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phillies vs astros
November 3rd, 2022

World Series Game 4 – Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Betting Stats, Pick & Prediction – 11/02/22

Vincent Senick Vincent Senick

Game four of the World Series is set for Wednesday night when the Houston Astros visit the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies took game one in what can only be described as an instant classic, while Houston evened the series up with a dominant showing in game two. Philadelphia went home for game three and the bats exploded as they took the series lead. Below is my MLB pick for game four.

MLB

Nov 02, 2022 08:03 PM

Houston Astros

VS

Philadelphia Phillies

Matchup Odds Trends

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-107
DraftKings
-111

49% HOU

PHI 51%

Total Pick Consensus

7.0/-120
DraftKings
7.0/+100

86% UN

OV 14%

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+155
PointsBet
+1.5/-180

55% HOU

PHI 45%

Team Records

HOU Team Records PHI
39-42Home49-32
48-30Road40-38
60-51vRHP59-50
27-21vLHP30-20
37-42vs>.50042-41
50-30vs<.50047-29
4-6Last108-2
9-11Last2012-8
15-15Last3018-12

Team Stats

HOU Team Stats PHI
3.79ERA3.95
.237Batting Avg Against.238
1.26WHIP1.24
.289BABIP.290
8.7%BB%7.8%
24.0%K%23.8%
75.3%LOB%72.2%
.251Batting Avg.255
.417SLG.419
.740OPS.742
.324OBP.323

Pitchers

C. Javier A. Nola
122.1Innings148.1
23GS24
8-2W-L9-8
4.49ERA4.49
8.24K/99.28
3.09BB/92.12
1.40HR/91.58
71.9%LOB%65.9%
9.8%HR/FB%15.5%
4.63FIP4.21
5.21xFIP3.79
.232AVG.234
21.8%K%25.2%
8.2%BB%5.8%
4.81SIERA3.81

Recent Starts

C. Javier A. Nola
Date Opp W/L IP H R ER SO BB ST-PC
5/3
SEA
Flexen
ML N/A
W4-0
TOTAL N/A
5.1
2
0
0
4
2
52-87
4/27
TEX
Otto
ML N/A
W4-3
TOTAL N/A
5
4
2
2
4
2
48-84
5/23
TEX
Foltynewicz
ML N/A
L2-3
TOTAL N/A
4.2
1
1
1
5
6
50-94
5/18
OAK
Manaea
ML N/A
L5-6
TOTAL N/A
6
5
3
3
9
1
56-95
5/13
TEX
Foltynewicz
ML N/A
W4-3
TOTAL N/A
7
4
3
3
6
2
59-99
Date Opp W/L IP H R ER SO BB ST-PC
4/29
NYM
Megill
ML N/A
L0-3
TOTAL N/A
6
7
3
3
9
0
62-94
4/24
MIL
Lauer
ML N/A
L0-1
TOTAL N/A
7
1
0
0
9
1
62-89
4/18
COL
Kuhl
ML N/A
L1-4
TOTAL N/A
5.1
6
2
2
4
1
59-84
4/13
NYM
Scherzer
ML N/A
L6-9
TOTAL N/A
3.1
3
3
3
5
3
47-76
4/8
OAK
Montas
ML N/A
W9-5
TOTAL N/A
6
4
4
4
7
0
57-76
  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU
PHI
HOU
PHI
Consensus
-107
-110
-107
-111
Draftkings

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-120
+100
-105
-115
FanDuel

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-104
-112
-106
-122
BetRivers

Second chance bet up to $500

-106
-112
-106
-109
Caesars

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

-115
-105
-105
-115
PointsBet

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-107
-107
-107
-107
BetMGM

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-105
-115
-105
-115
Open
Current
Book
HOU
PHI
HOU
PHI
Consensus
-1.5 +156
+1.5 -190
-1.5 +158
+1.5 -195
Draftkings

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-1.5 +150
+1.5 -175
-1.5 +155
+1.5 -180
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-1.5 +162
+1.5 -196
-1.5 +176
+1.5 -230
BetRivers

Second chance bet up to $500

-1.5 +160
+1.5 -200
-1.5 +160
+1.5 -195
Caesars

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

-1.5 +158
+1.5 -190
-1.5 +158
+1.5 -190
PointsBet

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-1.5 +160
+1.5 -190
-1.5 +165
+1.5 -200
BetMGM

