The New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins continue their three-game series at Target Field in Minneapolis on Wednesday, June 9, so I’ve prepared the best betting pick and odds for this American League showdown.
These two American League foes meet for the first time in 2021, as we’ll see a four-game set at Yankee Stadium in New York in August. The Yankees are -168 moneyline favorites to win Wednesday’s clash, while the Twins are +155 home dogs with a total of 8.0 runs on BetRivers Sportsbook.
The Yanks are in crisis once again
Excluding their opening game against Minnesota on Tuesday night, the New York Yankees have dropped ten of their last 13 games overall. They entered the Twins series riding a four-game losing streak, as the Yanks just got swept by the Red Sox in a three-game home set.
The Yankees were 31-29 on Tuesday, sitting at the fourth spot of the AL East standings, six and a half games behind the leader, the Tampa Bay Rays. New York has already had a rough patch earlier in the season, so the Yankees are in a tough situation in their division, while the competition in the AL East looks quite stiff.
Over the last 15 days, the Yankees have recorded the fourth-worst OPS in baseball (.626) while batting only .215 in the process. They are scoring just 3.72 runs per game (27th in the majors), so the Yankees desperately need to get things going at the plate.
On the other side of the ball, the Yankees are yielding 3.78 runs per contest (6th) while posting the seventh-lowest ERA in the big leagues (3.36). Gerrit Cole will take the mound Wednesday, and the 30-year-old righty is 6-3 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 12 starts this season.
The Twins are still one of the worst teams in the American League
The 24-35 Minnesota Twins were tied with the Detroit Tigers for the fourth spot in the AL Central on Tuesday, as Rocco Baldelli’s team had dropped six of its last ten games prior to the Yankees series. Minnesota has some serious injury worries, as Byron Buxton, Max Kepler, and Mitch Garver are all sidelined, but the Twins are still doing a solid job, scoring 4.58 runs per game (12th in the majors).
The problems for the Minnesota Twins are on the other side of the ball, as they surrender 5.17 runs per game (27th). The Twins’ pitching staff sports the fifth-highest ERA in baseball (4.76), while their bullpen has recorded a whopping 15 losses thus far.
Randy Dobnak will get the starting nod Wednesday, and he’s 1-5 with a terrible 6.19 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in three starts and seven relief appearances this season. Last week, the 26-year-old righty was charged for a loss in a 6-3 defeat at Baltimore, yielding three earned runs on eight hits and a couple of walks across 5.2 innings.
- 16-4 in the last 20 games against Minnesota
- 16-4 in the last 20 games against the AL Central
- 8-18 in the last 26 home contests against the Yankees
With their moneyline odds at -168, I have to take the Yankees here. I just have to, especially with Gerrit Cole on the mound. The Yankees’ top ace was awful last time out, allowing five earned runs on five hits and two walks through five innings in a 9-2 loss to Tampa Bay this past Thursday. He’ll be fired up to bounce back, and the current Twins are slugging only .220 against Cole.
On the other side, Dobnak has yielded nine earned runs on 17 hits over his previous two starts and 11.2 innings of work. This is the perfect opportunity for the Yankees to get things going offensively.
Pick: Take New York Yankees at -168
I’m looking for the Yankees to hit hard and well against Randy Dobnak and the Twins’ shaky bullpen and finally break out of their slump. Dobnak has been awful for most of the time this term, and he’s never met the Yankees before.
Therefore, I’ll go with the over, but the visitors remain my best pick. Excluding Tuesday’s opener at Target Field, 14 of the last 18 games between the Yanks and Twins went in the over.
Pick: Go over 8.0 runs at -105