Betting Trends | CAR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-4-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
22.8 | Avg Score | 20.2 |
24.8 | Avg Opp Score | 28.6 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
3-1-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
20.2 | Avg Score | 19.6 |
27.8 | Avg Opp Score | 21.2 |
ATL | Betting Trends | CAR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-8-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-7-0 |
23.7 | Avg Score | 19.6 |
25.5 | Avg Opp Score | 26.9 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-8-0 |
6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 2-8-0 |
19.4 | Avg Score | 18 |
27.3 | Avg Opp Score | 25.2 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Atlanta Falcons
The Atlanta Falcons lost a tight game against the Los Angeles Chargers at home last week. They got off to a strong start, but they fell apart in the second half, struggling to slow down Justin Herbert and the Chargers passing attack. This week, the Falcons will look for a win to get back to .500 and help their cause in the NFC South.
For this contest, the Falcons will look to get their running game going once again. With Cordarrelle Patterson back in the fold, the Falcons are likely to move the ball more effectively on the ground. But this game could come down to whether or not they can stop the pass on the road, as they have one of the league’s worst units at stopping the pass.
Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers were blown out by the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 9, giving up 35 points before halftime. They benched P.J. Walker in the second half, and put Baker Mayfield back on the field. That has raised questions as to who will start at quarterback for Carolina this week.
If Mayfield is indeed the starter again for Carolina, the question will be whether or not he can avoid turning the ball over. Mayfield had thrown four interceptions before getting injured and being benched. If he continues throwing them, the Panthers could be the only team in the NFC South without a chance to win the division.