San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – Game 1 Pick, Odds & Prediction – 10/6/20

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – Game 1 Pick, Odds & Prediction – 10/6/20

The 2020 MLB Playoffs betting action continues Tuesday, October 6, with the opening game of the National League Division Series between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers. 

The Padres eliminated the St. Louis Cardinals in the previous round after three breathtaking contests. On the other side, the Dodgers swept the Milwaukee Brewers in a couple of low-scoring affairs, so we got the NL West showdown in the division series.  

The MLB Playoffs are heating up, so we’ve prepared all must-read betting tips and notes for Tuesday’s clash between the Padres and Dodgers along with the best betting pick. 

The Line

The Padres are listed as +140 underdogs on BetAmerica, while the Dodgers are -150 favorites with a total of 8.0 runs on DraftKings.   

Injuries/Suspensions

San Diego still hasn’t announced its starting pitcher for Game 1 because the Padres are still waiting to see if Dinelson Lamet or Mike Clevinger recovered enough to get the starting nod. 

“I feel confident it’s going to be a last-minute decision on the roster,” San Diego manager Jayce Tingler said. “We are trying to keep everything in play, not ruling anything out.” 

On the other side, the Dodgers enter this clash without serious injury worries. 

What’s at Stake?

Winning the opening game of the series is always important. The Padres haven’t been in the division series since 2006 and will try their best to put the Dodgers in a difficult situation. 

The Dodgers reached the postseason for the eighth straight year, and they’ve suffered some painful losses over the previous few years. LA lost two straight World Series in 2017 and 2018. 

The Spot

The division series will be played at neutral sites, as well as the rest of the 2020 MLB Playoffs. The Padres and Dodgers will square off against each other at Globe Life Field in Arlington, home of the AL team Texas Rangers. 

Both Padres and Dodgers visited the Rangers and Globe Life Field in 2020, and each team recorded a couple of wins over Texas. 

The Matchup

The Padres’ starters struggled mightily in the wild-card matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals, but their relievers stepped up when it mattered the most and blanked the Cards in the deciding Game 3. 

On the other side, the Dodgers allowed two runs to the Brewers in the previous round, and their bullpen owned the second-best ERA in the majors this past regular season. 

However, this should be the battle of two terrific offenses that are able to put some serious numbers on the scoreboard. The Dodgers were scoring the most runs per game during the regular season (5.82) while smacking the most home runs in the majors (118). 

The Padres were fourth in the MLB in runs scored per game (5.42) and fourth in home runs (95). Their slugging percentage of .466 was the third-best in the majors, but still short of the Dodgers’ .483 that tied was tied for the best in baseball. 

We’ll see who’ll get the starting nod for the Padres in the opener. Anyway, there’s no bigger challenge than the Dodgers’ lineup with Mookie Betts atop and Corey Seager right behind him. 

While Trent Grisham mostly hits atop of the Padres’ lineup, they lean on No. 2 Fernando Tatis Jr. and No. 3 Manny Machado. Walker Buehler will toe the slab for the Dodgers in the opener, and the righty met the Padres in August, allowing three earned runs (all solo homers) in five innings while punching out three. 

The Bets

I think the Padres’ cannot lean on their pitching staff even though their bullpen has improved a lot over the last month. On the other side, the Dodgers’ bullpen had the second-best ERA at 2.74 in the regular season. That could be a key difference in this series, as the Padres’ relievers owned the 14th-best ERA at 4.38. 

It seems like the Padres can only rely on their prolific offense. They went 27-13 against the right-handed starting pitchers this past regular season. Hereof, Buehler could be in trouble, and he already yielded a couple of runs to the Brewers through four innings in his first outing this postseason. 

With so many offensive weapons on both sides, I just have to bet on the over. Three of the previous four matchups between these two foes went in the over, while the Dodgers won six of their 10 meetings with the Padres in 2020. 

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