Friday night brings 15 games around Major League Baseball including the marquee NL West showdown from Petco Park in San Diego, so here’s the best betting pick for the opening clash of the Giants vs. Padres three-game series.
These two foes already met once in 2021, and the Giants upset the Padres by winning a three-game set in San Diego, 2-1. San Francisco opens as a huge +173 underdog to win Friday’s contest, while the hosts are listed as -188 moneyline favorites with a total of 7.5 runs on William Hill Sportsbook.
The Giants continue to impress
The San Francisco Giants are one of the most pleasant surprises of the 2021 MLB season, no doubt. They are tied with the mighty Dodgers for the top spot in the National League, and the 16-9 Giants have won eight of their last 11 games overall.
San Francisco is coming off a 2-1 series victory over the Colorado Rockies at home, scoring a whopping 24 runs in the process. The Giants are now 17th in the majors in runs scored per game (4.16), 20th in batting average (.227), and 11th in slugging percentage. They’ve already smacked 31 home runs, enough for the sixth-most in baseball.
Logan Webb will take the mound Friday, and the 24-year-old righty is 1-1 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in four starts and one relief appearance this term. Webb’s recorded a 24/10 K/BB ratio across 22.1 frames, and he’s been terrific last time out, shutting down the Marlins and punching out eight over seven innings of work.
The Padres look for a rare straight win
The 14-12 San Diego Padres haven’t been at their best recently. They are 6-9 over the last 15 games overall, tallying two straight wins only once in that stretch. At least, the Padres got things going offensively last time out, smashing the Arizona Diamondbacks 12-3 as -155 road favorites last Wednesday.
San Diego split a two-game set with the D-backs and sits third in the NL West, two and a half games behind the Giants and Dodgers. The Padres are 21st in the majors in runs scored per game (4.08), 10th in batting average (.236), and 24th in slugging percentage (.368).
Yu Darwish will get his sixth start of the season on Friday, and the 34-year-old right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.27 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, and 37/8 K/BB ratio across 31.2 innings of work. Darwish has lasted seven innings in each of his previous three starts. Last week, he beat the Dodgers, allowing just one earned run on four hits and three walks.
- 4-11 in the last 15 games against San Diego
- 2-6 in the last eight road tilts against the NL West
- 5-2 in the last seven games against the NL West
- 5-2 in the last seven home tilts against San Francisco
The current Padres are 7-for-19 against Logan Webb and have a 1.122 OPS. Webb has had some ups and downs in April and could easily struggle against the Padres’ mighty lineup. On the other side, the current Giants are 15-for-70 against Yu Darwish while posting a .596 OPS.
Darwish has been terrific since a rough outing on an Opening Day. I’m expecting more of the same from the Padres’ ace, while San Diego’s offense should build on its excellent performance against Arizona. Give me the hosts to win.
Pick: Take San Diego Padres at -188
The Padres’ bullpen has done a good job thus far, sporting the sixth-best ERA in the majors (3.07) along with the second-best K/9 ratio of 11.10. On the other side, the Giants’ relievers own a 4.34 ERA (20th in the MLB) and a 9.51 K/9 ratio (16th).
This is a tough wager, but I’ll take the over, hoping that San Diego will take full advantage of the visitors’ pitching staff. The Padres have so many dangerous weapons on their lineup, and the Giants could add to the scoreline, considering their excellent form.
Pick: Go over 7.5 runs at -110