We’re witnessing a great battle in the National League West, and the MLB betting action continues over the weekend with the San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers showdown at Dodger Stadium in LA.
The reigning champs won the opening game of a four-game set last Thursday, outlasting the Giants 4-3 as -144 home favorites with a total of 7.5 runs thanks to Max Muncy’s solo dinger in the sixth inning. They opened as -180 favorites for Saturday’s clash, according to DraftKings Sportsbook, so here’s the best Giants vs. Dodgers betting pick for the third contest of this series.
We’ll exclude Friday’s game from the stats and analysis, while these two foes already played a three-game series in San Francisco last week. The Dodgers swept the Giants (2-1, 6-3, and 11-5), extending their winning streak over San Francisco to six games.
The Giants hope to finally get things going against LA
The San Francisco Giants entered their last week’s home series against the Dodgers on a five-game winning streak, coming off a 19-4 dismantling off the Cincinnati Reds. They failed to cope with the Dodgers’ pitching staff, scoring just nine runs on 16 hits through three games.
The Giants scored three runs on three hits last Thursday, and it wasn’t enough once more. They own the 11th-highest scoring offense in baseball this season, averaging 4.62 runs per game on a .227/.314/.406 slash line.
Logan Webb will take the mound Saturday, returning from a shoulder strain, as the 24-year-old righty missed one turn in the Giants’ rotation. He’s 3-3 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in eight starts and one relief appearance this season.
Last time out, Webb tossed six scoreless innings in a 6-3 victory at Cincinnati, yielding six hits and a walk while striking out four. He’s 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers.
The Dodgers overcame injury problems on the back of their pitching staff
The Los Angeles Dodgers improved to 31-19 on the season with that narrow win over San Francisco this past Thursday, tallying their 13th victory in the last 15 games overall. LA was second in the NL West on Friday, just half a game behind the San Diego Padres and one game ahead of the third-placed Giants.
The Dodgers have had some serious injury worries over the last few weeks. Corey Seager, Cody Bellinger, Zach McKinstry, and A.J. Pollock are still sidelined, while the Dodgers are batting .243 and slugging .411 over the last 15 days.
LA’s pitching staff sports a terrific 2.17 ERA in May. Julio Urias will take the hill Saturday, and the 24-year-old southpaw is 7-1 in ten starts this season. He owns a 3.03 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, and an excellent 70/7 K/BB ratio across 62.1 innings of work.
Urias tossed six frames of a two-run ball in an 11-5 win at San Francisco last Sunday. The lefty yielded just three runs while punching out ten. He’s 1-2 with a 2.22 ERA in ten starts and six relief appearances against the Giants.
- 4-14 in the last 18 games against the Dodgers
- 2-7 in Logan Webb’s last nine starts on the road
- 13-2 in the last 15 games overall
- 10-3 in Julio Urias’ last 13 starts overall
The Dodgers have dominated the Giants lately, and I’m expecting more of the same Saturday. They are batting 16-for-52 against Logan Webb, while the current Giants are only 18-for-79 against Julio Urias.
I’ve mentioned how dominant the Dodgers’ pitching staff has been over the last few weeks. The Giants’ relievers sport a 3.81 ERA (12th in the majors) and could struggle to keep San Francisco in this game. Webb was outstanding in his previous start, but he could be on a pitching count, considering his recent injury problems.
Pick: Take Los Angeles Dodgers at -180
Three of the last five encounters between the Dodgers and Giants went in the under, producing fewer than eight runs in total. Considering the Dodgers’ strong pitching, I have to take the under, but the totals are a tricky wager, as both teams could easily launch a few homers.
San Francisco slugged 69 round-trippers this term (5th in the MLB), while Los Angeles smacked 60 through its first 50 games (tied-11th).
Pick: Go under 7.5 runs at -110