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-1.5 +155
+1.5 -190
-1.5 +155
+1.5 -190
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
7.5 -110
7.5 -110
7.0 -125
7.0 +103
Draftkings

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7.5 +100
7.5 -120
7.5 +100
7.5 -120
FanDuel

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7.5 -110
7.5 -110
7.5 +102
7.5 -130
BetRivers

Second chance bet up to $500

7.5 -103
7.5 -117
7.0 -124
7.0 +104
Caesars

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

7.5 -110
7.5 -110
7.5 +105
7.5 -125
PointsBet

Get Up To $1000 In Second Chance Bets

7.5 +100
7.5 -115
7.5 +105
7.5 -120
BetMGM

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7.5 -105
7.5 -115
7.5 +100
7.5 -120

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
HOU Betting Trends PHI
OVERALLOVERALL
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
1-2-0ATS W/L/P2-1-0
3.33Avg Score5
5Avg Opp Score3.33
AWAYHOME
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
1-2-0ATS W/L/P2-1-0
3.67Avg Score7
4Avg Opp Score3
HOU Betting Trends PHI
OVERALLOVERALL
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
2-3-0ATS W/L/P3-2-0
4.2Avg Score5.8
4Avg Opp Score3.8
AWAYHOME
4-1-0Win/Loss/Tie5-0-0
2-3-0ATS W/L/P4-1-0
3.6Avg Score6.6
3Avg Opp Score2.8
HOU Betting Trends PHI
OVERALLOVERALL
8-2-0Win/Loss/Tie8-2-0
4-6-0ATS W/L/P7-3-0
4.1Avg Score5.7
3.3Avg Opp Score3.3
AWAYHOME
7-3-0Win/Loss/Tie8-2-0
4-6-0ATS W/L/P8-2-0
3.9Avg Score6.2
3.5Avg Opp Score3

Head to Head

Date TM Pitcher ML Tot Hits E SC
11/01/22
HOU
PHI
McCullers Jr.
Suárez
-123
+104
Ov7.5
Un7.5
5
7
0
0
0
7
10/29/22
PHI
HOU
Wheeler
Valdez
+126
-147
Ov7.0
Un7.0
6
7
1
2
2
5
10/28/22
PHI
HOU
Nola
Verlander
+140
-166
Ov6.5
Un6.5
9
10
0
0
6
5
10/05/22
PHI
HOU
Falter
Valdez
+172
-201
Ov7.5
Un7.5
4
12
0
0
2
3
10/04/22
PHI
HOU
Suárez
Verlander
+196
-234
Ov6.5
Un6.5
3
17
0
0
0
10
10/03/22
PHI
HOU
Nola
McCullers Jr.
+103
-121
Ov7.5
Un7.5
9
2
0
0
3
0
07/26/17
HOU
PHI
Fiers
Nola
-116
-104
Ov8.0
Un8.0
9
14
0
1
0
9
07/25/17
HOU
PHI
Morton
Pivetta
-162
+141
Ov8.5
Un8.5
7
4
2
0
5
0
07/24/17
HOU
PHI
Peacock
Velasquez
-172
+147
Ov9.0
Un9.0
18
10
1
1
13
4
08/07/14
HOU
PHI
McHugh
O'Sullivan
N/A
N/A
OvNone
UnNone
8
10
0
0
5
6

