Winning the NL Cy Young (or AL Cy Young) is never an easy thing to do. But this year, it is going to be a little harder. Why? During a 162-game season, a pitcher can have a few bad games but will have time (and enough starts) to make up for them. With a likely max of 12 starts this season, there is no room for error.
2020 National League Cy Young Odds
- Jacob deGrom +300
- Max Scherzer +500
- Jack Flaherty +850
- Walker Buehler +1000
- Trevor Bauer +1200
- Luis Castillo +1400
- Stephen Strasburg, Sonny Gray +1500
- Patrick Corbin +2200
- Yu Darvish, Dinelson Lamet +2500
- Max Fried, Mike Soroka +2800
- Clayton Kershaw +3000
- Aaron Nola, Chris Paddack +3300
- Brandon Woodruff, Zack Wheeler, Josh Hader, Robbie Ray +5000
- Julio Urias +6000
- Marcus Stroman, German Marquez, Jon Gray, Garrett Richards, Kyle Hendricks +6600
- Kirby Yates, Madison Bumgarner, Johnny Cueto, Pablo Lopez, Joey Lucchesi +10000
- Jose Quintana, Steven Matz, Edwin Diaz, Cole Hamels, Jon Lester, Joe Musgrove, Rick Porcello, Caleb Smith +15000
The guy with the fewest dings on his record will be in the driver’s seat. Does that mean he has to be perfect and go undefeated? Not necessarily, but that would surely be one for a pitcher to make sure his name was in the conversation.
With many guys already making their second start, a few names certainly do stand out:
- Tyler Chatwood, Sonny Gray, and Jon Lester have two starts under their belts and have ERAs under 1.0 (Chatwood and Gray– 0.71; Lester—0.90).
- Batters are hitting under .100 so far against Gray (.098); they are hitting .140 against Chatwood.
- Batters are only hitting .114 against Lester, but he has only recorded five strikeouts; Chatwood has 19 and Gray 20.
- Max Scherzer has had 10+ strikeouts in each start but has yet to record a win, and he is second in the league in walks (7).
- Jacob deGrom has been good but unremarkable, so far (1.64 ERA, 12 strikeouts, and has yet to factor into the decision). He’ll need to step it up if he is going to record 100+ strikeouts.
- The same can be said about Jack Flaherty.
- Clayton Kershaw has already missed a game due to injury. Stephen Strasburg has yet to play. Aaron Nola was unimpressive in his first start, and Luis Castillo was hit hard in his second start.
- Walker Buehler was unimpressive in his first start before getting pulled in the fourth inning of that game.
So—who should you bet on?
If Chatwood has odds anywhere, it will not hurt to put something down on him. He has struggled in the past as a starter, making it seem unlikely he keeps up the pace. But if you can find odds, they may be long enough to be worth a small investment.
As for the guys that do have odds at PointsBet.com, Sonny Gray appears to be a good bet. While Buehler and deGrom have not been impressive yet, they likely will be this season. On the off chance Jon Lester can keep it up, it is certainly worth jumping on him at +15000.