In our MLB predictions for Thursday, May 19, we have prepared the best Padres vs Phillies betting pick and tips along with the latest odds for the closing contest of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. San Diego won the opener 3-0 as a +100 moneyline dog. The Padres are +110 underdogs for Thursday’s closer, while the Phillies sit at -120. Wednesday night’s middle contest has been excluded from the analysis.
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Padres vs Phillies Betting Pick
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:05 PM ET on Thursday, May 19, 2022.
Why Bet The Padres:
✅ Yu Darvish will take the hill for the Padres, looking to bounce back from the last week’s outing at Truist Park in Atlanta. The veteran righty coughed up five earned runs in 5.2 frames of work, but the Padres still hammered the Braves 11-6. Darvish has an excellent record against the current Phillies, who hit .125/.211/.244 in 74 at-bats against him. Yu is 3-1 with a 4.62 ERA, 3.77 FIP, and 1.18 WHIP in seven starts and 39 innings of work in 2022.
✅ Kyle Gibson, who’ll get the nod for Philadelphia, has struggled last time out as well. The 34-year-old right-hander yielded six earned runs on eight hits and a walk in just 3.2 innings of work in a 12-10 road victory over the Dodgers. The current Padres own a solid .261 batting average in 146 at-bats against Gibson. Eric Hosmer is 13-for-43, while Manny Machado has seven hits and six walks in 30 plate appearances. Gibson is 3-1 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in seven starts (37.1 frames) this term.
✅ The Padres’ bullpen has done a good job over the last ten days, posting a 2.79 ERA, 2.64 FIP, 10.2 K/9, and 1.86 BB/9. The Phillies’ relievers have had some ups and downs in that span, tallying a 4.21 ERA, 3.88 FIP, 11.1 K/9, and 7.18 BB/9.
San Diego Padres
The Padres blanked the Phillies in the opener thanks to Mike Clevinger, MacKenzie Gore, and Taylor Rodgers, who combined to allow only five hits on the night. San Diego recorded its second straight win and improved to 23-13 on the season.
The Padres are looking good on both offense and defense. They own the ninth-highest scoring offense in the majors (4.53 runs per game) while playing without Fernando Tatis Jr. Manny Machado leads the way with a 1.014 OPS (201 OPS+), while Eric Hosmer sports a .911 OPS (171 OPS+).
The Phillies took their second straight loss and fell to 17-19 following Tuesday’s opener. Zach Eflin tossed six frames of a one-run ball, while James Norwood allowed a couple of runs while getting one out.
Over the last seven days, the Phillies have slashed .275/.325/.484, but their pitching staff has recorded a 5.32 ERA.