Teams Last 10

Houston Astros Philadelphia Phillies
Date TM Pitcher ML Tot Hits E SC
09/29/23
HOU
ARI
Urquidy
Gallen
+67
-79
Ov4.0
Un4.0
3
2
0
0
1
0
09/27/23
HOU
SEA
Valdez
Miller
-42
-36
Ov1.0
Un1.0
2
1
0
0
1
0
09/26/23
HOU
SEA
Javier
Kirby
+103
-123
Ov7.6
Un7.6
10
8
3
0
2
6
09/25/23
HOU
SEA
Verlander
Castillo
+119
-142
Ov9.4
Un9.4
10
4
0
0
6
1
09/24/23
KC
HOU
Cruz
Brown
+330
-408
Ov13.7
Un13.7
12
12
2
0
12
10
09/23/23
KC
HOU
Lyles
France
+336
-414
Ov14.2
Un14.2
14
12
0
2
6
4
09/22/23
KC
HOU
Ragans
Valdez
+216
-265
Ov11.1
Un11.1
7
10
0
1
9
7
09/20/23
BAL
HOU
Bradish
Javier
-40
+33
Ov1.0
Un1.0
1
1
0
0
0
0
09/19/23
BAL
HOU
Gibson
Brown
+209
-252
Ov12.9
Un12.9
14
14
4
2
13
10
09/18/23
BAL
HOU
Means
Verlander
+230
-277
Ov12.1
Un12.1
23
14
2
0
11
14
Date TM Pitcher ML Tot Hits E SC
09/28/23
PIT
PHI
Ortiz
Wheeler
+149
-180
Ov4.0
Un4.0
6
3
1
0
2
1
09/27/23
PIT
PHI
Oviedo
Suárez
+39
-47
Ov1.0
Un1.0
1
1
0
0
1
1
09/26/23
PIT
PHI
Keller
Nola
+152
-183
Ov7.6
Un7.6
5
5
1
0
2
3
09/24/23
NYM
PHI
Butto
Sánchez
+216
-261
Ov13.0
Un13.0
6
12
0
0
4
10
09/23/23
NYM
PHI
Quintana
Wheeler
+223
-268
Ov10.6
Un10.6
13
16
2
2
10
14
09/22/23
NYM
PHI
Megill
Walker
+162
-193
Ov10.3
Un10.3
10
10
1
0
5
7
09/21/23
NYM
PHI
Peterson
Suárez
+144
-171
Ov9.0
Un9.0
8
7
0
1
4
5
09/20/23
PHI
ATL
Nola
Elder
+40
-48
Ov1.0
Un1.0
1
1
0
0
1
1
09/19/23
PHI
ATL
Sánchez
Strider
+264
-321
Ov12.2
Un12.2
8
19
0
0
6
13
09/18/23
PHI
ATL
Wheeler
Wright
-154
-158
Ov13.5
Un13.5
14
8
0
0
14
2
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Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick

Sportbook logo
Philadelphia Phillies -107
Bet $20, Payout $38 At Caesars

Why Bet The Philadelphia Phillies

✅ The Phillies bats, this postseason, have been fire at home and that will continue Wednesday night.

✅ Philadelphia is now 6-0 at home and it feels like this home crowd is going to continue to will their Phillies to a win every night.

✅ Bryce Harper woke up in game three and that is trouble for Houston. His bat gets the rest of the guys fired up and it could be another home run derby in game four.

Houston Astros

Houston did not show up on offense or on the mound in their game three loss Tuesday night. The Astros were held to just five total hits and had a look early on that they were not going to win that game. Lance McCullers Jr. got rocked for seven earned runs in just 4.1 innings pitched.  

Cristian Javier will take the mound Houston in what is a must win for the Astros Wednesday night. Javier is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in 6.2 innings pitched this postseason. For his career, Javier is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 26.2 postseason innings.

Yuli Gurriel has been hot this postseason as he leads the Astros with a .333 batting average and 14 hits. Alex Bregman leads the way with three home runs and nine RBIs, while Chas McCormick has a team high .412 on base percentage.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies took a 2-1 series lead with a 7-0 demolition of the Astros Tuesday night. Philadelphia tied the World Series record with five home runs hit during their game three win. Bryce Harper got the party started with a two-run shot in the bottom of the first inning and Alec Bohm and Brandon Marsh joined with solo shots in the second. Kyle Schwarber hit a two-run homer in the fifth and Rhys Hoskins made it back-to-back with a solo shot of his own. A legendary performance by the Phillies bats. Speaking of legendary, Ranger Suarez took the mound and held this Astros team to just three hits over five innings pitched. What a game by the Phillies.

Aaron Nola takes the mound for the Phillies, and he will look to overcome his struggles. Nola is 2-1 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 21.2 innings pitched this postseason. The Phillies ace was lights out in his first two postseason starts, but his last two have been less than ideal as Nola has given up 11 earned runs over nine innings pitched.

Bryce Harper is having a legendary postseason as he leads the Phillies with a .382 batting average, six home runs, and 13 RBIs. Harper’s numbers are ridiculous as he also leads Philadelphia with a .414 on base percentage and 21 hits. Just an unreal run by the 2021 MVP.

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