The Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Indians wrap up a three-game series at Progressive Field in Cleveland, as the MLB betting action continues Sunday, June 13, with plenty of intriguing matchups on the schedule. Seattle and Cleveland will also close down their seven-game regular-season set, so here’s the best Mariners vs. Indians betting pick.
Back in May, the Mariners won a four-game series at home, 3-1, upsetting the Indians three times while playing as dogs on all four occasions. The Indians got revenge this past Friday, hammering Seattle in the opening clash of their set in Ohio, 7-0, and Cleveland opened as a slight -115 fave for the middle contest that’s excluded from this analysis.
The Tribe will send Shane Bieber to the mound on Sunday, so they are firm -228 moneyline favorites on FanDuel Sportsbook. The Mariners are +206 dogs with a total of 7.5 runs.
Seattle is losing the pace with the best teams in the AL West
The Seattle Mariners fell to 31-34 following that heavy defeat to the Indians on Friday. It was their second straight loss and seventh in their last ten games overall, as the Mariners were trailing six games behind the Astros and seven behind the Athletics on Saturday.
Seattle is batting only .214 in June while posting the fifth-worst OPS in baseball over the last two weeks (.648). On the other side of the ball, the Mariners’ pitching staff has recorded an awful 5.40 ERA over its previous 14 games.
Logan Gilbert will get the starting call on Sunday, and he’s 1-2 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in five starts this season. The 24-year-old right-hander owns a solid 23/7 K/BB ratio across 21.2 innings of work in his first season in the majors.
Gilbert’s debut came against Cleveland on May 13, and the Indians won, 4-2. He was charged for a loss, yielding four earned runs on five hits (including a couple of homers) while punching out five through four frames.
Cleveland’s iffy form continues
The Cleveland Indians improved to 33-27 on the season following Friday’s dismantling of the Mariners. They were second in the American League Central, four games ahead of the third-placed Royals and four and a half games behind the mighty White Sox.
The Indians have been pretty inconsistent as of late, dropping seven of their previous 14 games overall. They haven’t won three straight contests since a 4-2 victory at Seattle on May 14. Over the last two weeks, Cleveland has recorded a poor 5.34 ERA and a solid .764 OPS.
Shane Bieber will toe the slab Sunday, and the reigning Cy Young champ is 7-3 in 13 starts this season. The 26-year-old righty sports a 2.96 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and a tremendous 122/31 K/BB ratio across 85 innings of work.
Bieber met the Mariners on May 16, 2021, and was charged for a loss, yielding three earned runs on five hits and four walks through 4.2 frames (Seattle won 4-3). Since then, Shane has gone 3-0 in four starts and will search for his fourth straight victory this Sunday.
- 3-7 in the last ten games overall
- 5-13 in the last 18 games on the road
- 4-1 in the last five games at home
- 10-2 in Shane Bieber’s last 12 starts
I like to bet on Shane Bieber. The Indians are 10-2 in his last 12 starts overall and 11-2 in Bieber’s previous 13 outings at Progressive Field. They are 8-5 ATS in that 13-game stretch, so I’m backing the Indians to win by two or more runs.
Cleveland is batting .286 this month while slugging .435 against the righties. The Indians are 20-13 against the right-handed starting pitcher this season, and I think they’ll provide some run support for their top ace.
Pick: Take Cleveland Indians -1.5 at -110
The Indians could easily shut down the Mariners, but with the line at 7.5 runs, I would stick with the hosts to cover. Cleveland’s relievers own the third-lowest ERA in the majors (3.33). However, they’ve recorded a 6.43 ERA over the last ten days.
Bieber will last seven innings on a good day, so I’m not worried about the Indians bullpen. On the other hand, I don’t trust the Mariners’ pitching staff at all. Seattle’s relievers have recorded a terrible 6.70 ERA over the last ten days.
Pick: Go over 7.5 runs at -110