The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies continue their three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. Back in June, the Phillies beat the Nats 4-1 in a five-game set at Nationals Park, while Tuesday’s opener of this series has been excluded from the analysis. Washington will start Josiah Gray on Wednesday, and the Phillies will go with Aaron Nola, so let’s see what’s the best Nationals vs Phillies betting pick.
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Nationals vs Phillies Betting Pick
This game will be played at Oakland Coliseum at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday, July 5, 2022.
Why Bet The Phillies:
✅ Aaron Nola is having a wonderful season. He’s 5-5 in 16 starts (103.2 innings pitched), but Nola also holds a strong 3.13 ERA, 2.94 FIP, 0.92 WHIP, and 117/14 K/BB ratio. The 29-year-old right-hander is walking only 1.2 per nine frames while leading the majors in strikeouts per walk with 8.36. Nola ranks in the 86th percentile in xwOBA, while his four-seamer and sinker have a minus-15 run value combined.
✅ The Phillies’ bullpen has been ridiculous in the last ten days and 29.1 innings of work. It’s recorded a microscopic 0.92 ERA to go with a 2.29 FIP, .159 BABIP, 10.4 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9.
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✅ The Nationals’ bullpen is one of the worst in the majors. It sits at 4.43 ERA and 4.52 FIP for the season. In the last ten days of action, the Nationals relievers have compiled an underwhelming 4.34 ERA, 5.49 FIP, and 1.86 HR/9 across 29 frames of work.
Washington Nationals
The 29-53 Washington Nationals entered Tuesday’s game in Philadelphia riding a five-game losing streak. They lost a couple of games in ten innings to the Miami Marlins over the weekend and got swept in a four-game home series.
Josiah Gray is 6-5 with a 4.22 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and 88/35 K/BB ratio in 15 starts (81 IP) in 2022. Last Friday, the 24-year-old right-hander was shelled for six earned runs on ten hits through 5.2 innings in a 6-3 defeat to Miami. It was Gray’s first loss since May 24 when he yielded seven runs across three frames to the LA Dodgers.
Philadelphia Phillies
The 42-38 Philadelphia Phillies were looking for their second straight win on Tuesday night. Last Sunday, they blanked St. Louis 4-0 at home to clinch a three-game series against the Cardinals.
The Phillies’ injury-depleted lineup is slashing a mediocre .241/.302/.404 in the last couple of weeks and 403 at-bats. That’s still better than the Nationals’ .238/.324/.371 triple-slash across their previous 383 at-bats.